TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

United States vs. Australia: Australia 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,774
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,098

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,774 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under72c1,970$1,409 inWon+$561.142,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe1e…7ee3backed Under70c1,070$749 inWon+$32116165.8%106 W · 55 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x692b…b4f2backed Over27c999.94$274 inLost-$273.984323.3%10 W · 33 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-33%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under72c753.01$545 inWon+$207.754,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under70c584.89$410 inWon+$175.322,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over31c559$173 inLost-$173.293,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Over30c500$150 inLost-$15095739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under68c499.98$340 inWon+$159.9970648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x372e…4453backed Over30c499.98$150 inLost-$149.9914829.1%43 W · 105 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Over32c467.06$150 inLost-$15054917.9%98 W · 451 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdcc…7c07backed Over28c360$101 inLost-$100.85745.6%26 W · 31 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under68c341.13$232 inWon+$109.164,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7087…8c57backed Over32c312.5$100 inLost-$1003517.1%6 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x459a…bf86backed Over32c265.19$85 inLost-$84.699237%34 W · 58 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over30c180$54 inLost-$54.091,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under73c171$125 inWon+$46.172,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe103…9526backed Over28c122$34 inLost-$34.161656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over32c119.97$38 inLost-$37.858,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over29c109.17$32 inLost-$31.813,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over31c99.98$31 inLost-$30.991,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5777…f1a7backed Over27c50$13 inLost-$13.346247.6%220 W · 242 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under69c46.42$32 inWon+$14.473,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x551b…e339backed Over32c31.25$10 inLost-$10666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed Over32c31.25$10 inLost-$1037323.1%86 W · 287 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under69c28.16$19 inWon+$8.681,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under69c24.67$17 inWon+$7.651,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2638…8e2dbacked Under69c17.07$12 inWon+$5.2936558.4%213 W · 152 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.