Fifa International · resolved market
United States vs. Australia: United States 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36a22ea3278a9c5ccd0b86df5b90cb53e10aa9a29634d49ab136d890342ff444
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,405
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,562
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,405 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Over | 56c | 7,999$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,498.52 | 196 | 44.9%88 W · 108 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 44c | 3,300$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.95 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 45c | 2,590$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.58 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked Over | 53c | 2,056$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.34 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 44c | 1,923$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.46 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 44c | 1,469$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.28 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 1,417$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.69 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 46c | 1,122$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.62 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 57c | 992.98$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.46 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7940…47e7backed Under | 43c | 700$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 42c | 574.32$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.22 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…7debbacked Under | 44c | 563.39$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.89 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11a2…0532backed Over | 55c | 538.18$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.18 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Under | 48c | 534.36$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.03 | 580 | 29.5%171 W · 409 L | -19.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789f…3e7dbacked Under | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd5…28f2backed Under | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed Under | 43c | 499.98$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.49 | 368 | 38.6%142 W · 226 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc7…f7debacked Over | 56c | 449.5$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.78 | 149 | 39.6%59 W · 90 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…5058backed Over | 58c | 431.21$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.21 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de6…d677backed Over | 51c | 389.21$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.21 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4568…2402backed Under | 45c | 354$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.01 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed Under | 44c | 350$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd252…775bbacked Over | 57c | 344.23$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.67 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 44c | 303.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.31 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed Over | 55c | 291.04$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.04 | 233 | 36.9%86 W · 147 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 45c | 286.05$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.77 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 55c | 221.77$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.68 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Over | 52c | 213.22$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.22 | 432 | 46.8%202 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdcc…7c07backed Over | 55c | 182$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.9 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…958dbacked Over | 58c | 171.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.17 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53e1…f420backed Over | 52c | 123.8$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.42 | 138 | 37.7%52 W · 86 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7957…18cfbacked Over | 57c | 120.18$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Over | 54c | 112.57$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.78 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Under | 44c | 99.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.74 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Under | 47c | 94.01$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.94 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbd…4476backed Over | 54c | 93.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.46 | 212 | 50.9%108 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf555…b36bbacked Over | 56c | 92.86$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.86 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65f9…4425backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f5…1a48backed Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Under | 47c | 84.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.73 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Over | 54c | 64.71$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.77 | 105 | 62.9%66 W · 39 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Over | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f5d…7590backed Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6e…a6b6backed Over | 56c | 51.79$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c80…6f38backed Over | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…d27cbacked Over | 53c | 43.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8278…ad93backed Over | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…eacfbacked Over | 56c | 35.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x202f…f12dbacked Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a6…2923backed Over | 57c | 30.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 45c | 27.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Under | 43c | 27.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 365 | 58.4%213 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x045c…5861backed Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +10.7wins | +0.25per pick | 49cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb6…9e4dbacked Over | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 141 | 55.3%78 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77fc…432bbacked Over | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 249 | 55.4%138 W · 111 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 254 | 55.9%142 W · 112 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- United States vs. Australia: United States 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- Spread: Australia (-1.5)United States won
- Spread: Australia (-2.5)United States won
- Spread: Australia (-3.5)United States won
- Spread: United States (-1.5)United States won
- Spread: United States (-2.5)Australia won
- Spread: United States (-3.5)Australia won
- Spread: United States (-4.5)Australia won
- Spread: United States (-5.5)Australia won
- United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: Australia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: Australia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 0.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 3.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 4.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 5.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 6.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 7.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 8.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: United States 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.