La Liga · resolved market
Will Elche CF win on 2026-03-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8de6484aa16780433434f2b184f2dbbcdf332fbad31b42b11d7e64140462967d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $230,387
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $230,387 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 9c | 45,451$4,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,234.84 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 8c | 34,864$2,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,925.22 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 9c | 13,404$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.43 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -60%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…8c18backed Yes | 7c | 12,726$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.31 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c23…f642backed Yes | 8c | 10,000$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2682…582abacked Yes | 8c | 6,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9707…1861backed Yes | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 9c | 2,222$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes | 10c | 2,199$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.89 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 9c | 1,749$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.97 | 117 | 36.8%43 W · 74 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb9…9725backed Yes | 11c | 1,500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 10c | 1,245$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.39 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 4c | 1,168$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc40…c795backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…b084backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 223 | 35%78 W · 145 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…cea5backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 9c | 982.68$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.94 | 335 | 44.2%148 W · 187 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Yes | 10c | 979.61$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.96 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 9c | 944.44$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 62 | 22.6%14 W · 48 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71ed…67c2backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffbe…77a0backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked Yes | 9c | 891.75$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.26 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Yes | 11c | 650$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 10c | 578.67$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.31 | 239 | 47.7%114 W · 125 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…2a61backed Yes | 9c | 550$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 10cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x605f…425abacked Yes | 11c | 511.91$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.31 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…2668backed Yes | 9c | 483.78$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82b5…1542backed Yes | 11c | 427.91$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.07 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x648f…fc85backed Yes | 8c | 397.43$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.79 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…9a30backed Yes | 10c | 387.8$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.78 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…fc60backed Yes | 11c | 366.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.29 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Yes | 11c | 366$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.26 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 10c | 350$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…3313backed Yes | 7c | 324.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecad…875cbacked Yes | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5db…f982backed Yes | 9c | 282.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 8c | 256$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebf6…8644backed Yes | 9c | 229.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb003…d962backed Yes | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb866…3302backed Yes | 11c | 226.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa114…fdadbacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a85…1811backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…c9ddbacked Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 87 | 28.7%25 W · 62 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x699b…c97fbacked Yes | 10c | 199.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb7…d104backed Yes | 9c | 176.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 8c | 165.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 8c | 147.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x791c…852dbacked Yes | 9c | 142.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 9c | 140.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 10c | 136$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 9c | 134.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 288 | 47.6%137 W · 151 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2d…40b1backed Yes | 8c | 134.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaae6…095ebacked Yes | 9c | 123.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9fa…c365backed Yes | 10c | 120.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 9c | 114$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 265 | 50.9%135 W · 130 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe04f…c4e4backed Yes | 11c | 111.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6dd…52dbbacked Yes | 10c | 100.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6988…a6eabacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1431…7a12backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8a…9806backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elche CF win on 2026-03-14?this page
- Will Real Madrid CF vs. Elche CF end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.