Bruno Fernandes: 1+ assists

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70d1217d8bd53f2245c9ded89c166025ef23f86c8be3b64275fde10913b6514c

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $8,744
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $9,018

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,744 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4362…9e47backed Yes	27c	2,764$759 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$759	74	31.1%23 W · 51 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No	72c	2,103$1,523 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$579.9	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdac1…baddbacked No	73c	1,550$1,127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$422.97	311	71.4%222 W · 89 L	+15.4wins	+0.05per pick	66cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x30da…a11dbacked Yes	27c	1,111$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	278	20.1%56 W · 222 L	-17.2wins	-0.06per pick	26cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4753…41adbacked No	73c	1,045$763 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$282.15	59	69.5%41 W · 18 L	+3.0wins	+0.05per pick	64cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No	71c	606.39$431 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175.85	464	64.9%301 W · 163 L	+26.6wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd61f…c6a6backed No	72c	499.97$360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.99	128	75.8%97 W · 31 L	+7.6wins	+0.06per pick	70cpaid	+8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde74…77abbacked No	78c	499.95$391 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.99	288	73.3%211 W · 77 L	+21.7wins	+0.08per pick	66cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No	72c	478.85$346 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.38	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Yes	28c	357.14$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	116	45.7%53 W · 63 L	-5.8wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe76d…f666backed Yes	28c	356.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	95	30.5%29 W · 66 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd255…bbcabacked Yes	13c	269.23$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	87	11.5%10 W · 77 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes	26c	258.07$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.19	1,111	24.3%270 W · 841 L	-32.2wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x323b…df9abacked Yes	21c	224.78$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	79	19%15 W · 64 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2d4…4064backed Yes	28c	178.57$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	113	38.1%43 W · 70 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ede…5212backed Yes	29c	172.41$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	111	55.9%62 W · 49 L	+8.2wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No	73c	165$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2982…2d3dbacked Yes	28c	159.14$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.56	67	59.7%40 W · 27 L	+3.7wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3900…fb4ebacked Yes	28c	128.57$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	237	29.5%70 W · 167 L	-11.0wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc757…e5bebacked Yes	25c	120.43$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	+3.0wins	+0.13per pick	33cpaid	+30.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed No	80c	114$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.8	95	63.2%60 W · 35 L	+5.9wins	+0.06per pick	57cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Yes	20c	114$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.8	1,206	50.2%606 W · 600 L	+44.5wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No	74c	112$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.42	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x95a6…b568backed Yes	28c	107.14$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	59	37.3%22 W · 37 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed No	75c	105.45$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.32	379	71.2%270 W · 109 L	+13.2wins	+0.03per pick	68cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked Yes	28c	103.57$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	145	28.3%41 W · 104 L	-9.5wins	-0.07per pick	35cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf58e…a0b0backed Yes	28c	102.9$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	196	43.4%85 W · 111 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1646…2f81backed Yes	27c	100$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	167	47.3%79 W · 88 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa599…9176backed No	74c	99.97$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.99	151	77.5%117 W · 34 L	+13.1wins	+0.09per pick	69cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	28c	89.98$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.04	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cce…2ff1backed Yes	28c	89.29$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-1.5wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked No	70c	86.67$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26	165	64.2%106 W · 59 L	+6.4wins	+0.04per pick	60cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d89…dc09backed Yes	30c	83.33$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	153	44.4%68 W · 85 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4325…19e5backed Yes	31c	83.25$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.94	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x061f…aa02backed Yes	22c	81.82$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	94	38.3%36 W · 58 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xca1c…02eabacked No	73c	74.99$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.25	66	71.2%47 W · 19 L	+4.8wins	+0.07per pick	64cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b42…8086backed No	73c	70$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.9	47	59.6%28 W · 19 L	+2.6wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes	29c	68.97$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1,388	15.1%210 W · 1,178 L	-16.0wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdec4…046fbacked Yes	27c	55.41$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	345	26.1%90 W · 255 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66bf…07e8backed Yes	28c	53.57$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	137	36.5%50 W · 87 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0fb…8092backed Yes	24c	50$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	269	46.8%126 W · 143 L	+16.6wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No	75c	48.7$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9d5b…1578backed No	69c	46.97$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.46	238	58%138 W · 100 L	+14.1wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x658c…029cbacked Yes	29c	44.83$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	24	70.8%17 W · 7 L	+2.6wins	+0.11per pick	60cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No	74c	42$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.94	1,492	41%612 W · 880 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa82e…67d2backed Yes	25c	40$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	57	36.8%21 W · 36 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4b60…f6e1backed Yes	31c	38.71$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	116	26.7%31 W · 85 L	+4.2wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Bruno Fernandes: 1+ assists

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event