Asian League · resolved market
Will Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0ce1f1db3aea8b9f92f8abac7bde17f2e2ed91e8c03b0258d0e7607e04ba3e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,949
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,789
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,949 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 6c | 1,495$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.94 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac7…907cbacked Yes | 32c | 968.07$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.18 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 73c | 469.53$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.1 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 19c | 421.06$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.82 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 67c | 387.43$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.78 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…db2cbacked Yes | 32c | 377.81$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Yes | 29c | 328.9$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.26 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60f…5165backed No | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 67c | 183.88$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.9 | 242 | 47.9%116 W · 126 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23d7…101ebacked Yes | 27c | 150.37$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa7…eccfbacked Yes | 12c | 142.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -46%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 24c | 124.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 17c | 120.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0016…fe14backed Yes | 26c | 116.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed No | 71c | 115$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.23 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…3221backed Yes | 12c | 107.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 79c | 97.21$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.27 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 25c | 90.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked No | 68c | 87$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.85 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Yes | 25c | 74.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bc…377ebacked Yes | 33c | 73.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255c…6e58backed Yes | 27c | 72.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976f…8a71backed No | 75c | 70$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 76c | 66.6$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 69c | 63.51$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 202 | 56.4%114 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 25c | 62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed No | 71c | 52.93$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 77c | 51.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 71c | 50.08$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 74c | 48.43$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.59 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yes | 25c | 47.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 68c | 43.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 68c | 43.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 245 | 48.6%119 W · 126 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 62c | 42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 65c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 66c | 33.1$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 75c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked No | 75c | 32.43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…fa2ebacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed No | 76c | 30.05$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x974a…8efdbacked No | 74c | 27.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 73c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +18%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 66c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed No | 68c | 15.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 79c | 14.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.89 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-06-26?Yes won
- Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-06-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.