TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

United States vs. Australia: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$776,435
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$847,174

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $776,435 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 466 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9cb9…32f2backed Under31c145,000$44,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,949.8725038.8%97 W · 153 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5966…f804backed Over71c72,864$51,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,130.432669.2%18 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+26.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over70c55,892$39,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,648.034,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under29c43,275$12,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,567.9477152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Under7c35,343$2,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,453.3936437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under29c20,000$5,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,799.9874447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under19c19,902$3,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,859.941,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c3…3e18backed Under2c17,833$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.7413268.2%90 W · 42 L+20.0wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+25.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over74c14,512$10,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,728.41,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Under2c12,607$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.7451514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Under1c12,452$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.5233843.5%147 W · 191 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under25c11,699$2,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,970.93,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under25c10,653$2,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,612.241,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c44…0fb0backed Over71c9,729$6,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,821.282080%16 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over75c8,598$6,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,148.742,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6370…e2f4backed Under25c8,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.19per pick38cpaid-53%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under28c6,684$1,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,871.471,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa704…11c1backed Over76c6,579$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,578.958672.1%62 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69b2…5f6bbacked Over76c6,579$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,578.952556%14 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under25c6,102$1,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,554.271,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under11c5,673$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62444539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Over78c5,306$4,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,146.8678317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over71c5,275$3,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,509.912,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x447f…a05ebacked Over76c5,000$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2003562.9%22 W · 13 L+5.0wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+27.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under1c4,532$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.3221314.1%30 W · 183 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick7cpaid+135.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Over76c4,386$3,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,052.5314246.5%66 W · 76 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Over76c4,190$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$990.6495037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1129…6f00backed Over70c4,036$2,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2042665.4%17 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over75c3,637$2,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.728,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0724…9091backed Under25c3,476$869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869.037533.3%25 W · 50 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under26c3,475$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.762,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under8c3,319$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.221722.1%48 W · 169 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54f6…b0f2backed Over75c3,214$2,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.5714463.2%91 W · 53 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under24c3,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72086452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under5c2,992$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.632656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over69c2,899$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.5530465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Over73c2,877$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.7611952.9%63 W · 56 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a881backed Over71c2,817$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.911647.4%55 W · 61 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under24c2,726$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.3147144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked Under18c2,700$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49413731.4%43 W · 94 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d76…11aebacked Over76c2,632$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.588252.4%43 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under11c2,613$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.4444130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Under24c2,500$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60048441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked Under26c2,500$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.9515740.8%64 W · 93 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Under24c2,456$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.5447643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over74c2,424$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.0210261.8%63 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd053…307abacked Over76c2,360$1,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.413256.3%18 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81c1…5c7dbacked Over76c2,358$1,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.922259.1%13 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick68cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over71c2,355$1,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.822,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Under27c2,171$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.4558029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb9d…92ddbacked Under10c2,100$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.21263.8%1 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eeb…c387backed Over74c2,042$1,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.977455.4%41 W · 33 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea16…79debacked Over74c2,003$1,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.05333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-55.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8056…9507backed Under1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010940.4%44 W · 65 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23b0…13a3backed Under26c2,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52015128.5%43 W · 108 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under26c2,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52064443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Under24c2,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.9844144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Under24c1,998$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.5347442.8%203 W · 271 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x897c…cb6cbacked Over71c1,972$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.833470.6%24 W · 10 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf5e2…1327backed Under26c1,923$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004820.8%10 W · 38 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-31.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x64e9…9324backed Over71c1,712$1,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.569654.2%52 W · 44 L+0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6d0…9b55backed Over76c1,711$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.535952.5%31 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under26c1,704$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.713,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under11c1,687$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.442,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde80…d8b9backed Under27c1,630$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4406136.1%22 W · 39 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+28%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under24c1,500$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36050243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Under10c1,479$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.8530642.8%131 W · 175 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4871…0742backed Over69c1,449$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.2811147.7%53 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x990e…cecfbacked Over72c1,389$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.897867.9%53 W · 25 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under14c1,359$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.3236235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over70c1,340$941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.613,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x831c…ce7dbacked Under2c1,333$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6711044.5%49 W · 61 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21d5…442bbacked Over76c1,316$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.7910949.5%54 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5960…6d42backed Under24c1,271$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31018548.1%89 W · 96 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6945…729cbacked Under9c1,208$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.974623.9%11 W · 35 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed Under24c1,189$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.317949.2%88 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under27c1,174$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.811,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5147…1c33backed Over76c1,171$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.051566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2536…5d91backed Under26c1,154$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002619.2%5 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick29cpaid-30.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under27c1,133$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.231,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb41a…0a9bbacked Under10c1,111$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.117047.1%33 W · 37 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+55.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x830b…32fdbacked Over69c1,006$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.7723747.3%112 W · 125 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa566…72debacked Under5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507040%28 W · 42 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under25c990.67$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.262,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f9a…3f4bbacked Under25c940$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2352532%8 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Over76c925.75$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.1858942.6%251 W · 338 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Under10c840.27$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.4339933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under25c840$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2105538.2%21 W · 34 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under25c838.07$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.5271638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10065948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x900e…104dbacked Over72c823.31$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.531861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd254…9858backed Over76c810.7$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.579462.8%59 W · 35 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfac3…5728backed Over77c800$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1844235.7%15 W · 27 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick45cpaid+10.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4fca…1938backed Under25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009849%48 W · 50 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc70b…d2f2backed Under24c798.78$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.1340240%161 W · 241 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over71c788.61$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.021,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9ac…c5d1backed Over71c704.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.2324539.6%97 W · 148 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1e5…c5dfbacked Over71c704.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.236053.3%32 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc19d…7204backed Over71c704.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.2317339.3%68 W · 105 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23fa…140bbacked Over71c704.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.2316750.3%84 W · 83 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.