La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27af71087e96b58cddb51303a40caed06e2dfd366dff3733ac8cb7a350e5fc89
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,145,542
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,145,542 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 802 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 24c | 343,000$82,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82,319.98 | 90 | 28.9%26 W · 64 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes | 76c | 322,413$244,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77,742.28 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 15c | 197,816$29,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,110.82 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x036c…178dbacked Yes | 76c | 150,000$114,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,999.99 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Yes | 76c | 70,000$53,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,799.98 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 24c | 64,126$15,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,634.03 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 24c | 61,318$14,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,428.89 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked No | 24c | 61,210$14,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,690.4 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Yes | 76c | 60,000$45,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,399.99 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e0…e546backed No | 25c | 45,580$11,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,309.08 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5da4…e203backed Yes | 76c | 44,015$33,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,563.71 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 26c | 43,985$11,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,405.21 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Yes | 77c | 41,490$32,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,438.96 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 25c | 38,988$9,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,605.76 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x759c…5f4bbacked No | 24c | 28,752$6,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,900.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 29c | 27,866$8,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,036.11 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 24c | 27,363$6,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,567.02 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d7…1252backed Yes | 74c | 27,028$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,027.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 26c | 26,638$6,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,925.82 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | -7.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1f…d0bbbacked No | 25c | 22,000$5,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,539.98 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 0c | 21,650$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.79 | 77 | 7.8%6 W · 71 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed No | 27c | 21,501$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,700 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a5…122bbacked No | 24c | 21,183$5,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,084 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…b26abacked No | 26c | 20,903$5,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,458.67 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 76c | 20,246$15,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,843.53 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 25c | 19,357$4,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,744.5 | 2,339 | 48.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 76c | 18,000$13,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,320 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 24c | 15,663$3,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,759.12 | 88 | 28.4%25 W · 63 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 74c | 15,224$11,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,952.3 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9707…1861backed No | 27c | 15,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.96 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 74c | 14,578$10,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,724.86 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x740d…9967backed Yes | 74c | 13,514$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,513.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked No | 24c | 13,400$3,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,216 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…9aadbacked No | 27c | 13,000$3,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,509.97 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 23c | 12,400$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,879.98 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -60%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 27c | 12,000$3,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,240 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 8c | 11,593$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.92 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 24c | 11,501$2,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,766.01 | 204 | 49.5%101 W · 103 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf032…ad8cbacked No | 26c | 11,083$2,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,902.5 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed No | 23c | 10,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked No | 27c | 9,927$2,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,680.29 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Yes | 77c | 9,852$7,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,265.95 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed No | 25c | 9,380$2,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,345 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Yes | 79c | 9,229$7,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,945.11 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 23c | 9,000$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95d0…bdf2backed Yes | 76c | 9,000$6,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,130 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 24c | 8,915$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160.15 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed No | 25c | 8,559$2,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,166.81 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed No | 28c | 8,280$2,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,318.4 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe166…8f14backed Yes | 76c | 8,084$6,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950.01 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43b6…9a9bbacked No | 26c | 7,777$2,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,022.02 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eed…64c2backed Yes | 74c | 7,658$5,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,024.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3f…8e8dbacked Yes | 73c | 7,525$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,024.99 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…8c18backed No | 3c | 7,046$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.77 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed No | 24c | 7,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked No | 28c | 6,900$1,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,932 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 73c | 6,835$5,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,825.62 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed No | 27c | 6,800$1,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,836 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…ed2bbacked No | 23c | 6,500$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 26c | 6,061$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592.77 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 23c | 5,298$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.59 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 20c | 5,209$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.56 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Yes | 77c | 5,195$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.81 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61ce…ed13backed Yes | 77c | 5,000$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 76c | 5,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 241 | 45.2%109 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36c8…2925backed Yes | 76c | 4,981$3,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.95 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e04…991cbacked No | 3c | 4,725$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 25c | 4,495$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.22 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked No | 29c | 4,361$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.89 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 74c | 4,344$3,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.38 | 1,169 | 51.8%606 W · 563 L | +18.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0940…3640backed Yes | 75c | 4,322$3,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +105.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccda…21f3backed Yes | 70c | 4,286$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.74 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked Yes | 71c | 4,225$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.35 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed No | 27c | 4,109$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.4 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…0525backed No | 24c | 4,064$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.24 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Yes | 75c | 4,040$3,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.6 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1414…ae7bbacked Yes | 77c | 3,897$3,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.31 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ace…95a9backed Yes | 74c | 3,848$2,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.53 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd0…3373backed Yes | 74c | 3,808$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.85 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Yes | 76c | 3,804$2,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1333…173bbacked No | 27c | 3,797$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.08 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b93…e941backed No | 27c | 3,703$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.77 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 22c | 3,594$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.9 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked No | 24c | 3,494$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.56 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed No | 24c | 3,351$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.25 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +274.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 3c | 3,292$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.4 | 1,497 | 38.6%578 W · 919 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d6a2backed Yes | 77c | 3,189$2,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.38 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 76c | 3,081$2,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.44 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe970…d76abacked Yes | 73c | 2,953$2,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.18 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed No | 27c | 2,710$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.7 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed No | 24c | 2,636$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.72 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd13e…f2d6backed Yes | 76c | 2,632$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.58 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x597e…cd70backed Yes | 77c | 2,597$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 14c | 2,570$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.34 | 117 | 36.8%43 W · 74 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 76c | 2,500$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 73c | 2,491$1,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.48 | 1,035 | 47.9%496 W · 539 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 24c | 2,412$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.99 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab75…cce0backed No | 26c | 2,325$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.74 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 4c | 2,199$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.17 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Yes | 77c | 2,180$1,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.94 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-14?this page
- Will Elche CF win on 2026-03-14?No won
- Will Real Madrid CF vs. Elche CF end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.