CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: EP (-1.5) vs Julie&cie (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb62b781570945ecaef8dfc8a2ea0d3f33243a83f497d30a0efecedf18c64e6e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Julie&cieof eternal premium, Julie&cie
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,228
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,723
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,228 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked eternal premium | 56c | 5,303$2,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,947.59 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Julie&cie | 43c | 1,146$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.73 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Julie&cie | 42c | 524.88$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.24 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Julie&cie | 47c | 434.37$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.27 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Julie&cie | 45c | 324$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.97 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Julie&cie | 41c | 279.99$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.19 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed Julie&cie | 44c | 279.38$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.59 | 312 | 41.3%129 W · 183 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Julie&cie | 50c | 233.5$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.75 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Julie&cie | 43c | 217.36$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.52 | 275 | 44%121 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Julie&cie | 42c | 179.98$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.39 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Julie&cie | 46c | 176.81$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.41 | 422 | 55.7%235 W · 187 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x010a…7084backed Julie&cie | 41c | 175$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.25 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Julie&cie | 45c | 172.55$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.06 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Julie&cie | 46c | 150.69$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.69 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf868…3b45backed Julie&cie | 50c | 136.02$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.01 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Julie&cie | 61c | 135.51$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.98 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Julie&cie | 45c | 133$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.34 | 187 | 53.5%100 W · 87 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa2…6df9backed eternal premium | 39c | 125.54$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 162 | 45.7%74 W · 88 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Julie&cie | 45c | 111$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.32 | 271 | 56.8%154 W · 117 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Julie&cie | 46c | 109.94$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.94 | 609 | 54%329 W · 280 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Julie&cie | 46c | 109$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.86 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Julie&cie | 45c | 90.8$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.94 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Julie&cie | 47c | 84.92$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.43 | 408 | 57.1%233 W · 175 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba56…140dbacked Julie&cie | 45c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ab…faadbacked eternal premium | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Julie&cie | 49c | 39.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…49c1backed Julie&cie | 41c | 35.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.17 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Julie&cie | 45c | 31.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.41 | 418 | 53.6%224 W · 194 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Julie&cie | 47c | 30.02$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 163 | 61.3%100 W · 63 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Julie&cie | 65c | 27.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 368 | 56.8%209 W · 159 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed eternal premium | 62c | 23.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2abe…6e2dbacked Julie&cie | 47c | 22.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: EP (-1.5) vs Julie&cie (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Julie&cie vs eternal premium (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group Beternal premium won
- Counter-Strike: Julie&cie vs eternal premium - Map 1 Winnereternal premium won
- Counter-Strike: Julie&cie vs eternal premium - Map 2 WinnerJulie&cie won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.