Fifa International · resolved market
Algeria leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c647fdf63804e4aa646a67a337f5d0cd1e2a7f8d6ee1215cf87449cc080ed7a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,911
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,647
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,911 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 12c | 5,403$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.76 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 14c | 4,710$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.69 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 13c | 4,204$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.68 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa94…3601backed Yes | 13c | 3,329$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.77 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 14c | 3,211$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.79 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 12c | 3,057$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.16 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 13c | 2,713$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.01 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd703…9b8bbacked Yes | 12c | 2,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 67c | 2,189$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.16 | 217 | 59%128 W · 89 L | +13.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…f240backed Yes | 12c | 2,000$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.82 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 13c | 1,797$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.56 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 14c | 1,541$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.37 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 13c | 1,154$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 462 | 23.2%107 W · 355 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 33c | 940$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.54 | 586 | 42.8%251 W · 335 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7f…dc59backed Yes | 14c | 916.21$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.27 | 104 | 25%26 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ec…267dbacked Yes | 12c | 831.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 278 | 45.7%127 W · 151 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5e…502ebacked Yes | 13c | 600$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x873b…2e45backed Yes | 4c | 518.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 29c | 468.95$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.06 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 29c | 416.59$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.81 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5c…98eebacked No | 71c | 389.1$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.84 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 78c | 387.76$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.97 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 126 | 31%39 W · 87 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc4…fb72backed Yes | 5c | 340.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9355…ca67backed Yes | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd546…657bbacked Yes | 12c | 291.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 306 | 7.8%24 W · 282 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb259…8a59backed Yes | 13c | 250$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3019…631ebacked Yes | 13c | 237.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbc…8d9fbacked Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 6c | 210$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 407 | 36.6%149 W · 258 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Yes | 14c | 187.93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Yes | 14c | 187.93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 10c | 179.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 11c | 171$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5b…4a17backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 231 | 24.7%57 W · 174 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 54c | 164.63$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.05 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 46c | 160$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 514 | 58.8%302 W · 212 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 12c | 157.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c6…fde6backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…0935backed Yes | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 91 | 68.1%62 W · 29 L | +13.8wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 165 | 9.7%16 W · 149 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 12c | 137$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 66c | 127.84$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.29 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce1…8dc0backed Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…f4c5backed Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…af29backed Yes | 32c | 110$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | +20.5wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Yes | 11c | 109.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 151 | 28.5%43 W · 108 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 432 | 46.8%202 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6522…5ab3backed Yes | 32c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 139 | 45.3%63 W · 76 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Yes | 14c | 79.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 360 | 45.3%163 W · 197 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked Yes | 26c | 58.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +34.7wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +61%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…b629backed Yes | 32c | 55.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +10.8wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 74c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed No | 67c | 18.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Algeria leading at halftime?this page
- Argentina leading at halftime?Yes won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.