Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3199f25b2a132d8bcd62719f1d4b79f48ddea0b4a7d0503e4a4dffae4b0d351d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $744,616
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $826,755
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $744,616 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 863 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b66…02edbacked Yes | 27c | 55,660$14,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,871.84 | 180 | 9.4%17 W · 163 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…ef53backed Yes | 68c | 31,065$21,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,879.34 | 662 | 22.2%147 W · 515 L | -34.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e22…3993backed Yes | 70c | 27,469$19,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,197.04 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +81%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 42c | 13,292$5,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,648.08 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked No | 1c | 12,530$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.02 | 456 | 8.3%38 W · 418 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…4800backed Yes | 49c | 11,771$5,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,995.29 | 686 | 15.7%108 W · 578 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9126…1896backed Yes | 39c | 8,770$3,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,307.42 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4333…1f57backed No | 41c | 7,263$3,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,003.51 | 169 | 69.2%117 W · 52 L | +17.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +13%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8758…fc2dbacked No | 57c | 7,050$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…9480backed Yes | 45c | 6,780$3,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,746.19 | 87 | 11.5%10 W · 77 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac83…eaaabacked Yes | 77c | 6,194$4,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.55 | 296 | 8.1%24 W · 272 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd74d…ff5ebacked No | 70c | 5,500$3,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,849.92 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…d095backed No | 42c | 4,824$2,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,026.01 | 542 | 74.9%406 W · 136 L | +34.0wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 40c | 4,786$1,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,932.6 | 234 | 64.5%151 W · 83 L | +23.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee0…f57bbacked No | 69c | 4,465$3,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,073.05 | 820 | 6.6%54 W · 766 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes | 35c | 4,117$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,692.07 | 457 | 15.1%69 W · 388 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…55cebacked Yes | 45c | 4,060$1,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,247.51 | 127 | 12.6%16 W · 111 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5172…0581backed No | 6c | 3,998$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.88 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 9cpaid | +321.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes | 47c | 3,857$1,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.91 | 572 | 22%126 W · 446 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6af7…2c4bbacked Yes | 45c | 3,744$1,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,069.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ac…ee4bbacked Yes | 34c | 3,726$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,460.35 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…9a73backed Yes | 67c | 3,689$2,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.03 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e1…5998backed No | 68c | 3,611$2,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,457.9 | 155 | 20.6%32 W · 123 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aca…c734backed Yes | 27c | 3,609$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,627.86 | 63 | 22.2%14 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36e7…0b6bbacked No | 65c | 3,527$2,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,278 | 246 | 72.8%179 W · 67 L | +15.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x663a…5c51backed Yes | 70c | 3,516$2,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.87 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x265f…a448backed Yes | 45c | 3,461$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920.98 | 285 | 34.4%98 W · 187 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…2585backed Yes | 57c | 3,333$1,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.2 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7b…a88dbacked Yes | 59c | 3,286$1,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357.28 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15c2…ebc0backed Yes | 29c | 3,266$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,331.37 | 212 | 11.8%25 W · 187 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6b…943abacked Yes | 70c | 3,188$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.39 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8981…ce82backed No | 49c | 3,118$1,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,543.29 | 181 | 63%114 W · 67 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…7d33backed Yes | 4c | 3,118$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,983.16 | 207 | 4.3%9 W · 198 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce40…da67backed Yes | 39c | 3,076$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,869.72 | 538 | 17.3%93 W · 445 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe644…1dffbacked Yes | 43c | 3,057$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,736.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked No | 69c | 3,001$2,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070.56 | 68 | 19.1%13 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 75c | 2,959$2,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,217.33 | 185 | 31.4%58 W · 127 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 50c | 2,869$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,438.03 | 123 | 8.1%10 W · 113 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x038b…afc4backed Yes | 74c | 2,671$1,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.12 | 335 | 27.8%93 W · 242 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 6c | 2,666$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.96 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | +179.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf04d…7f3fbacked Yes | 53c | 2,662$1,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb4…917dbacked Yes | 44c | 2,620$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,473.95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6589…39e2backed Yes | 60c | 2,509$1,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.74 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40fd…9f9fbacked Yes | 50c | 2,466$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.9 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4449…e977backed Yes | 14c | 2,349$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,020.2 | 590 | 9.2%54 W · 536 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc164…74d4backed Yes | 39c | 2,232$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.94 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 29cpaid | +32%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x037b…47f4backed No | 9c | 2,215$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.13 | 416 | 5.3%22 W · 394 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +158.