Fifa International · resolved market
United States to score first vs. Australia?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6abdef92161f7db709d097c4445fd63132474dd3a17f6516cfae8cdbda3c9615
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,873
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,793
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,873 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 66c | 34,283$22,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,644.11 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 34c | 14,743$5,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,012.79 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…b3b4backed No | 34c | 12,008$4,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,082.65 | 203 | 33.5%68 W · 135 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked No | 34c | 7,500$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.94 | 207 | 31.4%65 W · 142 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 65c | 5,341$3,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,847.14 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 66c | 4,194$2,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.18 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 34c | 2,792$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.37 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 34c | 2,558$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.8 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 34c | 2,061$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.13 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e8…7c26backed Yes | 66c | 1,520$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.8 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 311 | 52.7%164 W · 147 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 34c | 1,410$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.04 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 35c | 1,362$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.59 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…fc60backed No | 33c | 1,234$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.25 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09c1…0ddfbacked No | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed No | 34c | 847.17$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.92 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed No | 34c | 758.68$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.45 | 580 | 29.5%171 W · 409 L | -19.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Yes | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fac…4e7dbacked Yes | 66c | 742.42$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.42 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 34c | 722.86$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.54 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 34c | 668.47$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.19 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf408…afe0backed No | 33c | 600$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +7.0wins | +0.15per pick | 34cpaid | +94.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd09d…b15dbacked Yes | 66c | 530.3$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.3 | 165 | 49.1%81 W · 84 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c2…5b5fbacked No | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…83d3backed No | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8494…814abacked No | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…02febacked No | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x59d3…c92fbacked No | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x414c…80c7backed No | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a8…fea1backed No | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb6…944cbacked No | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Yes | 65c | 487.88$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.76 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 34c | 485.75$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.15 | 187 | 38%71 W · 116 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12a2…0e71backed Yes | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 191 | 58.1%111 W · 80 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a1…2a16backed Yes | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 31c | 418.2$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.95 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 33c | 397.46$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.8 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 32c | 390$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 32c | 389.97$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.79 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d2…ab03backed Yes | 66c | 375.76$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.76 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd7…7842backed Yes | 66c | 362.8$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.35 | 184 | 36.4%67 W · 117 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed No | 34c | 360$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.4 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71df…9aa0backed No | 34c | 349.05$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.68 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed No | 35c | 319.93$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.97 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 25c | 318.46$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.08 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 33c | 314.3$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.89 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe834…a88ebacked Yes | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…d2f2backed No | 34c | 213.77$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.68 | 402 | 40%161 W · 241 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 33c | 209.17$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.32 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 28c | 201.92$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.08 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f65…0b1abacked Yes | 67c | 196.27$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.77 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked No | 34c | 180$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 823 | 48.8%402 W · 421 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0f…d5dbbacked Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661c…695bbacked Yes | 66c | 151.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.28 | 116 | 65.5%76 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf2…326abacked Yes | 73c | 150$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.1 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x715f…6984backed Yes | 74c | 148.77$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf24…a697backed Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…6b9cbacked Yes | 77c | 146.13$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.61 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…8390backed Yes | 66c | 136.36$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.36 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 66cpaid | +31%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…477dbacked Yes | 67c | 134.33$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.33 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdae…c02ebacked Yes | 70c | 122.4$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 110 | 33.6%37 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a13…588fbacked Yes | 72c | 107.02$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.17 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 33c | 106.57$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.17 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e43…2578backed Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 399 | 56.6%226 W · 173 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…de7dbacked Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 96 | 28.1%27 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 572 | 52.4%300 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 34c | 90$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.83 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 26c | 84.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 28c | 82.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd00a…8126backed Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x731b…83a2backed Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…3c9dbacked Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd18…066abacked Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97b7…448bbacked Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…1fc7backed Yes | 72c | 75$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8378…0090backed Yes | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccee…3eedbacked Yes | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe741…3558backed Yes | 66c | 66.67$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x736c…b23fbacked Yes | 66c | 62.12$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40d9…ffa1backed Yes | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8b…37e0backed Yes | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 131 | 35.9%47 W · 84 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…ddc2backed No | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 266 | 52.3%139 W · 127 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ca…d0aabacked Yes | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddc7…6895backed Yes | 66c | 57.58$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 84 | 73.8%62 W · 22 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd5…28f2backed No | 34c | 43.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe32b…e706backed Yes | 66c | 40.91$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…25babacked Yes | 66c | 39.21$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e67…9a3ebacked Yes | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 300 | 32.3%97 W · 203 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7390…30a3backed Yes | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7f…bd36backed Yes | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31c4…622fbacked No | 35c | 33.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5665…d09abacked Yes | 66c | 31.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 66c | 31.41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…a4dcbacked Yes | 68c | 30.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc83…215cbacked Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a9…572fbacked Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x035c…ff43backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- United States to score first vs. Australia?this page
- Australia to score first vs. United States?No won
- United States vs. Australia: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.