Fifa International · resolved market
United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score in Second Half
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4c9111e81a23a4d80dffdffb664907a6f9695385db57e5a30cb56465c1f545d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,632
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,406
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,632 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Yes | 27c | 11,202$3,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,029.1 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…6586backed No | 73c | 5,973$4,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612.81 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -46%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 26c | 4,306$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.47 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 24c | 3,590$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.97 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed No | 72c | 2,991$2,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.77 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…ddeabacked Yes | 29c | 2,893$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.02 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 73c | 2,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…7181backed Yes | 33c | 1,525$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…69e5backed No | 71c | 1,338$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.03 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…7a85backed No | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda20…cb8dbacked No | 75c | 750$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.5 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 76c | 649$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.76 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes | 24c | 613.48$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 316 | 11.4%36 W · 280 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 56c | 581.48$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.83 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x381d…f5dabacked Yes | 25c | 580$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Yes | 27c | 550$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 208 | 25%52 W · 156 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 68c | 548.35$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.03 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…9299backed No | 71c | 540.71$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.57 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8188…b171backed Yes | 26c | 537.09$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.56 | 188 | 39.9%75 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Yes | 27c | 526.11$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.38 | 580 | 29.5%171 W · 409 L | -19.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Yes | 25c | 501$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.25 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09c1…0ddfbacked No | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…83d3backed Yes | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4c…f815backed No | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…02febacked No | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde41…58bdbacked Yes | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53b4…2e88backed Yes | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a87…2500backed Yes | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 21c | 464.27$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.02 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba46…6ac5backed No | 75c | 390$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 45 | 82.2%37 W · 8 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 71cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Yes | 27c | 378.19$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.49 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 73c | 347$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.89 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 73c | 347$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.89 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 77c | 252$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.96 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8db…7c68backed Yes | 23c | 216.43$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.47 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 77c | 169$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.87 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdca1…fb09backed Yes | 6c | 166.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 66 | 24.2%16 W · 50 L | +7.5wins | +0.11per pick | 13cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 75c | 139.89$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.93 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 72c | 132.02$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.34 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 73c | 112.86$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.54 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f41…e6aebacked No | 72c | 105.57$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.56 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8138…80acbacked Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 135 | 28.1%38 W · 97 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed No | 73c | 102.56$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.89 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x372e…4453backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 148 | 29.1%43 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e1…e180backed No | 51c | 98.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.03 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ab…15a0backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ea…52d2backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked No | 79c | 80.86$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 518 | 59.8%310 W · 208 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb56b…28dbbacked Yes | 27c | 70.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Yes | 26c | 70.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c23…9788backed No | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 27c | 67.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafeb…5cd2backed No | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15f4…2a4dbacked Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…bb92backed Yes | 23c | 52.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa46f…87c3backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 71c | 47.14$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 198 | 62.1%123 W · 75 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 31c | 46.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1f…6465backed Yes | 25c | 42.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 136 | 41.2%56 W · 80 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c1…6b9dbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa890…92b1backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca4…8bfcbacked Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Yes | 27c | 39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 548 | 59.5%326 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…07eabacked Yes | 31c | 32.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb1…6c8fbacked No | 78c | 30.95$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 166 | 55.4%92 W · 74 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked No | 78c | 30.95$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 709 | 48.9%347 W · 362 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 77c | 30.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 454 | 72.9%331 W · 123 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 66c | 22.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50f4…04d4backed No | 73c | 19.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfthis page
- Spread: Australia (-1.5)United States won
- Spread: Australia (-2.5)United States won
- Spread: Australia (-3.5)United States won
- Spread: United States (-1.5)United States won
- Spread: United States (-2.5)Australia won
- Spread: United States (-3.5)Australia won
- Spread: United States (-4.5)Australia won
- Spread: United States (-5.5)Australia won
- United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: Australia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: Australia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 0.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 3.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 4.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 5.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 6.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 7.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 8.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: United States 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Australia: United States 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.