TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Julie&cie vs eternal premium (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group B

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
eternal premiumof Julie&cie, eternal premium
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$77,062
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$95,091

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,062 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6373…a0b7backed Julie&cie18c6,139$1,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,086.954526.7%12 W · 33 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed eternal premium77c4,349$3,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,016.9360853.3%324 W · 284 L+20.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7460…de6ebacked eternal premium56c3,400$1,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,495.9644551.2%228 W · 217 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Julie&cie26c2,895$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.595,58047.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L+47.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed eternal premium44c2,530$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.943544.6%194 W · 241 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9625…5bb7backed Julie&cie66c2,100$1,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3865459.3%32 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd56b…342dbacked eternal premium73c1,846$1,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.9111443%49 W · 65 L-12.0wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-24.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked eternal premium67c1,376$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.633,54429.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L-289.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Julie&cie32c1,200$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.832,55441.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L-116.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Julie&cie48c1,192$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.912,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a70…0519backed Julie&cie33c1,072$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35038835.6%138 W · 250 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-5.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Julie&cie53c1,055$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.057,99050.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L+180.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x897f…db7bbacked Julie&cie3c1,038$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.58333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-42.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed eternal premium65c926.77$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.5482142.5%349 W · 472 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed Julie&cie43c919.75$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40076546.7%357 W · 408 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed eternal premium47c847.15$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.065,34131.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L-390.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Julie&cie42c829.97$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.192,52743.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L+42.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Julie&cie31c816.39$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.852,19543.1%946 W · 1,249 L-68.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x490a…1d4bbacked Julie&cie39c788.19$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.8729235.6%104 W · 188 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed Julie&cie30c756.57$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.641,65252.9%874 W · 778 L+60.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked eternal premium61c745.91$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.692,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e48…6158backed eternal premium70c715.32$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.3238052.6%200 W · 180 L+0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefbc…b344backed eternal premium55c715$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.840542%170 W · 235 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bb6…5154backed eternal premium56c702.4$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.549856.1%55 W · 43 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dae…125cbacked eternal premium42c669$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.278542.4%36 W · 49 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Julie&cie28c657.42$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.3266446.4%308 W · 356 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0698…b91dbacked Julie&cie24c593.75$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.515637.2%58 W · 98 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed eternal premium54c531.95$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.462,66430.8%820 W · 1,844 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Julie&cie17c506.22$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.0763038.6%243 W · 387 L-26.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8efe…6704backed eternal premium60c499.99$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20020562.4%128 W · 77 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed eternal premium52c499.23$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.682,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf9a7…374abacked Julie&cie73c470.41$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.0127848.6%135 W · 143 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Julie&cie32c461.43$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.395,87637.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L+71.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed eternal premium73c452.08$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.621,59429.7%473 W · 1,121 L-88.1wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Julie&cie32c440.5$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.862,39742.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L-73.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Julie&cie23c439.78$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.91,32544.1%584 W · 741 L+44.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd991…c161backed Julie&cie69c435.84$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007652.6%40 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Julie&cie17c425.68$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.91,89041.9%791 W · 1,099 L-71.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8847…fc98backed Julie&cie24c420.97$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.2924940.6%101 W · 148 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Julie&cie33c408.76$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.441,28137.8%484 W · 797 L+5.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Julie&cie16c395.59$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.4775438.9%293 W · 461 L-38.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb21b…88f9backed Julie&cie33c391.38$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.4148654.5%265 W · 221 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed Julie&cie31c390.55$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.7277351.2%396 W · 377 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Julie&cie15c387$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.831,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb400…78e2backed Julie&cie79c379.75$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007060%42 W · 28 L+0.3wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Julie&cie46c359.65$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.694,09951%2,091 W · 2,008 L+74.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Julie&cie48c336.48$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.7675048.4%363 W · 387 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Julie&cie55c322$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.7145754.5%249 W · 208 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x50b0…cdf7backed eternal premium49c313.46$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.393551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Julie&cie43c312.35$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.566,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Julie&cie73c302.17$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.222,64551.