Fifa International · resolved market
Luis Díaz: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ac167e1ebdc37b87477dd9c5807b6593652dcceb99fa503cfa084c50f82ff0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,114
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,318
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,114 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 75c | 5,505$4,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,397.83 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 75c | 2,107$1,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.44 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62e0…32dfbacked Yes | 26c | 1,949$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 173 | 45.1%78 W · 95 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b29…556ebacked Yes | 25c | 1,001$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…a11dbacked Yes | 25c | 981.98$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 278 | 20.1%56 W · 222 L | -17.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 76c | 858.32$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.51 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 76c | 781.75$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.92 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5f…1695backed Yes | 25c | 600$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 372 | 23.9%89 W · 283 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa8…ea63backed Yes | 23c | 562.63$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.35 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd61f…c6a6backed No | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 128 | 75.8%97 W · 31 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 72c | 489.12$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.23 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…77abbacked No | 77c | 444.96$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.34 | 288 | 73.3%211 W · 77 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a48…e094backed Yes | 25c | 390.77$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.69 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…cbe8backed Yes | 25c | 371.39$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.85 | 124 | 35.5%44 W · 80 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…12bebacked Yes | 13c | 360$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7040…81fabacked Yes | 19c | 237$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.03 | 141 | 16.3%23 W · 118 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 25c | 223.29$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.45 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8614…4d84backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76c…dc83backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 160 | 16.3%26 W · 134 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x575f…9287backed Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 32cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37d9…5442backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 314 | 35.7%112 W · 202 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf87c…8c97backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 161 | 23.6%38 W · 123 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…3ec8backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 255 | 32.9%84 W · 171 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dde…2407backed Yes | 26c | 165.81$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.11 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 77c | 131.66$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 74c | 128.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.19 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed No | 75c | 125.97$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.12 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59f6…2f2ebacked No | 77c | 125$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1897…2a42backed Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 404 | 35.6%144 W · 260 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 25c | 119.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e67…9a3ebacked Yes | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 300 | 32.3%97 W · 203 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 29c | 112.27$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.01 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23d7…101ebacked Yes | 22c | 110.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65fa…389fbacked Yes | 29c | 104.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…ac32backed Yes | 28c | 104.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1646…2f81backed Yes | 26c | 100.77$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 167 | 47.3%79 W · 88 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 467 | 43.3%202 W · 265 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23e6…7bbfbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 177 | 27.1%48 W · 129 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d3…6b98backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 65 | 70.8%46 W · 19 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 26c | 97.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 667 | 45%300 W · 367 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9732…5f8bbacked Yes | 25c | 95.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 60 | 21.7%13 W · 47 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 75c | 92.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.59 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6d…08a8backed Yes | 27c | 91.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 125 | 27.2%34 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48a5…4a40backed Yes | 21c | 85.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x605d…1464backed Yes | 30c | 84.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 79c | 80.95$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 379 | 59.1%224 W · 155 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b0…4758backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbd…4476backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 212 | 50.9%108 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x973d…e294backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 301 | 48.2%145 W · 156 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec50…380abacked Yes | 24c | 70.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 74c | 70.68$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 25c | 70$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x935d…72f4backed Yes | 28c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cea…181dbacked No | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 64 | 68.8%44 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Yes | 25c | 64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 137 | 36.5%50 W · 87 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 277 | 29.2%81 W · 196 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbfb…550cbacked Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 168 | 39.9%67 W · 101 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked No | 78c | 55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b3…f2e1backed Yes | 28c | 54.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a88…0296backed Yes | 23c | 51.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 226 | 27.9%63 W · 163 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4325…19e5backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…4943backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b6…eb0dbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 75c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…02febacked No | 74c | 23.35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.07 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed No | 79c | 15.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.05 | 454 | 72.9%331 W · 123 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed No | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Luis Díaz: 1+ goalsthis page
- Bruno Fernandes: 1+ assistsNo won
- Bruno Fernandes: 1+ goalsNo won
- Bruno Fernandes: 2+ assistsNo won
- Bruno Fernandes: 2+ goalsNo won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ assistsNo won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsNo won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ assistsNo won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goalsNo won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ shotsYes won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 3+ goalsNo won
- João Félix: 1+ assistsNo won
- João Félix: 1+ goalsNo won
- João Félix: 2+ goalsNo won
- Luis Díaz: 1+ assistsNo won
- Luis Díaz: 1+ shotsYes won
- Luis Díaz: 2+ goalsNo won
- Luis Díaz: 2+ shotsYes won
- Luis Díaz: 3+ goalsNo won
- Luis Díaz: 3+ shotsYes won
- Luis Díaz: 4+ shotsYes won
- Luis Suárez: 1+ goalsNo won
- Luis Suárez: 2+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.