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80c0…f57ebacked Yes | 11c | 2,214$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,965.73 | 36 | 11.1%4 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8418…6b00backed No | 76c | 2,036$1,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,541.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2021…a8d5backed Yes | 44c | 2,006$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.5 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08bf…8b4dbacked Yes | 7c | 2,000$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,869.97 | 38 | 5.3%2 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -40%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes | 40c | 1,937$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.29 | 437 | 19.7%86 W · 351 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…3493backed Yes | 58c | 1,835$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.86 | 1,060 | 8.4%89 W · 971 L | +29.0wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1022…f0cfbacked Yes | 52c | 1,799$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.54 | 173 | 22.5%39 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec2d…de68backed Yes | 54c | 1,793$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.88 | 176 | 12.5%22 W · 154 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca6e…46f2backed Yes | 30c | 1,786$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250.45 | 481 | 6.7%32 W · 449 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d0…881ebacked Yes | 47c | 1,785$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.51 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…7a20backed Yes | 63c | 1,773$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.55 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52e4…7d32backed Yes | 12c | 1,734$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,533.69 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed No | 26c | 1,721$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.73 | 455 | 11.6%53 W · 402 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +104.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb796…58a8backed Yes | 38c | 1,695$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x963a…fc4cbacked Yes | 48c | 1,676$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.26 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd70…d270backed No | 55c | 1,658$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.72 | 751 | 22.2%167 W · 584 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 47c | 1,646$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.44 | 439 | 33%145 W · 294 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74a2…2ab4backed Yes | 65c | 1,623$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.39 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7dd…bc48backed Yes | 31c | 1,604$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.28 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…2ed0backed No | 50c | 1,600$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.98 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed Yes | 35c | 1,599$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.39 | 80 | 31.3%25 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…451cbacked Yes | 35c | 1,586$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.33 | 158 | 12%19 W · 139 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f66…b986backed Yes | 37c | 1,552$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.79 | 568 | 17.4%99 W · 469 L | +18.3wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce05…9176backed Yes | 37c | 1,500$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.68 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1142…a9bfbacked Yes | 22c | 1,466$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380f…8229backed Yes | 31c | 1,456$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.18 | 177 | 22.6%40 W · 137 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db5…cf18backed Yes | 77c | 1,450$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.05 | 882 | 10.3%91 W · 791 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -49%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91f5…b7e4backed Yes | 69c | 1,446$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.11 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddf…2c83backed Yes | 23c | 1,427$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.25 | 53 | 11.3%6 W · 47 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 37c | 1,425$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.42 | 68 | 2.9%2 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9937…5c2fbacked Yes | 45c | 1,424$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.02 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…568ebacked Yes | 37c | 1,419$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.76 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2616…8d3cbacked Yes | 41c | 1,398$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.39 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x111d…85f7backed Yes | 40c | 1,288$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.41 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Yes | 33c | 1,262$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.2 | 69 | 13%9 W · 60 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ff…24a5backed Yes | 37c | 1,235$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.62 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a54…7663backed Yes | 27c | 1,212$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.69 | 109 | 23.9%26 W · 83 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 1,199$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 2,160 | 3.9%85 W · 2,075 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3256…830cbacked Yes | 44c | 1,172$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.38 | 781 | 8.7%68 W · 713 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5713…e818backed Yes | 19c | 1,171$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.57 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c2…1750backed Yes | 38c | 1,160$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.17 | 209 | 7.7%16 W · 193 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -17%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…a46bbacked Yes | 47c | 1,150$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.83 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f30…6b5cbacked Yes | 72c | 1,138$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.64 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 70c | 1,122$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.67 | 315 | 65.1%205 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2dc…e100backed Yes | 8c | 1,116$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.35 | 46 | 13%6 W · 40 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a84…3788backed Yes | 26c | 1,101$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.51 | 68 | 23.5%16 W · 52 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…dd84backed Yes | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea4…f4acbacked Yes | 32c | 1,084$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5436…e29ebacked Yes | 28c | 1,069$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.66 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 15c | 1,066$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.9 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +140.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf43…b321backed Yes | 59c | 1,050$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.5 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c6…0272backed No | 3c | 1,043$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc622…8f86backed Yes | 49c | 1,033$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.73 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.