TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xccee…3eed

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
88
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: World Politics, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 54 out of 100; worst Champions League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT5453.7%29 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
England vs. Ghana: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
England vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+53.3%+$21.31
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$12.67
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$9.59
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.61
Belgium vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$10.21
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.68
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$13.33
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
United States leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$71.95
United States to score first vs. Australia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.42
United States vs. Australia: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
United States vs. Australia: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$43.45
United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$39.84
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.32
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+525%+$69.8
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.41
Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+61.6%+$16.64
Liverpool FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.34
Paris Saint-Germain FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.51
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.78
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.19
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.29
All 11 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$12.49
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$254
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$60.39
Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$11.45
Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+158.8%+$51.35
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 8 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid+257.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.