Spread: United States (-2.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27fc9fbdb295e18efb4eaab54827a2286268f47f39d9ba187b6b0d284acf2bf7

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Australiaof United States, Australia
Resolved: Jun 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $536,320
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $519,551

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $536,320 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 283 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Australia	73c	176,526$128,530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47,995.56	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed United States	30c	77,939$23,454 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23,453.95	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed United States	26c	56,788$14,577 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,577.02	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed United States	50c	50,000$25,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,000	223	48.4%108 W · 115 L	+11.4wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d7b…e2cebacked Australia	50c	44,192$22,096 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,095.99	84	40.5%34 W · 50 L	-6.4wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked United States	14c	30,000$4,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,199.99	96	27.1%26 W · 70 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	+1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed United States	47c	17,237$8,073 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,073.26	364	37.1%135 W · 229 L	+16.5wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed United States	16c	13,951$2,232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,231.89	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked United States	49c	7,147$3,502 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,502	580	49.1%285 W · 295 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37ae…1002backed United States	14c	7,143$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	249	17.7%44 W · 205 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed United States	16c	6,145$983 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$983.23	580	29.5%171 W · 409 L	-19.9wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77fc…0eacbacked United States	15c	6,000$880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$880	105	18.1%19 W · 86 L	-7.3wins	-0.07per pick	25cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked United States	26c	5,027$1,325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,325.12	536	29.9%160 W · 376 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed United States	39c	4,881$1,911 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,910.51	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed United States	42c	4,444$1,866 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,866.48	320	29.4%94 W · 226 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Australia	70c	4,217$2,952 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,265.3	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked United States	15c	4,000$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	250	19.6%49 W · 201 L	-5.6wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed United States	14c	4,000$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$560	354	46%163 W · 191 L	+7.8wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd881…af24backed Australia	50c	3,980$1,990 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,990.15	224	50.4%113 W · 111 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb726…4d2bbacked Australia	51c	3,922$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,921.57	95	47.4%45 W · 50 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed Australia	70c	3,459$2,414 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,045.61	208	56.7%118 W · 90 L	+8.2wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked United States	16c	3,458$553 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$553.28	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Australia	53c	3,358$1,775 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,583.28	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked United States	31c	3,102$974 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$974.02	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed United States	16c	2,918$467 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$466.88	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95f7…5541backed United States	39c	2,564$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	105	44.8%47 W · 58 L	+4.0wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x160a…c68cbacked United States	16c	2,500$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	30	46.7%14 W · 16 L	+1.8wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd60…423abacked Australia	62c	2,441$1,516 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$925.93	60	53.3%32 W · 28 L	+6.3wins	+0.10per pick	43cpaid	+55.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7349…cc3abacked United States	39c	2,387$941 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$940.58	206	46.1%95 W · 111 L	+12.9wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed United States	52c	2,110$1,095 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,095.06	188	37.2%70 W · 118 L	-6.6wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Australia	73c	2,028$1,476 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$551.9	510	32.5%166 W · 344 L	-9.1wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16a4…66adbacked United States	50c	2,002$1,001 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,001	175	18.3%32 W · 143 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc021…1fa8backed United States	16c	2,000$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310	79	41.8%33 W · 46 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa58b…e1b6backed United States	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	12	25%3 W · 9 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed United States	15c	1,951$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.35	42	35.7%15 W · 27 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Australia	50c	1,850$916 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$934.14	981	34.8%341 W · 640 L	-7.8wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed United States	53c	1,692$897 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$896.76	326	56.1%183 W · 143 L	+29.5wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+29.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x48da…0419backed United States	49c	1,633$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800.17	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Australia	71c	1,605$1,140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$465.46	617	50.6%312 W · 305 L	+4.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Australia	71c	1,552$1,105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$446.89	1,252	39.2%491 W · 761 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed United States	16c	1,481$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.96	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x06f8…2062backed United States	14c	1,429$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	59	16.9%10 W · 49 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12a2…0e71backed Australia	71c	1,408$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$408.45	191	58.1%111 W · 80 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc33…eb35backed Australia	71c	1,404$990 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$413.87	71	57.7%41 W · 30 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf639…4a74backed United States	7c	1,345$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	173	22.5%39 W · 134 L	+4.9wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0111…1071backed United States	37c	1,320$488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$488.4	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+2.9wins	+0.24per pick	43cpaid	+51.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed United States	16c	1,250$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	363	49.3%179 W · 184 L	+15.4wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked United States	28c	1,200$336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$335.86	894	43.4%388 W · 506 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed United States	19c	1,188$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.01	858	51.2%439 W · 419 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cbb…8a37backed United States	16c	1,143$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.89	76	32.9%25 W · 51 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed Australia	68c	1,099$748 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$351.8	264	59.5%157 W · 107 L	+18.0wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf763…a0aabacked Australia	67c	1,076$721 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$354.2	187	65.2%122 W · 65 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	63cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Australia	51c	1,015$518 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$497.31	292	32.9%96 W · 196 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed United States	36c	1,010$363 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$363.37	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce37…a2d6backed United States	15c	1,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	+2.0wins	+0.09per pick	26cpaid	+63.