Fifa International · resolved market
Australia to score first vs. United States?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x170ad08977fc47ac6d923f4720590fb2669369637c15f163f7b016f803614525
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,771
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,820
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,771 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86c8…1fc7backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 72c | 5,249$3,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.5 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes | 29c | 2,186$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.26 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee9…4e6fbacked Yes | 28c | 1,739$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Yes | 28c | 1,446$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 454 | 28%127 W · 327 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 71c | 1,307$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.91 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 72c | 1,200$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.99 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Yes | 28c | 1,119$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.45 | 580 | 29.5%171 W · 409 L | -19.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 72c | 678.46$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.07 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 71c | 584.96$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.57 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 29c | 517.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade3…bba5backed Yes | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 28c | 489.61$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.72 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 28c | 470.57$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.58 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 71c | 443.02$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.12 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 28c | 433.83$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.96 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 28c | 384.88$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.45 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9e…d362backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 36.8%42 W · 72 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23d7…101ebacked Yes | 29c | 343.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e34…625dbacked Yes | 28c | 285.71$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 77 | 14.3%11 W · 66 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ca…ebd1backed Yes | 28c | 214.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Yes | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 402 | 39.8%160 W · 242 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 71c | 143.37$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.33 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0b…d29dbacked Yes | 28c | 142.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 348 | 44.3%154 W · 194 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x496b…f9c6backed Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 7.7%4 W · 48 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb379…2ed2backed Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc1…0f58backed Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 73c | 106.57$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.3 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…cd7bbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 72c | 94.86$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x542b…8b2ebacked No | 72c | 86.11$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.11 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 72c | 72.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…a4dcbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda4a…cdfabacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea3…8b1dbacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…e04ebacked Yes | 28c | 55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69bc…acf4backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 71c | 49.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87cb…643abacked No | 73c | 48.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.06 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…bb92backed Yes | 29c | 44.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…b4f2backed Yes | 27c | 42.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 72c | 38.4$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6496…760fbacked No | 72c | 25.84$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +4.7wins | +0.28per pick | 49cpaid | +150.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x40d9…ffa1backed No | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9f…a686backed No | 72c | 13.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 184 | 73.4%135 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australia to score first vs. United States?this page
- United States to score first vs. Australia?Yes won
- United States vs. Australia: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.