Fifa International · resolved market
New Zealand to score first vs. Egypt?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c00cc0d84dbbd7aff9853a971e9145207c24150440769a264e22a966a6bf3a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,751
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,433
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,751 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc5d…4a56backed No | 0c | 38,500$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 28c | 2,867$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050.57 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 72c | 2,406$1,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,732.51 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 68c | 1,136$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.95 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 72c | 1,051$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.56 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea2…de87backed Yes | 28c | 892.86$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.86 | 123 | 20.3%25 W · 98 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 72c | 699.83$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.88 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed No | 71c | 353.84$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.23 | 195 | 45.6%89 W · 106 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1132…1cb4backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…3323backed Yes | 31c | 327.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.69 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x354b…4744backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…8eabbacked Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 13c | 267.16$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.67 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 56c | 253.62$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.36 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 14c | 250.71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 340 | 35%119 W · 221 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d7…101ebacked Yes | 28c | 210.71$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.71 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe90…972fbacked Yes | 28c | 179.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.91 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7134…53d6backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7264…8121backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Yes | 78c | 177.99$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.49 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 79c | 168$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.12 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 38c | 129.41$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…9756backed Yes | 28c | 125$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9e…d362backed Yes | 28c | 117.86$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.86 | 114 | 36.8%42 W · 72 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed Yes | 22c | 108$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.72 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 572 | 52.4%300 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20f8…f1a7backed No | 73c | 79.81$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.26 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd68d…959abacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +7.5wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x087a…bb87backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 139 | 30.9%43 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 32c | 54.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 342 | 38.6%132 W · 210 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34cc…769cbacked Yes | 32c | 53.13$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.13 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 73c | 52.35$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1144…4b04backed No | 72c | 44.12$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.77 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ffe…7473backed Yes | 28c | 39.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0871…8044backed Yes | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 72c | 34.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 49c | 32.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 72c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New Zealand to score first vs. Egypt?this page
- Egypt to score first vs. New Zealand?No won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.