Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9b98d22fb9b748b63d66dbe42e64cdab9abe7b6ee29f5295e6e06377689bdb4

Rebuilt 3 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Oct 31, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $563,568
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $332,147

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $563,568 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 290 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x849c…4009backed Yes	7c	23,023$1,542 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,542.43	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77ef…9f6abacked Yes	7c	20,246$1,461 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,461.43	25	28%7 W · 18 L	+2.3wins	+0.09per pick	19cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	11c	10,982$1,230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,229.94	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc919…a162backed Yes	28c	10,618$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9222…5392backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x61ac…5577backed Yes	18c	8,562$1,534 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,533.53	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe61c…f19cbacked Yes	0c	8,451$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe130…2f27backed Yes	7c	7,935$586 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$585.85	241	15.4%37 W · 204 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x265f…a448backed Yes	8c	7,343$576 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$575.59	285	34.4%98 W · 187 L	+9.1wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7d8…79fabacked No	79c	7,191$5,676 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,514.74	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.25per pick	75cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Yes	4c	6,942$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280.97	82	11%9 W · 73 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	2c	5,869$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.39	782	8.7%68 W · 714 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	9c	5,708$534 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$533.59	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	19c	5,652$1,092 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,092.47	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	8c	5,417$435 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$434.53	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	10c	4,614$482 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$482.22	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5879…10e8backed Yes	9c	4,537$421 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$421.12	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes	8c	4,526$339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$339.49	796	6.5%52 W · 744 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5844…aa7ebacked Yes	2c	4,352$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.28	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	9cpaid	+25.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6589…39e2backed Yes	15c	4,246$640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$640	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+1.6wins	+0.23per pick	63cpaid	+24.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	17c	3,907$657 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$657.1	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ee0…f57bbacked No	80c	3,708$2,951 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$756.96	820	6.6%54 W · 766 L	+17.9wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb87f…34a7backed Yes	2c	3,682$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.5wins	+0.08per pick	7cpaid	-66%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9991…9480backed Yes	13c	3,571$454 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$453.78	87	11.5%10 W · 77 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4f3…8692backed Yes	2c	3,555$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.16	16	0%0 W · 16 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	2c	3,538$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.14	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc42e…56b9backed Yes	2c	3,170$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	10cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x423b…86c1backed Yes	27c	3,073$837 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$837.08	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea5a…fbb4backed Yes	2c	3,029$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.42	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5f24…c911backed Yes	24c	2,933$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9e5…dbc9backed Yes	2c	2,905$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.17	76	38.2%29 W · 47 L	+4.7wins	+0.06per pick	32cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	2c	2,800$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ff1…bd17backed Yes	27c	2,633$698 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$698.21	21	9.5%2 W · 19 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	15cpaid	-85.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x74a2…2ab4backed Yes	17c	2,562$435 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$435	48	18.8%9 W · 39 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e53…58e1backed Yes	1c	2,210$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.3	110	9.1%10 W · 100 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x9a44…021cbacked Yes	19c	2,081$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	21	14.3%3 W · 18 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xefda…8dfbbacked Yes	1c	2,058$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.98	171	5.3%9 W · 162 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cde…b42abacked Yes	1c	2,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	85	8.2%7 W · 78 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6779…0400backed Yes	22c	2,000$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440	94	7.4%7 W · 87 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	-62.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd694…ed0abacked Yes	24c	1,959$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$470	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe988…f4fabacked Yes	1c	1,857$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.15per pick	10cpaid	+50.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	77c	1,810$1,403 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$407.41	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe35d…f5d5backed Yes	18c	1,770$319 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$318.59	656	23.2%152 W · 504 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb5c2…1750backed Yes	14c	1,677$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.21	209	7.7%16 W · 193 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-17%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	5c	1,598$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.16	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd822…3127backed Yes	4c	1,545$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.88	89	24.7%22 W · 67 L	+4.9wins	+0.06per pick	19cpaid	+25.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcdfd…9a92backed Yes	16c	1,504$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245.96	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-50.