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed United States	51c	1,000$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510	635	44.4%282 W · 353 L	-18.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e39…77f3backed Australia	51c	1,000$510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$490	84	31%26 W · 58 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98be…5794backed United States	15c	1,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	115	31.3%36 W · 79 L	-5.9wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Australia	46c	1,000$460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$540	230	46.5%107 W · 123 L	-5.0wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd35b…4a53backed United States	14c	999.96$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.99	79	15.2%12 W · 67 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x860d…5648backed United States	16c	937.5$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	142	44.4%63 W · 79 L	+7.1wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Australia	72c	852.53$612 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240.4	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Australia	49c	816.33$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$416.33	450	38.2%172 W · 278 L	-28.4wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x48ed…33bebacked Australia	51c	815.84$418 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$397.84	44	52.3%23 W · 21 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x692b…b4f2backed United States	49c	800$392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$392	43	23.3%10 W · 33 L	-3.0wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-33%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed Australia	51c	800$408 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$392	279	39.8%111 W · 168 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49a3…b013backed United States	50c	790.42$395 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$395.21	40	47.5%19 W · 21 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked United States	30c	775.72$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.34	2,793	46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed United States	16c	735.12$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115	608	21.9%133 W · 475 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Australia	48c	726.14$349 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$376.78	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Australia	69c	655$451 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$203.78	168	33.9%57 W · 111 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Australia	72c	632.37$452 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$179.89	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08d5…1cbbbacked United States	16c	625$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	107	26.2%28 W · 79 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b5e…ba7ebacked Australia	49c	612.24$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$312.24	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Australia	75c	603.22$455 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148.62	1,459	53.9%787 W · 672 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed United States	15c	600$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	471	27.8%131 W · 340 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked United States	31c	569$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.83	68	35.3%24 W · 44 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed United States	54c	545.45$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297	257	53.3%137 W · 120 L	+23.5wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Australia	52c	510.98$265 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245.51	855	50.6%433 W · 422 L	+54.8wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed United States	50c	500$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	41	31.7%13 W · 28 L	-3.5wins	-0.09per pick	40cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc3bf…e70fbacked United States	29c	499.85$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.96	405	15.3%62 W · 343 L	+11.8wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a8a…cb94backed United States	47c	494.33$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.5	180	56.1%101 W · 79 L	+14.8wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe216…52adbacked Australia	47c	471.49$221 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250.44	48	37.5%18 W · 30 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked United States	45c	463.61$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.91	1,354	38.9%527 W · 827 L	-55.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Australia	78c	463.61$361 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.92	362	34%123 W · 239 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x152d…1b20backed United States	50c	460$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230	89	55.1%49 W · 40 L	+5.6wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x510a…995abacked United States	50c	450.46$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.23	43	41.9%18 W · 25 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9e7…377dbacked Australia	51c	445.69$229 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216.69	92	53.3%49 W · 43 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ea6…428abacked Australia	74c	405.41$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.41	67	47.8%32 W · 35 L	-7.8wins	-0.12per pick	59cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x888c…19f9backed Australia	50c	402$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$202	89	33.7%30 W · 59 L	+3.6wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4520…9182backed United States	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	151	46.4%70 W · 81 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc538…3d1ebacked Australia	55c	399.41$219 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$179.95	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.11per pick	24cpaid	-77.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfbd…21d2backed United States	15c	350$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.5	71	22.5%16 W · 55 L	+6.4wins	+0.09per pick	14cpaid	+40.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcd1d…33aabacked Australia	73c	342.47$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.47	72	45.8%33 W · 39 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce82…03d3backed United States	16c	336$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.31	73	21.9%16 W · 57 L	-5.8wins	-0.08per pick	30cpaid	-55.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2572…a8a7backed United States	6c	335$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	30	30%9 W · 21 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	+31.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed United States	40c	325.99$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.33	1,563	39.8%622 W · 941 L	-51.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb399…9435backed United States	51c	317.32$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.67	280	42.1%118 W · 162 L	-16.5wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e89…3e0abacked United States	16c	312.5$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	267	16.1%43 W · 224 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x848c…2bf0backed United States	16c	312.5$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	221	22.2%49 W · 172 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: United States (-2.5)this page
Spread: Australia (-1.5)United States won
Spread: Australia (-2.5)United States won
Spread: Australia (-3.5)United States won
Spread: United States (-1.5)United States won
Spread: United States (-3.5)Australia won
Spread: United States (-4.5)Australia won
Spread: United States (-5.5)Australia won
United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: Australia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: Australia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 0.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 1.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 2.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
United States vs. Australia: O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Australia: O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: O/U 3.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: O/U 4.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: O/U 5.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: O/U 6.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: O/U 7.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: O/U 8.5Under won
United States vs. Australia: United States 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Australia: United States 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 0.5Over won
United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 1.5Over won
United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 2.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: United States (-2.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event