TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$414,545
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$452,500

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $414,545 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x780a…84f0backed Over70c224,039$156,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68,012.931776.5%13 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick67cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under30c150,000$45,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,00074752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under32c46,830$14,841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,841.413,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed Over67c28,542$19,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,542.4414248.6%69 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Over69c21,674$14,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,718.921029%61 W · 149 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over65c21,093$13,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,345.454,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Under35c18,462$6,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,461.833141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under31c14,812$4,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,659.243,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under33c13,538$4,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,466.914,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc43…96d3backed Under38c10,237$3,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,887.564748.9%23 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under34c10,000$3,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3601,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under30c8,918$2,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,718.422,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under33c8,449$2,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,788.1474447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under34c5,934$2,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,041.9844130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under31c5,500$1,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,72586452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under32c4,779$1,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,529.113,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b28…37e6backed Under35c4,652$1,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,634.911553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under31c3,216$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.414,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed Over68c3,040$2,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971.3331152.7%164 W · 147 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Under30c3,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90029646.3%137 W · 159 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under32c2,726$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873.023,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked Under1c2,500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2523540.4%95 W · 140 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d3c…d9b0backed Under32c2,211$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70011436.8%42 W · 72 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Under33c2,008$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.258029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over65c1,974$1,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.062,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa66d…6daabacked Over66c1,956$1,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.062839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over68c1,713$1,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.572,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under32c1,593$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.351,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf97a…a4efbacked Under37c1,142$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.62475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+32.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under32c1,039$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.911,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a23…0f72backed Over62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38012241.8%51 W · 71 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32039050.8%198 W · 192 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32038451.6%198 W · 186 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over64c984.38$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.3835244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under32c975.25$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.0870244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8ec…4d49backed Over65c871.9$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.914264.3%27 W · 15 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+29.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over69c863.35$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.3537955.7%211 W · 168 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0c0…5837backed Over70c840$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2527167.6%48 W · 23 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+3.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Under4c815.15$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6438819.1%74 W · 314 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over62c809.32$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.761,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Over62c789.46$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.9927032.2%87 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under31c735.85$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.371,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under31c702.71$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.842,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked Under36c700$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25213731.4%43 W · 94 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2ab…8432backed Under38c671.05$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2556838.2%26 W · 42 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over62c665.62$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.941,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd20b…3a20backed Over65c630.01$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.512663.5%80 W · 46 L+8.9wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under31c614.82$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.111,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15ec…267dbacked Under36c600$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21627845.7%127 W · 151 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f9a…3f4bbacked Under31c590.32$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1832532%8 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Over65c554$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.93447.1%16 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed Under30c509.99$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15336838.6%142 W · 226 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf536…1579backed Over69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15515440.3%62 W · 92 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under32c500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16040848.8%199 W · 209 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under32c500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16039951.4%205 W · 194 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff57…1802backed Under38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19029740.1%119 W · 178 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe8c6…276abacked Under30c499.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508934.8%31 W · 58 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over70c437.35$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.358,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc70b…d2f2backed Over69c417.61$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.8140240%161 W · 241 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd6f…1765backed Over64c400$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14611946.2%55 W · 64 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b68…cdb2backed Over65c377.71$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.28051.3%41 W · 39 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Over65c349.23$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2310948.6%53 W · 56 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0189…5861backed Over62c321$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12117636.4%64 W · 112 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f8d…cf69backed Over65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.6927742.2%117 W · 160 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc927…a3c2backed Over66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.032552%13 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x152d…1b20backed Over70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.718955.1%49 W · 40 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd1f…9136backed Under38c284.29$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.033759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x760b…6dc8backed Over65c271$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.2310252.9%54 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Over62c256.45$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.4516737.7%63 W · 104 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x059c…050ebacked Under39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023637.7%89 W · 147 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over62c250$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over62c250$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x99c4…6266backed Under39c249.26$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.212441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over69c209.91$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.079467%63 W · 31 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc399…53abbacked Under7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1418431.5%58 W · 126 L-19.1wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-36.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4c9a…0cd4backed Under7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1411537.4%43 W · 72 L-10.6wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-35.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x44f6…663fbacked Over62c195.45$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.273751.4%19 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under33c191.34$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.8682348.8%402 W · 421 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed Under30c169.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5127939.8%111 W · 168 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe569…e759backed Under31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5052441.4%217 W · 307 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04a…d7ecbacked Over62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.299145.1%41 W · 50 L-8.0wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-16.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under31c157$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.142,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3a0b…d29dbacked Over68c156.64$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.8634844.3%154 W · 194 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01ee…6ab0backed Over64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2512763.8%81 W · 46 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf05…5efcbacked Over65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.853246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-23.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0519…3b47backed Over65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.852458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83b8…d1fbbacked Over66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.524650%23 W · 23 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+26.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9331149.5%154 W · 157 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ab4…b18bbacked Under35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011644%51 W · 65 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8628258.2%164 W · 118 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b11…2976backed Over70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8617962.6%112 W · 67 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under34c141.63$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.441,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe70c…17c5backed Over62c129.54$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2333438.6%129 W · 205 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6da9…cb87backed Under32c122.38$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.121533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-39.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe79f…0204backed Under32c112.47$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5113054.6%71 W · 59 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over70c105$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.546562.2%289 W · 176 L+42.0wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+16.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xccee…3eedbacked Over62c104.84$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.845453.7%29 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x077c…98abbacked Over63c104.76$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.7619553.3%104 W · 91 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4acb…74fcbacked Over70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307640.8%31 W · 45 L-7.3wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Under35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3518433.7%62 W · 122 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.