Fifa International · resolved market
United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x251cf7139459b536144810f2bafa0a05719f62b8c90cb64148a064db35192b77
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,624
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,209
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,624 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 18c | 3,882$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.4 | 657 | 37.4%246 W · 411 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf285…ab24backed Under | 78c | 3,200$2,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Over | 17c | 2,500$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 287 | 31%89 W · 198 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 80c | 2,360$1,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.88 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742d…020dbacked Over | 19c | 2,297$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.02 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Over | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Under | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.98 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Over | 20c | 1,803$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.44 | 580 | 29.5%171 W · 409 L | -19.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 16c | 1,739$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.97 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 10c | 1,684$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.62 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c0…b876backed Over | 19c | 1,053$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 105 | 32.4%34 W · 71 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7f…dc59backed Over | 22c | 909.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 104 | 25%26 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 10c | 885.07$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.17 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 3c | 746.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00cb…3992backed Under | 78c | 644.87$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.87 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd360…2eabbacked Under | 78c | 566.67$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.67 | 223 | 55.6%124 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdea…c050backed Over | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x351d…8574backed Over | 5c | 555$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 13c | 521.55$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.73 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59dc…2a03backed Over | 18c | 450$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 245 | 33.9%83 W · 162 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 11c | 361.39$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.01 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Over | 16c | 328.82$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.01 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 79c | 324$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.2 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 79c | 315.98$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.36 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6da9…cb87backed Over | 19c | 260$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.49 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c5…6f9cbacked Over | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 130 | 21.5%28 W · 102 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Over | 21c | 200.1$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.02 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Under | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 524 | 55%288 W · 236 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Over | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1e…0a03backed Over | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 72 | 2.8%2 W · 70 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -96.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7393…751abacked Over | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 200 | 3%6 W · 194 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 6c | 199.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 465 | 25.4%118 W · 347 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba0…14e4backed Over | 22c | 185.43$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.79 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x952d…ab8abacked Under | 79c | 157.13$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 21c | 130$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Over | 18c | 125$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 226 | 23.5%53 W · 173 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe182…9f09backed Over | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 180 | 2.8%5 W · 175 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce6…9036backed Over | 24c | 121.96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.27 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Over | 21c | 119.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Over | 18c | 112$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 266 | 31.2%83 W · 183 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Over | 21c | 103.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over | 21c | 103.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 481 | 52.4%252 W · 229 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 14c | 95.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Over | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 373 | 23.1%86 W · 287 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…2a6abacked Over | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 823 | 48.8%402 W · 421 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 79c | 30.56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb8…970cbacked Under | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac5d…7270backed Under | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 78c | 25.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 80c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 477 | 44.2%211 W · 266 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24a9…c44abacked Under | 78c | 17.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 79c | 17.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Australia (-1.5)United States won
- Spread: Australia (-2.5)United States won
- Spread: Australia (-3.5)United States won
- Spread: United States (-1.5)United States won
- Spread: United States (-2.5)Australia won
- Spread: United States (-3.5)Australia won
- Spread: United States (-4.5)Australia won
- Spread: United States (-5.5)Australia won
- United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: Australia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: Australia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 0.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 3.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 4.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 5.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 6.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 7.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 8.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: United States 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Australia: United States 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.