Fifa International · resolved market
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90b9d20ece132c342654f98e0826e972134b10f58d4789c2662bdc00eee44b13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,210,341
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,885,612
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,210,341 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,436 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6149…b48cbacked Yes | 16c | 372,589$59,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,614.25 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f65…2036backed Yes | 17c | 291,248$49,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,512.22 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 14c | 245,786$33,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,997.74 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedd9…f79bbacked Yes | 17c | 199,999$33,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,999.91 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5a…00f2backed Yes | 16c | 147,323$23,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,571.71 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 18c | 135,797$23,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,892.44 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47a8…52f9backed Yes | 17c | 110,000$18,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,299.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bae…a34cbacked Yes | 13c | 101,458$13,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,277 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes | 17c | 100,000$17,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,000 | 213 | 43.2%92 W · 121 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 9c | 77,432$6,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,970.04 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 16c | 74,919$11,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,931.39 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf387…61c0backed Yes | 6c | 67,702$4,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,152.7 | 349 | 64.5%225 W · 124 L | +73.5wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +123.1%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xaa55…fae5backed Yes | 17c | 58,824$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb68…fe52backed Yes | 1c | 58,298$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.57 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 54,809$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.64 | 170 | 5.9%10 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 12c | 48,756$5,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,985 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb60b…3f85backed Yes | 17c | 48,043$8,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,167.31 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 16c | 46,971$7,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,438.82 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ea…150fbacked Yes | 17c | 42,569$7,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,237.64 | 193 | 32.1%62 W · 131 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebe…80bbbacked Yes | 5c | 38,575$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb6…56fbbacked Yes | 8c | 36,185$2,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,993.02 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Yes | 16c | 31,475$5,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,036.04 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Yes | 16c | 31,250$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +15.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbea1…dad3backed Yes | 17c | 31,202$5,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,449.4 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa569…08dfbacked Yes | 3c | 30,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7967…f4a0backed Yes | 5c | 29,143$1,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,544.37 | 131 | 18.3%24 W · 107 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb9…94ddbacked Yes | 5c | 27,910$1,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6d…08a8backed Yes | 17c | 27,059$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 125 | 27.2%34 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3508…dc5fbacked Yes | 18c | 26,904$4,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,842.69 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99b6…347ebacked Yes | 12c | 25,577$3,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,029.14 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a54…7c49backed Yes | 17c | 25,537$4,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,346.08 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Yes | 9c | 24,930$2,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,217.09 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0d…381ebacked Yes | 18c | 22,355$4,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,026.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 16c | 21,875$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b6…e069backed Yes | 1c | 20,305$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.02 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 18c | 20,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…e698backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes | 17c | 20,000$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Yes | 16c | 20,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,199.99 | 125 | 36.8%46 W · 79 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9912…5d4abacked Yes | 18c | 19,969$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +6.0wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed No | 76c | 16,529$12,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,965.55 | 348 | 45.1%157 W · 191 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37ae…1002backed Yes | 6c | 16,145$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977 | 249 | 17.7%44 W · 205 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea11…81adbacked Yes | 6c | 15,583$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe97…6347backed Yes | 12c | 15,333$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +13.4wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21bf…cc65backed Yes | 10c | 15,278$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 27c | 15,206$4,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,127.39 | 205 | 60%123 W · 82 L | +17.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Yes | 16c | 15,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 219 | 37%81 W · 138 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe214…c5cebacked Yes | 17c | 15,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 224 | 37.1%83 W · 141 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 16c | 15,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca6…73e3backed Yes | 15c | 15,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e6ddbacked Yes | 16c | 15,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4eb…1a6ebacked Yes | 17c | 15,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x514b…5fa9backed Yes | 17c | 15,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c5…dbcfbacked Yes | 6c | 15,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36ce…13a1backed Yes | 7c | 14,813$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f75…ce35backed Yes | 3c | 14,524$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.18 | 214 | 39.7%85 W · 129 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1c…9867backed Yes | 7c | 14,286$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadef…02ccbacked Yes | 10c | 14,000$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0677…1477backed Yes | 18c | 13,495$2,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,429.13 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x648d…1366backed Yes | 18c | 12,744$2,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,293.89 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb242…4312backed Yes | 16c | 12,500$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7411…086abacked Yes | 8c | 12,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Yes | 16c | 12,500$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb225…3d54backed Yes | 17c | 12,300$2,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,091 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x132f…453bbacked Yes | 16c | 11,960$1,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,928.6 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b8…fee9backed Yes | 17c | 11,765$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes | 6c | 11,718$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.12 | 1,019 | 31.6%322 W · 697 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 17c | 11,708$1,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,990.29 | 172 | 35.5%61 W · 111 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c0…ecf1backed Yes | 18c | 11,216$2,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,018.94 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Yes | 16c | 11,063$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770.14 | 186 | 33.3%62 W · 124 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 9c | 10,730$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.53 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -46.1wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…8fb6backed Yes | 18c | 10,556$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Yes | 6c | 10,250$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 159 | 50.9%81 W · 78 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Yes | 13c | 10,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 250 | 19.6%49 W · 201 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcff6…dd0bbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16e3…22d5backed Yes | 17c | 10,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8bf3backed Yes | 18c | 10,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Yes | 17c | 10,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.97 | 133 | 31.6%42 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe548…a9febacked Yes | 17c | 9,978$1,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,696.18 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe944…650cbacked Yes | 6c | 9,499$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.25 | 111 | 33.3%37 W · 74 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabfc…4247backed Yes | 6c | 9,365$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Yes | 17c | 9,007$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 674 | 47.6%321 W · 353 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7042…c72bbacked Yes | 16c | 8,734$1,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397.43 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb907…539abacked Yes | 4c | 8,726$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.5 | 107 | 18.7%20 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bed…85b8backed Yes | 13c | 8,382$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.98 | 125 | 44.8%56 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5df…63cfbacked Yes | 18c | 8,357$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.24 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9eb…9701backed Yes | 17c | 8,216$1,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,396.71 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0d…90c0backed Yes | 17c | 8,200$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b36…0d4bbacked Yes | 17c | 8,127$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.54 | 736 | 26.5%195 W · 541 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ef…628abacked Yes | 10c | 8,022$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.67 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Yes | 15c | 8,010$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226.74 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7bc…fc40backed Yes | 18c | 7,983$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,421 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5b…5c95backed Yes | 18c | 7,934$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.65 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb909…c20bbacked Yes | 16c | 7,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Yes | 17c | 7,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed Yes | 3c | 7,417$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 460 | 12.4%57 W · 403 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…02babacked Yes | 2c | 7,263$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 4cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 19c | 7,180$1,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353.53 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…83c7backed Yes | 7c | 7,143$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 57 | 17.5%10 W · 47 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Yes | 16c | 7,000$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090 | 432 | 48.4%209 W · 223 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?this page
- Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?No won
- Will England win on 2026-06-17?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.