TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x23d7…101e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
155
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 53 out of 100; worst UFC at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT12738.6%49 W · 78 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 127 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Morocco to score first vs. Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.81
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$27.08
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$23.92
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.23
Luis Díaz: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.34
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.32
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.57
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.9
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$224.73
France vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
France vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$161
New Zealand to score first vs. Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$151.71
New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
New Zealand vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$162.5
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$195.81
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$196.44
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$147
Belgium vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Showing 25 of 127 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-59.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Entropy vs SAW (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked Entropy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Counter-Strike: Entropy vs SAW - Map 1 Winnerbacked Entropy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.89
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Procyon Gaming (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group Stagebacked Procyon Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.97
Counter-Strike: Julie&cie vs eternal premium (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group Bbacked Julie&cie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.44
Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs ShindeN (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #1 Playoffsbacked UNO MILLE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Academy vs SAW (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group Dbacked SAW · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.99
Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects - Map 2 Winnerbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$22.36
Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects - Map 1 Winnerbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.8
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$158
All 9 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT90%0 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
UFC — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Kyoji Horiguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
UFC Fight Night: Ion Cutelaba vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Ion Cutelaba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.3
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$179
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Aiemann Zahabi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Derrick Lewis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Michael Chandler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Kyle Daukaus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Steve Garcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+194.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$70.94
Will Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: UCAM Esports Club vs Pixel Lumina (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Group Cbacked Pixel Lumina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.