TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Julie&cie vs eternal premium - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Julie&cieof Julie&cie, eternal premium
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$31,926
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$35,102

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,926 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xddc3…029cbacked eternal premium64c4,703$3,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,007.0192456.8%525 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ac…7deebacked Julie&cie56c1,455$821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.4843152.9%228 W · 203 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Julie&cie54c1,419$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.136,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ed1…908cbacked Julie&cie30c1,300$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910.0920637.9%78 W · 128 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e86…6dfbbacked Julie&cie60c1,250$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5009335.5%33 W · 60 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Julie&cie43c1,214$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.532,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd56b…342dbacked eternal premium61c952.36$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.1511443%49 W · 65 L-12.0wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-24.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Julie&cie38c879.58$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.273,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Julie&cie46c819.06$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.195,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x490a…1d4bbacked Julie&cie49c731.8$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.7829235.6%104 W · 188 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3f1…7535backed Julie&cie57c567.69$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.6913342.1%56 W · 77 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefdd…1e8abacked Julie&cie61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1958345.8%38 W · 45 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ade…fb15backed eternal premium26c419.26$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.2319748.7%96 W · 101 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Julie&cie39c412.08$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.293,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb400…78e2backed Julie&cie74c404.99$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.996959.4%41 W · 28 L-0.3wins0.00per pick60cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed Julie&cie33c402.26$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.4765546.9%307 W · 348 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0da…749bbacked Julie&cie43c379.61$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.0930223.2%70 W · 232 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked eternal premium65c358.37$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.362,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2735…42ebbacked eternal premium40c321.7$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.13537.1%13 W · 22 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-43.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x26bd…e53bbacked eternal premium78c321.21$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25015047.3%71 W · 79 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2363…ed78backed eternal premium5c240$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.86640.9%27 W · 39 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x831c…ce7dbacked Julie&cie51c228.54$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.324560%27 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c6c…5e36backed eternal premium43c223.2$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.6723956.5%135 W · 104 L+15.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe50e…45c5backed eternal premium31c216.56$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.125248.1%25 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed eternal premium57c215.87$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.9743544.6%194 W · 241 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79df…31d6backed eternal premium20c212.43$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4927831.7%88 W · 190 L-1.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Julie&cie52c200.82$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.214,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9227…7cedbacked Julie&cie30c199.99$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.9939847.7%190 W · 208 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Julie&cie53c190.77$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.824,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x476e…00a9backed eternal premium53c184.58$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982665.4%17 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ff8…5e5dbacked Julie&cie36c184.57$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.389549.5%47 W · 48 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc925…6d24backed eternal premium47c160.25$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.4620242.1%85 W · 117 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-28.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Julie&cie35c156.8$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.021,28137.8%484 W · 797 L+5.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed eternal premium44c155$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.8944939.2%176 W · 273 L-0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf38c…c85ebacked eternal premium68c144.18$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x034a…9ddcbacked eternal premium70c142.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010647.2%50 W · 56 L-13.4wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-27.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Julie&cie36c141.84$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.974,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fe0…fb5bbacked eternal premium64c130$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.241054.6%224 W · 186 L-2.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-8.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0289…cb50backed eternal premium79c126.45$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003647.2%17 W · 19 L-5.2wins-0.14per pick62cpaid-25%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Julie&cie37c118.07$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.572,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed eternal premium30c102.83$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.851,31944.2%583 W · 736 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x218b…625abacked eternal premium75c102.06$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.5522729.1%66 W · 161 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30a2…deacbacked eternal premium76c99.96$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.973080%24 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked eternal premium45c98.63$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.642,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02da…070dbacked Julie&cie70c97.91$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.372634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe9b…cbe5backed eternal premium53c93.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5044244.1%195 W · 247 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf56c…fcbdbacked eternal premium70c90.71$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.6835449.7%176 W · 178 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Julie&cie51c89.31$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.411,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x257c…a408backed eternal premium35c86.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308045%36 W · 44 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Julie&cie34c71.5$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.882,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Julie&cie47c70.11$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.172,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed eternal premium31c68.22$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.922,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe544…c7afbacked eternal premium18c64.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.618545.9%39 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Julie&cie53c62.97$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.461,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Julie&cie72c62$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.242,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Julie&cie48c61.71$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8438032.1%122 W · 258 L-18.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xed03…1caabacked eternal premium61c59.74$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.227749.4%38 W · 39 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked eternal premium40c59$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.672,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd49…631bbacked eternal premium50c57.48$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.742842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca08…08bdbacked eternal premium65c49.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.541250.2%207 W · 205 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0d…1068backed Julie&cie69c47.83$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8332361.6%199 W · 124 L+0.4wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Julie&cie50c47.08$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.532,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8b22…377ebacked eternal premium70c47$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7636174.8%270 W · 91 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x673e…b0d0backed Julie&cie44c45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.384153.7%22 W · 19 L+5.6wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+30%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3a12…a9a7backed eternal premium46c45$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.73040%12 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Julie&cie33c44.32$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8589046.1%410 W · 480 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdad2…fe1abacked Julie&cie30c42.64$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.884447.7%21 W · 23 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Julie&cie33c38.35$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7674653.5%399 W · 347 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4861…4fcabacked eternal premium47c38$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8213148.1%63 W · 68 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-19.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b9a…73fabacked eternal premium58c37.76$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.939353.2%209 W · 184 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Julie&cie37c36$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.81,63043.2%704 W · 926 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa658…f93ebacked Julie&cie62c32.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.249864.3%63 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd1d…6f23backed Julie&cie42c30.95$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9513960.4%84 W · 55 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x15d9…6b54backed eternal premium68c30.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.38742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Julie&cie43c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.240141.6%167 W · 234 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0936…3833backed eternal premium51c29.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156651.5%34 W · 32 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1ab…faadbacked eternal premium72c27.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202777.8%21 W · 6 L+3.9wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+25.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8cf5…1095backed eternal premium60c26.38$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.838356.6%47 W · 36 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcb4…da2cbacked eternal premium78c25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed eternal premium62c23.36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.581,36566.3%905 W · 460 L+76.1wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9fd…9164backed eternal premium72c22.68$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.337052.9%37 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.