Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f0268e24074470f4939a0df435dcbd5256ab2a20170f6e6864149db3f86598b

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Nov 10, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,257,380
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $788,071

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,257,380 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x849c…4009backed Yes	1c	84,402$959 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$958.68	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes	5c	83,435$4,038 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,037.52	28	25%7 W · 21 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd793…aee6backed Yes	0c	77,778$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.78	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0228…a700backed Yes	1c	73,137$485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$485	26	11.5%3 W · 23 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b66…02edbacked Yes	14c	38,531$5,286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,286.12	180	9.4%17 W · 163 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ee0…f57bbacked Yes	1c	37,686$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.45	820	6.6%54 W · 766 L	+17.9wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	0c	31,392$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.23	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9991…9480backed Yes	2c	29,464$524 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$524.24	87	11.5%10 W · 77 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	0c	23,927$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.67	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	3c	16,268$472 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$472.39	782	8.7%68 W · 714 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbea3…e34fbacked Yes	0c	14,482$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.62	68	14.7%10 W · 58 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+18.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	2c	13,672$341 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340.59	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe842…27d6backed Yes	1c	13,548$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.01	532	5.3%28 W · 504 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-68.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdf6d…9c5cbacked Yes	8c	13,327$1,012 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,011.66	68	19.1%13 W · 55 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde72…1c1bbacked Yes	1c	12,842$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69	12	25%3 W · 9 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	+149.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77ef…9f6abacked Yes	0c	10,116$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.16	25	28%7 W · 18 L	+2.3wins	+0.09per pick	19cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6261…e04dbacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2afd…deb4backed Yes	2c	9,596$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.8	74	9.5%7 W · 67 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa23b…fe7cbacked Yes	2c	9,359$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.83	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f93…18aabacked Yes	2c	8,808$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.54	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	1c	8,647$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.02	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a1f…81e6backed Yes	7c	7,288$521 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520.9	70	5.7%4 W · 66 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3b1…9ca4backed Yes	3c	6,957$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.69	326	7.1%23 W · 303 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	5c	6,794$327 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$326.97	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x15c2…ebc0backed Yes	5c	6,677$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360	212	11.8%25 W · 187 L	-8.2wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc8c…42b6backed Yes	1c	5,516$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f7b…55cebacked Yes	0c	5,262$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.05	127	12.6%16 W · 111 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+56.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ddb…5246backed Yes	1c	4,488$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.83	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f44…179cbacked Yes	1c	4,280$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4081…cfb0backed Yes	1c	4,199$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.48	134	7.5%10 W · 124 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+27%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52c7…25e4backed Yes	1c	4,103$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-64.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x8a4e…b38cbacked Yes	2c	4,016$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.08	38	10.5%4 W · 34 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-54.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a44…e4e8backed Yes	1c	4,000$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.15	486	9.7%47 W · 439 L	+8.2wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	6c	3,834$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.68	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08bf…8b4dbacked Yes	1c	3,790$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.48	38	5.3%2 W · 36 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-40%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd25b…dd82backed Yes	1c	3,663$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.44	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9241…f41cbacked Yes	1c	3,635$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.24	62	48.4%30 W · 32 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x679a…7a49backed Yes	1c	3,294$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.94	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	3,259$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.17	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	2c	3,092$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.32	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	4c	3,058$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.87	996	19.8%197 W · 799 L	-15.9wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc98b…6430backed Yes	4c	2,814$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	32	25%8 W · 24 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-43.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8b…dbf5backed Yes	6c	2,804$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169	181	16%29 W · 152 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x91d8…fbc5backed Yes	2c	2,437$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	90	12.2%11 W · 79 L	-5.2wins	-0.06per pick	18cpaid	-42%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes	8c	2,430$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.98	123	8.1%10 W · 113 L	-5.6wins	-0.05per pick	13cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4d3…9249backed Yes	2c	2,413$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.55	52	7.7%4 W · 48 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	11cpaid	-60.