TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,370,587
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,159,691

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,370,587 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,541 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2c33…0563backed No76c735,571$555,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179,603.2774752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Yes27c238,438$63,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63,415.8319644.9%88 W · 108 L+9.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No74c160,670$118,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,774.0929952.5%157 W · 142 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes23c133,024$30,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,897.678,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No77c125,051$96,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,620.732,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No79c121,226$95,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,940.921,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes23c80,964$18,841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,840.552,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ad7…ae48backed Yes23c64,500$14,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,8204355.8%24 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes33c63,101$20,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,556.2232031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes25c62,281$15,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,816.0679231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6754…e3bcbacked No74c61,734$45,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,050.815456.5%87 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37d3…709abacked Yes22c60,000$13,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,0703324.2%8 W · 25 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick17cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes17c55,555$9,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,444.3542345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x78c6…4710backed Yes26c53,846$14,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,0001323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-50.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb68…fe52backed Yes0c50,610$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.353522.9%8 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick16cpaid-24.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked No76c38,276$29,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,186.1436247.2%171 W · 191 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes7c37,484$2,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,663.93,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Yes24c32,346$7,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,762.969247.8%44 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d16…f032backed Yes17c31,187$5,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,152.715639.3%22 W · 34 L-0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec23…24fdbacked Yes35c30,476$10,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,666.592751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+27.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51ea…150fbacked Yes26c30,285$7,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,874.0319332.1%62 W · 131 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x092f…2ff1backed Yes0c30,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012015.8%19 W · 101 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-38.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6550…8451backed No79c27,579$21,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,738.8921738.7%84 W · 133 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa66c…cd67backed Yes16c27,485$4,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,366.4918047.8%86 W · 94 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e6d…08a8backed Yes19c26,145$4,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,980.3212527.2%34 W · 91 L-0.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5257…3e2abacked No74c24,240$18,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,210.049948.5%48 W · 51 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Yes18c24,097$4,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,309.8866846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x14eb…2e34backed Yes19c23,966$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,50027433.9%93 W · 181 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed No74c21,152$15,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,454.1836939.6%146 W · 223 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…2cbfbacked Yes2c21,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46036631.1%114 W · 252 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+34.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No79c20,500$16,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,247.923,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24b6…e069backed Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203633.3%12 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Yes35c18,735$6,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,486.7614232.4%46 W · 96 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x203d…2b2cbacked Yes17c17,722$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0006526.2%17 W · 48 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-34.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e3d…8554backed No79c16,184$12,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,440.882560%15 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes25c15,482$3,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,870.516647%78 W · 88 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Yes25c15,000$3,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,75010734.6%37 W · 70 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfed7…b06abacked Yes23c14,500$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4005320.8%11 W · 42 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1b2…40cabacked Yes25c14,205$3,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,551.21216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick21cpaid+35.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d6e…213dbacked Yes26c13,004$3,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,381.064055%22 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb87b…3626backed Yes19c12,000$2,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,31024526.5%65 W · 180 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7411…086abacked Yes17c11,765$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002927.6%8 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No74c11,628$8,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,022.831,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes22c11,557$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,60048526.8%130 W · 355 L+0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee17…6ea1backed Yes26c11,538$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0003622.2%8 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes25c10,437$2,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,609.251,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No74c10,085$7,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,622.0336250.8%184 W · 178 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Yes24c10,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40013331.6%42 W · 91 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfaa2…e80abacked No74c9,999$7,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,599.7413959.7%83 W · 56 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes26c9,413$2,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,447.381,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6e4…07b1backed Yes16c9,375$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50018343.7%80 W · 103 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a2a…1fcabacked No74c8,634$6,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,244.918048.8%39 W · 41 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No76c7,104$5,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,711.0574034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x16e3…22d5backed Yes25c7,000$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7502339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+57.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dee…a0f4backed Yes17c6,366$1,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,061.178052.5%42 W · 38 L+7.6wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+16.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb5a5…e3cabacked Yes25c6,364$1,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,587.954663%29 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f7d…f097backed Yes17c6,342$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,047.4410915.6%17 W · 92 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43f0…a0dbbacked Yes16c6,250$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4718…e2e8backed Yes16c6,250$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004829.2%14 W · 34 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+17.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6758…07b9backed Yes31c6,196$1,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,921.021457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x180a…54a6backed Yes25c6,180$1,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5452040%8 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+69.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Yes25c6,093$1,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,509.195037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Yes3c6,039$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.7716325.8%42 W · 121 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-36.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x31ef…60d6backed Yes26c6,023$1,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5661330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes25c5,800$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,449.957544%33 W · 42 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00cf…1943backed Yes7c5,514$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.59837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-38.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Yes5c5,345$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.5498134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No74c5,307$3,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,379.917235.5%61 W · 111 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc60f…5b36backed Yes22c5,262$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1707630.3%23 W · 53 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes24c5,242$1,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,264.7865835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf393…9b65backed Yes21c5,170$1,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,083.8710624.5%26 W · 80 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-32.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5046223.2%107 W · 355 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked Yes24c5,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2004346.5%20 W · 23 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+33.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Yes33c5,000$1,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,629.993551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2193…e6cabacked Yes21c4,864$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009929.3%29 W · 70 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed No75c4,656$3,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,183.884738.8%329 W · 518 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ef…1829backed Yes35c4,571$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6001942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed No76c4,514$3,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.5424441.8%102 W · 142 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0484…e0eebacked Yes16c4,450$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.59324.7%23 W · 70 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick21cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes24c4,407$1,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,057.681,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb242…4312backed Yes16c4,396$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.443818.4%7 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick11cpaid+58.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed No74c4,266$3,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,109.217458.1%43 W · 31 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7528…4e36backed Yes14c4,200$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5886743.3%29 W · 38 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8773…a783backed Yes17c4,163$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7007524%18 W · 57 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87ad…fd81backed Yes2c4,129$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003520%7 W · 28 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7990…c870backed Yes21c4,099$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8562045%9 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cd6…18e4backed Yes25c4,007$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.756016.7%10 W · 50 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+48.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e86…cb8fbacked Yes25c4,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002934.5%10 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-34.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd4c3…60d9backed Yes25c4,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009463.8%60 W · 34 L+12.8wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+33.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2568…ad68backed Yes25c4,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004517.8%8 W · 37 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick21cpaid+35.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x88e3…384ebacked Yes26c4,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0404835.4%17 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked No74c4,000$2,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.9747144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74b6…9823backed No74c3,992$2,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037.977754.5%42 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No79c3,889$3,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.361,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Yes25c3,888$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9725345.3%24 W · 29 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bbc…a861backed Yes26c3,846$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002623.1%6 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No74c3,777$2,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$972.742,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No74c3,756$2,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.1855045.1%248 W · 302 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe23b…7c42backed Yes26c3,756$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.645860.3%35 W · 23 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b62…25a1backed Yes3c3,670$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1056628.8%19 W · 47 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.