La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Elche CF end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb6f1fbc9f91064861e5eb37f296fb38a682941f790c7fd23c8b33a1f2c558d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,275
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,275 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 11c | 20,716$2,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,224.64 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 16c | 7,258$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.86 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa89c…398fbacked Yes | 20c | 5,000$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.03 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Yes | 15c | 3,883$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.45 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 16c | 3,612$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.97 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 15c | 2,559$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.29 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -60%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1b…62c9backed Yes | 15c | 2,473$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 10c | 1,367$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.55 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 4c | 1,115$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.87 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 15c | 946.67$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 62 | 22.6%14 W · 48 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed Yes | 12c | 867.64$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.8 | 41 | 14.6%6 W · 35 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…b277backed Yes | 15c | 667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.05 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Yes | 16c | 656$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.96 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 15c | 624.98$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.75 | 326 | 45.4%148 W · 178 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 9c | 601.07$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.23 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Yes | 14c | 562.14$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.7 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82b5…1542backed Yes | 16c | 412$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.92 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226e…86ecbacked Yes | 15c | 399$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.85 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x648f…fc85backed Yes | 12c | 397.43$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.69 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 16c | 328.54$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.57 | 239 | 47.7%114 W · 125 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45c1…4364backed Yes | 12c | 313.75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.65 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71ed…67c2backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 19c | 287.58$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.61 | 170 | 32.9%56 W · 114 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Yes | 4c | 259.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 24cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6242…3d43backed Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8260…eb17backed Yes | 17c | 191.12$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.09 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa976…5c43backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 18c | 170.4$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.92 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed No | 79c | 135.99$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 86 | 72.1%62 W · 24 L | +9.6wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x660e…76ccbacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked Yes | 15c | 124.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaae6…095ebacked Yes | 15c | 123.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 12c | 115$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x402c…5380backed Yes | 16c | 108$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x575a…5cd7backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74af…9c2dbacked Yes | 16c | 104$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa25d…7353backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c09…dfb9backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x686e…9dc3backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 16c | 95.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 215 | 46%99 W · 116 L | -14.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Yes | 14c | 92.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4917…664fbacked Yes | 16c | 91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa718…baf1backed Yes | 12c | 87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8578…c4acbacked Yes | 16c | 84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb060…9572backed Yes | 14c | 79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Yes | 16c | 65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…b8d3backed Yes | 18c | 64.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5985…a8cabacked Yes | 18c | 64.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd238…fd25backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8d…91fbbacked No | 78c | 48.59$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7225…0624backed No | 78c | 44.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd3…4759backed No | 78c | 43.47$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf24f…d57ebacked No | 78c | 41.77$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…19b2backed No | 78c | 30.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…afc9backed No | 79c | 18.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.93 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Madrid CF vs. Elche CF end in a draw?this page
- Will Elche CF win on 2026-03-14?No won
- Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.