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x474c…37d3backed Yes	1c	2,342$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.75	410	17.8%73 W · 337 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x06bc…2887backed Yes	2c	2,235$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	67	14.9%10 W · 57 L	+3.0wins	+0.05per pick	10cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x381e…aa9abacked Yes	1c	2,014$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+111%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeabf…bb11backed Yes	1c	2,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-1.0wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce05…9176backed Yes	1c	2,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-1.7wins	-0.13per pick	28cpaid	-63.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3857…1841backed Yes	1c	1,989$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.42	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	21cpaid	-70.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bdb…a90dbacked Yes	2c	1,955$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	-2.2wins	-0.13per pick	20cpaid	-89.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes	2c	1,829$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.62	796	6.5%52 W · 744 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6324…754bbacked Yes	1c	1,683$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a2a…034cbacked Yes	3c	1,677$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x552e…8664backed Yes	2c	1,638$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.28per pick	22cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d11…713abacked Yes	7c	1,595$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3762…82ebbacked Yes	2c	1,577$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.37	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf223…cc53backed Yes	6c	1,534$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.9	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4272…f109backed Yes	1c	1,468$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.4	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5713…e818backed Yes	8c	1,466$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	23	13%3 W · 20 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7529…5cd7backed Yes	2c	1,264$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.33	147	18.4%27 W · 120 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	+5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xda15…2762backed Yes	4c	1,261$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.8	53	15.1%8 W · 45 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	2c	1,260$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.08	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x35e2…2953backed Yes	4c	1,260$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.16	221	19.9%44 W · 177 L	+6.5wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00ea…4d20backed Yes	1c	1,250$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.10per pick	30cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e55…e157backed Yes	5c	1,184$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.91	75	24%18 W · 57 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x552c…be63backed Yes	4c	1,125$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.61	143	14%20 W · 123 L	+5.3wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf629…8686backed Yes	2c	1,100$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.3	35	42.9%15 W · 20 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	9c	1,090$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	12c	1,084$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.78	788	11.5%91 W · 697 L	-33.7wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b21…59d7backed Yes	1c	1,080$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x00f8…2a49backed Yes	2c	1,076$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ddf…2c83backed Yes	5c	1,028$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.85	53	11.3%6 W · 47 L	-3.5wins	-0.07per pick	18cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x679f…7976backed Yes	10c	1,024$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8134…305fbacked Yes	3c	1,017$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.6	63	17.5%11 W · 52 L	-3.1wins	-0.05per pick	22cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6df7…afb0backed Yes	11c	1,008$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.45	459	11.3%52 W · 407 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cb0…4c27backed Yes	2c	1,007$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.54	504	5.2%26 W · 478 L	+10.0wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+44.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes	3c	1,000$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.6wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x879f…8417backed Yes	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-52.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7081…3970backed Yes	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc454…19d6backed Yes	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes	1c	1,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.76	827	11%91 W · 736 L	+21.9wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad0a…7898backed Yes	1c	1,000$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	70	18.6%13 W · 57 L	+5.7wins	+0.08per pick	10cpaid	+104.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x62d7…7e85backed Yes	6c	955.94$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.97	89	7.9%7 W · 82 L	-4.4wins	-0.05per pick	13cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7337…3bf4backed Yes	1c	908.42$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.72	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5937…c643backed Yes	10c	900$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc32…24d0backed Yes	9c	900$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77ac…425bbacked Yes	9c	900$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52ab…841dbacked Yes	9c	900$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc42e…56b9backed Yes	3c	824.56$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	10cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76d2…153abacked Yes	7c	823.9$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.97	62	4.8%3 W · 59 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	+307.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a22…8acebacked Yes	13c	786.99$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80c0…f57ebacked Yes	10c	784.24$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.76	36	11.1%4 W · 32 L	-2.6wins	-0.07per pick	18cpaid	-51.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1842…b628backed Yes	7c	777.49$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd5d9…4c05backed Yes	2c	689.17$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	41	34.1%14 W · 27 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe98…9e5abacked Yes	8c	684.59$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.62	33	12.1%4 W · 29 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6252…495dbacked Yes	12c	599.99$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.4	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.12per pick	28cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24dd…8143backed Yes	6c	576.04$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.26	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.10per pick	15cpaid	0%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event