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dce…b2acbacked Yes	6c	1,278$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83	164	17.1%28 W · 136 L	+6.8wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1bc…e269backed Yes	29c	1,278$372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$372.06	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.11per pick	29cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a7c…a586backed Yes	8c	1,261$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.22per pick	28cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes	9c	1,191$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.19	439	33%145 W · 294 L	-19.0wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f7f…6450backed Yes	14c	1,188$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.87	232	17.7%41 W · 191 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd081…0cfabacked Yes	16c	1,178$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.48	281	13.5%38 W · 243 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-32%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x063a…eb4bbacked Yes	38c	1,143$434 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$434.34	36	33.3%12 W · 24 L	+2.3wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	+101.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4081…cfb0backed Yes	2c	1,116$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.98	134	7.5%10 W · 124 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+27%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa30…9971backed Yes	30c	1,105$335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$335.47	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	21cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68f3…776cbacked Yes	5c	1,087$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.21	29	10.3%3 W · 26 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	6cpaid	-47.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	8c	1,081$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.62	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Yes	23c	1,076$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf2c…8c84backed Yes	18c	1,044$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.87	32	15.6%5 W · 27 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f3…f3a5backed Yes	6c	1,038$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-70.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbea3…e34fbacked Yes	7c	1,037$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71	68	14.7%10 W · 58 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+18.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f0…58dfbacked No	5c	1,001$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$950.66	25	48%12 W · 13 L	+9.2wins	+0.37per pick	11cpaid	+624.5%equal weight	70+0.18 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	3c	1,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5836…b241backed Yes	17c	1,000$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4fb…859dbacked Yes	4c	932.02$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x879f…8417backed Yes	12c	901.5$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.4	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-52.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0865…3dffbacked Yes	18c	880.37$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.44	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-73.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfba8…500abacked Yes	8c	843.44$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.54	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	+25.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa5e4…d847backed Yes	20c	824.12$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.04	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-72.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d6a…6de3backed Yes	18c	807.66$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.9	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	16cpaid	-77.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8f9…8f83backed Yes	6c	772.37$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.72	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-40.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52e4…7d32backed Yes	19c	765.19$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.16	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	+26.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd166…cdc1backed Yes	20c	761.36$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.63	20	15%3 W · 17 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	20cpaid	-51.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafbb…7525backed Yes	26c	720.6$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.92	52	26.9%14 W · 38 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c4f…61ccbacked Yes	18c	709.07$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.63	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9378…d2ddbacked No	78c	699.95$546 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153.99	5	100%5 W · 0 L	+1.3wins	+0.26per pick	74cpaid	+35.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	14c	674.74$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.61	788	11.5%91 W · 697 L	-33.7wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xffd4…0f95backed Yes	17c	667.55$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.69	10	20%2 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-10%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5957…e94bbacked Yes	11c	655$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.05	37	16.2%6 W · 31 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec6e…95c4backed Yes	16c	626.79$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe451…7920backed Yes	5c	606.21$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	130	11.5%15 W · 115 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa623…384fbacked Yes	22c	600.5$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	421	10%42 W · 379 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf43…b321backed Yes	19c	600$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.9	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-1.4wins	-0.10per pick	38cpaid	-56.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x87e1…5998backed No	75c	599.99$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150	155	20.6%32 W · 123 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a97…4866backed Yes	19c	579.72$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x312c…e23ebacked Yes	34c	575.89$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.28	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d5a…1427backed Yes	4c	560.29$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2704…2427backed Yes	4c	560$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.84	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf366…9ad8backed Yes	18c	543.24$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	25	8%2 W · 23 L	-3.6wins	-0.14per pick	22cpaid	-71.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x28c6…2e08backed Yes	18c	541.58$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	+1.8wins	+0.09per pick	38cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f44…179cbacked Yes	7c	539.46$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00f5…7ce8backed Yes	6c	533.78$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x552c…be63backed Yes	3c	533.47$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.39	143	14%20 W · 123 L	+5.3wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x45f4…631dbacked Yes	7c	526.33$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd2b…9ff9backed Yes	19c	526.32$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	32	25%8 W · 24 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Yes	22c	508.32$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.69	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes	11c	504.35$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.36	147	15%22 W · 125 L	+4.8wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	+80.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x325a…ed1abacked No	76c	500$380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.24per pick	76cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67e8…e7a5backed Yes	4c	500$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event