Asian League · resolved market
Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-06-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1eff2e677419f9848bae518dfbda7d8854cc8654ed2edfe0b819b7ef3042ed3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,160
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,487
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,160 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x208c…6b98backed No | 58c | 6,157$3,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,563.12 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x911b…344fbacked Yes | 43c | 3,084$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.32 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 21c | 1,928$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.48 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Yes | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -7.3wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 57c | 1,145$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.5 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0016…fe14backed No | 75c | 1,048$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 22c | 893.21$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.69 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 39c | 693$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.42 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 4c | 562.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 68c | 456$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.93 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 41c | 339.37$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.51 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 26c | 291.27$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.7 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 57c | 239.81$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.08 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bc…377ebacked Yes | 20c | 238.68$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Yes | 43c | 235$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 59c | 223.3$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.55 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb2…02b0backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 43c | 197.67$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2458…bd24backed Yes | 43c | 186.05$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 58c | 182.68$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.84 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b61…230ebacked No | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 40c | 158.96$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.94 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x943b…e35ebacked Yes | 40c | 149.7$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.88 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 58c | 146.71$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.05 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 58c | 136$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.12 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 22c | 134.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8a…0acdbacked Yes | 21c | 129.41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 40c | 126.65$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.01 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 27c | 125.97$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.52 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf508…30a5backed No | 58c | 120.45$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.42 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbb…a8c2backed Yes | 42c | 120$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8aa…e4d1backed Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 62c | 110.05$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.88 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…4f53backed Yes | 36c | 103.19$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Yes | 40c | 99.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 40c | 95.28$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb68c…7ef8backed Yes | 41c | 86.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 58c | 78.52$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.98 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…190abacked Yes | 39c | 77.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 57c | 69$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974a…8efdbacked No | 58c | 68.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.96 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68f8…12c8backed No | 75c | 59.05$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 29c | 58.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 36c | 52.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x926f…c343backed No | 58c | 51.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x586b…52d9backed No | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 60c | 48.43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.37 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea0…0ec9backed Yes | 41c | 47.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…d511backed No | 78c | 45.66$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked No | 73c | 43.82$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 70c | 43.78$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 242 | 47.9%116 W · 126 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 74c | 41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked No | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -43%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b76…4f2dbacked Yes | 43c | 37.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed No | 61c | 37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Yes | 41c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2221…b4d8backed Yes | 42c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 60c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 326 | 54%176 W · 150 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 79c | 33.47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed No | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7210…521fbacked No | 59c | 32.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 58c | 32.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ae…dc21backed No | 63c | 22.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 74c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked No | 58c | 19.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f04…2392backed No | 74c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-06-26?this page
- Will Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-06-26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.