Fifa International · resolved market
Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58cdaa92faeaec5535d22aa25a946d9d0373e8dd33e6cc1974880550bf052c2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,810
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,270
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,810 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Yes | 14c | 10,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c4…09cbbacked Yes | 14c | 7,643$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070 | 98 | 23.5%23 W · 75 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 14c | 4,990$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.58 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d5…dafabacked Yes | 16c | 2,267$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.71 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -66%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Yes | 19c | 2,082$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 324 | 29.9%97 W · 227 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 414 | 29%120 W · 294 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb44…3d99backed Yes | 16c | 1,348$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 14c | 1,282$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.43 | 361 | 23.5%85 W · 276 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81ed…59f5backed Yes | 15c | 1,267$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 608 | 21.9%133 W · 475 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00da…4af0backed Yes | 16c | 1,136$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.69 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5f…1695backed Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 372 | 23.9%89 W · 283 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea0…68b1backed Yes | 14c | 999.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 84 | 25%21 W · 63 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc28c…36f3backed Yes | 15c | 733.33$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 90 | 17.8%16 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4751…c559backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x886f…5e20backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…f666backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68c1…a7f2backed Yes | 14c | 698.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c7…9179backed Yes | 13c | 611.62$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.51 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb09e…62f3backed Yes | 15c | 576.07$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.41 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb349…d14bbacked Yes | 14c | 557.14$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 276 | 37.7%104 W · 172 L | +15.3wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…f5c6backed Yes | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 64 | 23.4%15 W · 49 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ab…178dbacked Yes | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 198 | 23.7%47 W · 151 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc1…0c67backed Yes | 15c | 366.93$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.04 | 43 | 11.6%5 W · 38 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…7d1dbacked Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 226 | 43.4%98 W · 128 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5f…f7aebacked Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b13…c879backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 15c | 308.1$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.19 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1306…c689backed Yes | 16c | 303.19$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.51 | 156 | 45.5%71 W · 85 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa6…3e62backed Yes | 13c | 250$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 319 | 20.1%64 W · 255 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…5af0backed Yes | 15c | 221.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 309 | 28.8%89 W · 220 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1f27backed Yes | 14c | 220.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 133 | 28.6%38 W · 95 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x848c…2bf0backed Yes | 14c | 208.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 221 | 22.2%49 W · 172 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x003b…fc58backed Yes | 14c | 207.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee0e…38bbbacked Yes | 12c | 205.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 235 | 29.8%70 W · 165 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccb…6cb3backed No | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Yes | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 345 | 26.1%90 W · 255 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 15c | 172$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa82e…67d2backed Yes | 16c | 156.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e67…9a3ebacked Yes | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 300 | 32.3%97 W · 203 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f49…9178backed Yes | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c1…489fbacked Yes | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3900…fb4ebacked Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 237 | 29.5%70 W · 167 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Yes | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 256 | 39.1%100 W · 156 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0195…1e21backed Yes | 17c | 145.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 441 | 44%194 W · 247 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…cc26backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb08…f30bbacked Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 78c | 129.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…e560backed Yes | 14c | 114.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 423 | 36.9%156 W · 267 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85a8…ed2bbacked Yes | 14c | 113.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa285…6ba9backed Yes | 15c | 106.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 322 | 54%174 W · 148 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6d…08a8backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 125 | 27.2%34 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cc…2e39backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 102 | 65.7%67 W · 35 L | +11.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x23e6…7bbfbacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 177 | 27.1%48 W · 129 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e85…418dbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa7…2723backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 27.4%17 W · 45 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe270…eab5backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 241 | 36.9%89 W · 152 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f65…a0adbacked Yes | 14c | 99.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x213b…ddb9backed Yes | 15c | 94.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad42…b184backed Yes | 15c | 92.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5f…5449backed Yes | 14c | 82.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 146 | 34.2%50 W · 96 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4131…0b67backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79e3…d512backed Yes | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6673…6efbbacked No | 28c | 36.96$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.61 | 120 | 29.2%35 W · 85 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x726a…196bbacked No | 54c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goalsthis page
- Bruno Fernandes: 1+ assistsNo won
- Bruno Fernandes: 1+ goalsNo won
- Bruno Fernandes: 2+ assistsNo won
- Bruno Fernandes: 2+ goalsNo won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ assistsNo won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsNo won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ assistsNo won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ shotsYes won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 3+ goalsNo won
- João Félix: 1+ assistsNo won
- João Félix: 1+ goalsNo won
- João Félix: 2+ goalsNo won
- Luis Díaz: 1+ assistsNo won
- Luis Díaz: 1+ goalsNo won
- Luis Díaz: 1+ shotsYes won
- Luis Díaz: 2+ goalsNo won
- Luis Díaz: 2+ shotsYes won
- Luis Díaz: 3+ goalsNo won
- Luis Díaz: 3+ shotsYes won
- Luis Díaz: 4+ shotsYes won
- Luis Suárez: 1+ goalsNo won
- Luis Suárez: 2+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.