TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

United States vs. Australia: 2nd Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,781
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,842

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,781 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under19c294.47$56 inWon+$238.521,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf07c…78f6backed Over79c251.65$200 inLost-$20012954.3%70 W · 59 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over51c221.89$114 inLost-$114.081,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under17c185.94$31 inWon+$155.12,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7cd…093abacked Under27c185.37$50 inWon+$135.3728822.6%65 W · 223 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under20c177.01$35 inWon+$142.224,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under21c94.62$20 inWon+$74.7534249.1%168 W · 174 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd3c…fc78backed Over79c91$72 inLost-$71.8922560.4%136 W · 89 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over57c73.78$42 inLost-$421,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over79c70.67$56 inLost-$55.832,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27e5…0b32backed Over40c63.81$26 inLost-$25.7630%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under20c59.06$12 inWon+$47.253,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0546…c2c3backed Over80c55.96$45 inLost-$44.77728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick35cpaid+73.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca8…7e67backed Under22c50$11 inWon+$3917737.9%67 W · 110 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x90e8…d10bbacked Under59c33.85$20 inWon+$13.851338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed Under65c21.08$14 inWon+$7.3617760.5%107 W · 70 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.