Fifa International · resolved market
United States vs. Australia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd2f6fdb40e00f1fc1b42c309deb790c6bedd835b567e2292523ddbf1a76b1fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,146
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,879
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,146 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Under | 57c | 4,802$2,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,064.77 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 42c | 4,746$2,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,006.17 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 68c | 1,500$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.57 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d68…4354backed Under | 32c | 1,179$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.59 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +10.5wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 56c | 837.92$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.49 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…002abacked Under | 67c | 619.88$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.38 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -48%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…9299backed Under | 57c | 484.24$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.97 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under | 55c | 420$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05e0…e2cbbacked Under | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Under | 68c | 314.52$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.65 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 58c | 291.01$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.54 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 44c | 269.22$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.55 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 110 | 42.7%47 W · 63 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Under | 34c | 249.2$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.47 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +10.8wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 55c | 244.46$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.38 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 46c | 240.41$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.11 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 42c | 239$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.38 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 55c | 227$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.15 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 55c | 227$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.15 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0f…e5f4backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 37c | 197.92$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 55c | 125$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 44c | 120.35$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.24 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Over | 44c | 109.18$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Over | 19c | 103$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Under | 64c | 101.54$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.46 | 186 | 42.5%79 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94ac…cd94backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 285 | 44.6%127 W · 158 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0720backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…7a89backed Over | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 54c | 91.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.13 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 15c | 89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…1fd2backed Under | 33c | 85.66$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Over | 44c | 75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f79…69cabacked Under | 55c | 59.46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7843…7f7dbacked Over | 46c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 163 | 41.7%68 W · 95 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf76a…71e6backed Over | 49c | 53.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 195 | 20%39 W · 156 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…f8dabacked Over | 46c | 49.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…236ebacked Over | 43c | 44.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 45c | 44.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee91…c2fdbacked Over | 47c | 36.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 44c | 32.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 53c | 31.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…5805backed Over | 47c | 27.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 156 | 35.9%56 W · 100 L | -12.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 44c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6c…6822backed Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- United States vs. Australia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Australia (-1.5)United States won
- Spread: Australia (-2.5)United States won
- Spread: Australia (-3.5)United States won
- Spread: United States (-1.5)United States won
- Spread: United States (-2.5)Australia won
- Spread: United States (-3.5)Australia won
- Spread: United States (-4.5)Australia won
- Spread: United States (-5.5)Australia won
- United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: Australia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: Australia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 0.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 3.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 4.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 5.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 6.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 7.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 8.5Under won
- United States vs. Australia: United States 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Australia: United States 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.