TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$504,943
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$624,575

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $504,943 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 322 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under59c37,978$22,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,276.764,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed Over59c32,123$19,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,122.914248.6%69 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under43c21,048$9,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,064.4244539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under68c18,944$12,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,820.8864446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ec…4d49backed Over45c17,899$8,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,830.214264.3%27 W · 15 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+29.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Over29c16,411$4,759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,651.5715843%68 W · 90 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf80…3259backed Under54c11,110$6,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,036.019742.3%41 W · 56 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+94.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6373…a0b7backed Over54c10,026$5,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,649.44633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under46c8,903$4,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,130.0344130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under70c8,093$5,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,665.3474447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over30c7,641$2,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,348.032,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x933f…1540backed Under41c7,477$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1003158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under43c7,316$3,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,139.5936250%181 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37ae…1002backed Over29c6,199$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,398.5724917.7%44 W · 205 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under69c5,764$4,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,004.372,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under47c5,348$2,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,536.5137650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over33c5,307$1,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,567.6645421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under70c5,144$3,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,580.012,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under52c4,922$2,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,555.373,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d1e…9e97backed Under33c4,715$1,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,577.0328251.4%145 W · 137 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Over55c4,555$2,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,043.8224533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under40c4,553$1,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.212,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under68c4,436$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00020262.4%126 W · 76 L-0.3wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over57c4,087$2,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,739.371,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over54c3,830$2,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,748.814,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95f7…5541backed Under52c3,807$1,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,972.1610544.8%47 W · 58 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under37c3,683$1,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,344.552,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over60c3,624$2,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,452.911,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0de8…6cf3backed Over52c3,584$1,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,703.646930.4%21 W · 48 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Under8c3,452$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.865737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under57c3,434$1,963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,962.62,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under69c3,212$2,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,227.2286452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over52c3,210$1,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,550.81,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under32c3,144$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.591,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over46c3,119$1,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,688.7735244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under69c3,109$2,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,155.893,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over49c2,979$1,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,515.731,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Under18c2,949$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.5425339.5%100 W · 153 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over49c2,900$1,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,466.9943248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Under54c2,761$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.9927931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under69c2,731$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,880.383,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27d0…7943backed Over59c2,700$1,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,097.59475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24ae…4c80backed Under19c2,485$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.5314856.8%84 W · 64 L+20.7wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+59.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under45c2,381$1,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,063.742,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Over69c2,263$1,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.7536437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Under55c2,222$1,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,222.118543.8%81 W · 104 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under62c2,214$1,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,367.9125942.1%109 W · 150 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x557e…5007backed Under33c2,066$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.7121755.3%120 W · 97 L+13.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fa9…09fabacked Under36c1,993$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.0922932.8%75 W · 154 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+37.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Under47c1,864$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868.2916050.6%81 W · 79 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x802e…76fdbacked Over59c1,690$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.93271.9%23 W · 9 L+5.2wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+15.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb06f…884cbacked Under53c1,669$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.9825049.2%123 W · 127 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4156…997ebacked Under40c1,563$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.4121143.1%91 W · 120 L+0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed Under36c1,447$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.9122029.5%65 W · 155 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Under1c1,412$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1234731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under66c1,372$905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905.4770648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a23…0f72backed Over32c1,314$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894.5812241.8%51 W · 71 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd1d…50f9backed Under31c1,305$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.88425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid+92.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d07…ade2backed Over49c1,291$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.261533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Over45c1,272$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.727032.2%87 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under70c1,228$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.041,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15e9…26bebacked Over50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6008052.5%42 W · 38 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Under54c1,176$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63430054%162 W · 138 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Under76c1,129$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858.0416357.1%93 W · 70 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x37e9…eedebacked Under51c1,067$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.4416755.1%92 W · 75 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x46cd…6b95backed Over76c1,056$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.6913542.2%57 W · 78 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under67c1,042$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.7838451.6%198 W · 186 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x059c…050ebacked Under50c1,034$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.723637.7%89 W · 147 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Over34c1,032$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.3237223.9%89 W · 283 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Over31c1,018$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.2458029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Under2c1,016$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8725125.1%63 W · 188 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over30c1,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70021747.9%104 W · 113 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x15ec…267dbacked Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50027845.7%127 W · 151 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under69c1,000$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69039050.8%198 W · 192 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under70c994.17$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.351,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Under57c992.76$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.4538819.1%74 W · 314 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under67c986$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.624,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40b9…a596backed Under40c945.03$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.4320150.7%102 W · 99 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf536…1579backed Over43c939.37$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.1215440.3%62 W · 92 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under32c915.34$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.3736235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e48…1ceebacked Over34c867.65$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.651136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4a7…b2efbacked Under66c847.74$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.667044.3%31 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under15c843.28$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.481,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Over29c819.23$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.1853629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Over73c815.53$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.621946.1%101 W · 118 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Over57c810.45$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.4929558.3%172 W · 123 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Under49c751.83$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.7536234%123 W · 239 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7997…5e4bbacked Over46c750$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40522452.2%117 W · 107 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e3a…55babacked Over73c744.93$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.0415044%66 W · 84 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e8e…9665backed Under68c735.29$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50028444.4%126 W · 158 L+1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Over66c723.7$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.716737.7%63 W · 104 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f8d…cf69backed Over29c689.66$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.6627742.2%117 W · 160 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3642…74eabacked Under40c675.35$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.3313727%37 W · 100 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over60c669.49$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.4936539.7%145 W · 220 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over30c650$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45521640.7%88 W · 128 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3c5…f06dbacked Over33c647.27$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.67650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+53.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3d4…59dbbacked Over33c600$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40218449.5%91 W · 93 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02c6…b27bbacked Under51c589.67$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.719649.5%97 W · 99 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over34c588.24$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.2432922.5%74 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d3d…5fcfbacked Over44c586.22$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.246728.4%19 W · 48 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.