TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

United States vs. Australia: United States 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,650
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$14,193

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,650 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8056…9507backed Under4c2,399$96 inLost-$95.9510940.4%44 W · 65 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under74c1,956$1,447 inLost-$1,446.84,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdca1…fb09backed Under6c1,052$63 inLost-$63.126624.2%16 W · 50 L+7.5wins+0.11per pick13cpaid+92.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcdcc…7c07backed Over21c475$100 inWon+$375.255745.6%26 W · 31 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x848c…2bf0backed Over22c450.08$100 inWon+$350.0822122.2%49 W · 172 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under77c356.96$275 inLost-$274.861,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under79c295.24$233 inLost-$233.244,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcb2…02b0backed Over21c238.1$50 inWon+$188.136534.2%125 W · 240 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc29…422abacked Over19c210.53$40 inWon+$170.535930.5%18 W · 41 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over19c177.61$34 inWon+$143.778,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under80c156$125 inLost-$124.82,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ab…9fd9backed Over33c106.48$35 inWon+$70.99744.1%3 W · 71 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick10cpaid-60.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b0c…80babacked Over20c100$20 inWon+$801526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ea9…2194backed Over20c75$15 inWon+$60250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+150%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under79c61.86$49 inLost-$49.073,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4ad…2161backed Over21c57.14$12 inWon+$45.1414526.2%38 W · 107 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f04…2392backed Under70c15$11 inLost-$10.5523866.8%159 W · 79 L+12.5wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.