United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score in First Half

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad7dc21f5b42967bdd510a1e1fcb36f8f1674db5cdbee6164a636f49b3c38723

Rebuilt 1 day ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $55,028
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $58,100

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,028 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x15a2…3e89backed Yes	16c	5,992$972 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$971.6	112	19.6%22 W · 90 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa94…3601backed Yes	18c	5,500$990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$990	62	16.1%10 W · 52 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6650…ddeabacked Yes	19c	4,763$905 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$904.97	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-1.2wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Yes	16c	1,146$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.03	580	29.5%171 W · 409 L	-19.9wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	18c	1,090$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.09	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a4…6ed6backed Yes	19c	1,053$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	57	38.6%22 W · 35 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Yes	18c	1,000$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	644	43.3%279 W · 365 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5422…a780backed Yes	17c	899.99$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153	208	25%52 W · 156 L	-4.8wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75fc…0a4cbacked Yes	17c	829.41$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141	122	23%28 W · 94 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf76a…71e6backed Yes	9c	743.81$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	195	20%39 W · 156 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e2a…d25cbacked Yes	17c	705.88$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	191	24.6%47 W · 144 L	-6.8wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b3c…0b94backed Yes	19c	591.53$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.39	29	24.1%7 W · 22 L	-3.6wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	-46.7%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2618…aecfbacked Yes	17c	588.24$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	37	29.7%11 W · 26 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes	18c	556.11$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	316	11.4%36 W · 280 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4629…ab9abacked Yes	15c	533.33$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	53	24.5%13 W · 40 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf639…4a74backed Yes	19c	526.32$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	173	22.5%39 W · 134 L	+4.9wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1e8…fdd3backed Yes	20c	500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x372e…4453backed Yes	18c	500$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	148	29.1%43 W · 105 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No	80c	410.25$328 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.05	1,075	45.2%486 W · 589 L	+41.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Yes	22c	399.99$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	80	32.5%26 W · 54 L	-7.6wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xde19…e90dbacked Yes	19c	375.17$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.28	46	41.3%19 W · 27 L	-3.0wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fed…c228backed Yes	21c	322.36$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.45	65	29.2%19 W · 46 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a07…dc6cbacked Yes	19c	293.63$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.79	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-1.4wins	-0.12per pick	31cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe569…e759backed Yes	19c	263.16$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	524	41.4%217 W · 307 L	+5.7wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e79…9076backed Yes	19c	263.16$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	413	39%161 W · 252 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4186…7513backed Yes	19c	263.16$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	44	25%11 W · 33 L	+2.2wins	+0.05per pick	20cpaid	+24.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f65…0b1abacked No	76c	256.28$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.61	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	62cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	18c	240$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.1	238	20.6%49 W · 189 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Yes	19c	211.13$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.11	42	50%21 W · 21 L	+3.0wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+18%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x510a…995abacked Yes	20c	205$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	43	41.9%18 W · 25 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a1e…0a03backed Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	72	2.8%2 W · 70 L	-4.2wins	-0.06per pick	9cpaid	-96.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7393…751abacked Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	200	3%6 W · 194 L	-6.1wins	-0.03per pick	6cpaid	-59.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes	16c	197.75$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.45	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5c64…75afbacked Yes	19c	184.21$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	53	37.7%20 W · 33 L	-3.7wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa24d…38b2backed Yes	15c	166.67$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	116	31.9%37 W · 79 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e9b…5ba4backed Yes	19c	157.89$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	25	28%7 W · 18 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8f5…1a48backed Yes	19c	157.89$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	41	43.9%18 W · 23 L	+3.4wins	+0.08per pick	36cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6bd8…f260backed Yes	20c	150$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	379	19.5%74 W · 305 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdb7…75f2backed No	74c	150$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39	71	67.6%48 W · 23 L	+7.8wins	+0.11per pick	57cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x292a…e42fbacked Yes	16c	140$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.4	36	22.2%8 W · 28 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14af…02f2backed Yes	19c	132.84$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.24	60	31.7%19 W · 41 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe182…9f09backed Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	180	2.8%5 W · 175 L	-7.8wins	-0.04per pick	7cpaid	-65.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c75…c91fbacked Yes	19c	105.26$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	107	37.4%40 W · 67 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80cd…0558backed Yes	19c	105.26$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	93	18.3%17 W · 76 L	-4.4wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbff7…560fbacked Yes	19c	105.26$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	58	17.2%10 W · 48 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dfe…6edabacked Yes	18c	100$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	48	27.1%13 W · 35 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xeea2…f26dbacked Yes	16c	100$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	84	21.4%18 W · 66 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Yes	15c	98.95$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.84	512	28.9%148 W · 364 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes	19c	95$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.96	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacd4…9e98backed Yes	17c	88.24$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5da1…b37abacked Yes	19c	78.95$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-47.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe71c…4987backed Yes	19c	78.95$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	49	28.6%14 W · 35 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb56b…28dbbacked Yes	20c	70$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	42	16.7%7 W · 35 L	-4.9wins	-0.12per pick	28cpaid	-75.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1201…a74dbacked No	78c	66.42$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.42	49	28.6%14 W · 35 L	-4.5wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c48…f6f6backed Yes	19c	64$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.16	60	26.7%16 W · 44 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x272e…e55abacked Yes	33c	60.61$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	43	58.1%25 W · 18 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+18.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe996…689abacked Yes	19c	54.37$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.33	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	+185.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a41…34dabacked Yes	20c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.22per pick	44cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6e…a6b6backed Yes	32c	50$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	32	34.4%11 W · 21 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a82…bfc6backed Yes	20c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed No	78c	45.45$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	1,795	44.2%794 W · 1,001 L	-12.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5fe…1daabacked Yes	32c	31.25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	32	53.1%17 W · 15 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x59d3…c92fbacked No	80c	30$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6	47	36.2%17 W · 30 L	-4.6wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9991…36b8backed No	78c	22.56$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.96	192	57.8%111 W · 81 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score in First Halfthis page
Spread: Australia (-1.5)United States won
Spread: Australia (-2.5)United States won
Spread: Australia (-3.5)United States won
Spread: United States (-1.5)United States won
Spread: United States (-2.5)Australia won
Spread: United States (-3.5)Australia won
Spread: United States (-4.5)Australia won
Spread: United States (-5.5)Australia won
United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: Australia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: Australia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 0.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 1.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 2.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
United States vs. Australia: O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Australia: O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: O/U 3.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: O/U 4.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: O/U 5.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: O/U 6.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: O/U 7.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: O/U 8.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: United States 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Australia: United States 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 2.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score in First Half

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event