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L+21.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ac…7deebacked Julie&cie70c298.93$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.6543253%229 W · 203 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x332f…80a4backed Julie&cie29c288.31$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.611450%7 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91d5…8a03backed eternal premium72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.7812157.9%70 W · 51 L+7.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x488a…cb68backed Julie&cie50c264.24$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.124540%18 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x034a…9ddcbacked eternal premium56c251.06$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.0610647.2%50 W · 56 L-13.4wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-27.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9803…0242backed Julie&cie60c249.89$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15011252.7%59 W · 53 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked eternal premium61c248.48$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.931,63243.2%705 W · 927 L-32.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked eternal premium62c244$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.8838032.1%122 W · 258 L-18.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd42d…94d3backed Julie&cie22c240.64$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.846152.5%32 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf908…0aafbacked Julie&cie34c233.69$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8013332.3%43 W · 90 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x257c…a408backed eternal premium40c208.83$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.478045%36 W · 44 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Julie&cie34c200$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.633,26745.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L-85.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked eternal premium51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982,67247.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L-31.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed eternal premium77c200$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9532139.9%128 W · 193 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x35f0…971ebacked eternal premium77c195.87$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8131647.8%151 W · 165 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Julie&cie40c189.5$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.131,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked eternal premium61c187.47$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.974,75443.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L-85.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked eternal premium64c186.98$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.332,53034.6%876 W · 1,654 L-193.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Julie&cie60c180.82$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.6689046.1%410 W · 480 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked eternal premium75c180.51$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.973,94936.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L-201.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed eternal premium26c180$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.256938.1%217 W · 352 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x189e…5aaebacked Julie&cie55c179.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.5618753.5%100 W · 87 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Julie&cie35c175.98$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.255,03437.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L-260.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Julie&cie49c173.25$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.2781551.7%421 W · 394 L+26.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa657…31a1backed eternal premium73c166.98$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.371560%9 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31fd…e144backed Julie&cie40c159.95$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.9827544%121 W · 154 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6707…d4d8backed eternal premium64c155.63$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.6322654.9%124 W · 102 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93d7…c7a6backed eternal premium68c147.05$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0618645.2%84 W · 102 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed eternal premium71c141.18$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1840449.8%201 W · 203 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed eternal premium29c137.15$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.911,12142.5%476 W · 645 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x225e…ac2dbacked eternal premium73c135.26$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.482676.9%20 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick67cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked eternal premium69c130.8$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.435947.9%172 W · 187 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc593…ea8cbacked Julie&cie53c121$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.7627156.8%154 W · 117 L+13.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0da…749bbacked eternal premium35c120.59$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.7730622.9%70 W · 236 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-22%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x79df…31d6backed eternal premium23c119$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.2327831.7%88 W · 190 L-1.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77de…e67abacked Julie&cie16c118.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5153145.4%241 W · 290 L-18.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad2c…4eecbacked eternal premium70c118$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2551352%267 W · 246 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b3…4a99backed Julie&cie19c117.91$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9429731%92 W · 205 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fe0…fb5bbacked eternal premium59c117.83$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.8341254.9%226 W · 186 L-1.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1242…9077backed Julie&cie29c117.24$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3411945.4%54 W · 65 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe26b…a9ecbacked Julie&cie33c117.24$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.066761.2%41 W · 26 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+21.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Julie&cie23c105$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.132,39346.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked Julie&cie54c101.09$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.6553034.7%184 W · 346 L-32.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4228…b838backed Julie&cie29c100.33$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.12755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ed1…908cbacked Julie&cie29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2920637.9%78 W · 128 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ccc…77abbacked eternal premium80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202623.1%6 W · 20 L-4.0wins-0.15per pick39cpaid-59.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfc7b…7a75backed Julie&cie10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x022d…afcbbacked eternal premium68c96.44$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.86425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-63.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe50f…8e7cbacked eternal premium64c96.38$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.4712100%12 W · 0 L+4.2wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.