Fifa International · resolved market
Argentina leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x837121217005352126f3fd6c35f9764da3a5c25a9ffd639eb8e88945680e35fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $449,118
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $573,607
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $449,118 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 282 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 47c | 76,593$35,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,903.32 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 63c | 30,873$19,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,333.61 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 48c | 26,789$12,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,022.58 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 53c | 21,071$11,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,265.17 | 379 | 59.1%224 W · 155 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 50c | 18,124$9,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,011.15 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 53c | 16,577$8,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,749.46 | 384 | 51.6%198 W · 186 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 54c | 15,000$8,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,099.95 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 39c | 14,896$5,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,750.88 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…367ebacked Yes | 51c | 13,826$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,825.5 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 50c | 13,101$6,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,550.72 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Yes | 49c | 12,000$5,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,120 | 227 | 52.4%119 W · 108 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Yes | 47c | 10,415$4,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,500.7 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed No | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed No | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 33c | 9,595$3,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,153.98 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 52c | 9,479$4,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,935.23 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed No | 53c | 8,400$4,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,451.99 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4517…f700backed Yes | 48c | 7,743$3,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,003.11 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed No | 53c | 7,339$3,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,889.64 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,179.99 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…cff4backed No | 51c | 5,882$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1509…ca95backed No | 49c | 5,773$2,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,828.75 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 53c | 5,704$2,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,998.48 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 53c | 4,754$2,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,517.23 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 52c | 4,229$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,219.94 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked No | 52c | 3,859$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 43c | 3,856$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640.34 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…fba7backed Yes | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked No | 31c | 2,851$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.85 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…b7cdbacked Yes | 48c | 2,808$1,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460.17 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7c…7a19backed Yes | 47c | 2,017$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.74 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed No | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 465 | 50.3%234 W · 231 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Yes | 45c | 1,990$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.6 | 226 | 39.4%89 W · 137 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 79c | 1,835$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.77 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c1…a09ebacked Yes | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2584…8018backed Yes | 49c | 1,638$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.3 | 122 | 35.2%43 W · 79 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…7654backed Yes | 46c | 1,629$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.75 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 15c | 1,620$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.27 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc217…fd5abacked Yes | 52c | 1,546$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.86 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed No | 51c | 1,488$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.05 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 51c | 1,372$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.78 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…1b34backed Yes | 45c | 1,145$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.93 | 224 | 36.6%82 W · 142 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef13…53d2backed Yes | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.11 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 47c | 1,104$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.96 | 390 | 50.8%198 W · 192 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 44c | 1,064$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.35 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Yes | 44c | 1,023$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.14 | 142 | 34.5%49 W · 93 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed No | 50c | 1,013$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.38 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 49c | 1,005$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.9 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed No | 49c | 999.99$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed No | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 331 | 49.5%164 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked No | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 465 | 46.7%217 W · 248 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b94…b660backed No | 55c | 912.31$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.77 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -7.3wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 42c | 883.36$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.55 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6072…a182backed No | 49c | 880.99$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.69 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +6.1wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Yes | 45c | 833.33$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.33 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 56c | 824.41$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.5 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 16c | 820.43$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.66 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 45c | 804$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.2 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c12…748fbacked Yes | 48c | 782.73$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.25 | 324 | 22.5%73 W · 251 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…96e1backed No | 2c | 776.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 258 | 21.3%55 W · 203 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 50c | 746.99$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.19 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f1…da32backed Yes | 43c | 742.47$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.47 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Yes | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.17 | 185 | 44.9%83 W · 102 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4c…dbabbacked Yes | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.3 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed Yes | 74c | 630.88$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.13 | 635 | 44.4%282 W · 353 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 49c | 601.16$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.97 | 344 | 55.5%191 W · 153 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…f792backed Yes | 45c | 600$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71da…bc9ebacked No | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 50c | 562.62$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.31 | 408 | 48.8%199 W · 209 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…2b92backed No | 50c | 540.74$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.45 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked No | 13c | 538.46$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Yes | 48c | 529.07$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked No | 52c | 519.99$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.83 | 823 | 48.8%402 W · 421 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf024…fbd3backed No | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…3287backed Yes | 41c | 482.93$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.93 | 210 | 48.6%102 W · 108 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdc…3a4ebacked No | 53c | 467$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.51 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb2…02b0backed Yes | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 365 | 34.2%125 W · 240 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…3a98backed No | 53c | 443$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.79 | 164 | 25.6%42 W · 122 L | -10.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 52c | 437.24$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.88 | 426 | 40.1%171 W · 255 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x442f…e7a2backed Yes | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 50c | 425.17$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.59 | 399 | 51.4%205 W · 194 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 60c | 401.77$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.02 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 274 | 34.3%94 W · 180 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x308f…35cabacked No | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 51c | 398.53$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.88 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28fa…7190backed Yes | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 54c | 377.78$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.88 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75a8…d6f1backed Yes | 50c | 374$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e34…9434backed Yes | 49c | 339.06$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.94 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…fba4backed No | 49c | 320$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.8 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5207…8285backed Yes | 48c | 317.63$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.17 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -53%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 44c | 306.95$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.07 | 512 | 50.4%258 W · 254 L | +31.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59a8…eb4ebacked Yes | 51c | 296.41$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.41 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20c2…e754backed Yes | 46c | 282.61$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.61 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +4.4wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +31%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 50c | 281$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.5 | 815 | 54.8%447 W · 368 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 45c | 277.31$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.08 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65c5…e92abacked No | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6522…5ab3backed Yes | 37c | 265.58$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.19 | 139 | 45.3%63 W · 76 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina leading at halftime?this page
- Algeria leading at halftime?No won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.