CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Julie&cie vs eternal premium - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99882e20ee386051e82c146dc96e0499d9f312b0755d330679452d624839f92d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- eternal premiumof Julie&cie, eternal premium
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,549
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,624
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,549 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Julie&cie | 1c | 1,185$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Julie&cie | 20c | 834.51$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.6 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Julie&cie | 8c | 179.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed03…1caabacked eternal premium | 63c | 166.58$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.3 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26bd…e53bbacked Julie&cie | 49c | 151.96$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Julie&cie | 19c | 146.94$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…0519backed Julie&cie | 37c | 133.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 388 | 35.6%138 W · 250 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Julie&cie | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked eternal premium | 80c | 107$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.55 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked eternal premium | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked eternal premium | 70c | 94.88$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.23 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked eternal premium | 69c | 79$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed eternal premium | 70c | 76$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.84 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3e…9120backed Julie&cie | 34c | 70.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked eternal premium | 65c | 69.15$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb400…78e2backed Julie&cie | 16c | 63.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked eternal premium | 72c | 62$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked eternal premium | 76c | 60.77$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed eternal premium | 71c | 60.01$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed eternal premium | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked eternal premium | 76c | 58.39$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked eternal premium | 75c | 57$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…7cedbacked Julie&cie | 29c | 56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…4a99backed Julie&cie | 25c | 40.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 297 | 31%92 W · 205 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked eternal premium | 75c | 38.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed eternal premium | 70c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd49…631bbacked eternal premium | 50c | 32.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3c…ca16backed eternal premium | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15d9…6b54backed eternal premium | 67c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed eternal premium | 46c | 23.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed eternal premium | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…31d6backed eternal premium | 71c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 278 | 31.7%88 W · 190 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Julie&cie vs eternal premium - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Julie&cie vs eternal premium (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group Beternal premium won
- Counter-Strike: Julie&cie vs eternal premium - Map 2 WinnerJulie&cie won
- Map Handicap: EP (-1.5) vs Julie&cie (+1.5)Julie&cie won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.