Asian League · resolved market
Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-06-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd4a321477572c920264252bcb93233c431629a14f067ea4c492193812336d5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,562
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,363
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,562 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 73c | 5,366$3,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465.16 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 22c | 5,197$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.29 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed No | 14c | 4,983$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.72 | 193 | 40.9%79 W · 114 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 17c | 4,482$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.41 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 10c | 3,460$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.73 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed No | 11c | 2,790$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.2 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +164.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0016…fe14backed Yes | 44c | 1,083$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…efffbacked No | 17c | 999.98$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 12c | 863.15$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.53 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 17c | 775.13$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.77 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3baf…7d44backed No | 16c | 714.23$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.28 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +5.7wins | +0.18per pick | 35cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfe…c83cbacked No | 16c | 529.38$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.47 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 16c | 393.71$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.07 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 65c | 377.32$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.41 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8aa…e4d1backed No | 41c | 366.14$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 73c | 344.26$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.26 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 51c | 335.38$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.54 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…d9f1backed Yes | 64c | 323.27$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed No | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 67c | 288.66$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.17 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 42c | 236.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.76 | 242 | 47.9%116 W · 126 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1528…1740backed No | 18c | 233.33$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb2…02b0backed No | 17c | 199.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 33c | 199.62$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.2 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb76b…d1f0backed No | 14c | 179.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 50c | 165.2$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.73 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Yes | 47c | 144.67$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.07 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 66c | 139.29$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.93 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7210…521fbacked Yes | 34c | 129.41$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.41 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 21c | 119.76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…50edbacked No | 17c | 119.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +102%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 51c | 115.16$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.21 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed No | 36c | 113.89$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…105dbacked Yes | 57c | 110.53$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.53 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 66c | 106.9$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.17 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2398…8894backed Yes | 44c | 105.46$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.19 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked No | 56c | 105.39$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.51 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked No | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Yes | 33c | 99.98$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.99 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 64c | 90.17$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.32 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0119…1f60backed Yes | 37c | 89.36$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +171.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 66c | 83.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.01 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x243b…0625backed No | 30c | 81.03$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…db2cbacked Yes | 66c | 77.2$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 38c | 75.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed No | 67c | 74.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 192 | 68.2%131 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 33c | 69.77$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.75 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 59c | 66$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 26c | 60.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…878abacked No | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2411…d620backed No | 42c | 57.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…d511backed Yes | 54c | 55.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 64c | 48.43$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 37c | 44.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 38c | 43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Yes | 41c | 41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 33c | 34.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.09 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c8…a24abacked Yes | 58c | 34.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1199…4cd7backed Yes | 59c | 33.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 46c | 33.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf257…1950backed No | 67c | 33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 35c | 32.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ae…dc21backed No | 44c | 32.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…f2ffbacked Yes | 34c | 32.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked No | 42c | 30.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed No | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f4…527bbacked No | 69c | 29.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf69f…ffeebacked No | 42c | 28.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked No | 47c | 28.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Yes | 61c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +51%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 53c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 49c | 23.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 58c | 23.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 69c | 18.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-06-26?this page
- Will Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-06-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.