Fifa International · resolved market
João Félix: 1+ assists
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa927e61edcd2c1c13e5e526082c498bcffe2628e74e0d059e9c4f912f433e643
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,302
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,827
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,302 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 9 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30da…a11dbacked Yes | 19c | 1,047$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 278 | 20.1%56 W · 222 L | -17.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd61f…c6a6backed No | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 128 | 75.8%97 W · 31 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 80c | 312$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Yes | 18c | 139.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 345 | 26.1%90 W · 255 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…2ff1backed Yes | 19c | 129.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…c77ebacked Yes | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3900…fb4ebacked Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 237 | 29.5%70 W · 167 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…baddbacked No | 79c | 15.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.27 | 311 | 71.4%222 W · 89 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- João Félix: 1+ assiststhis page
- Bruno Fernandes: 1+ assistsNo won
- Bruno Fernandes: 1+ goalsNo won
- Bruno Fernandes: 2+ assistsNo won
- Bruno Fernandes: 2+ goalsNo won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ assistsNo won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsNo won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ assistsNo won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goalsNo won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ shotsYes won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 3+ goalsNo won
- João Félix: 1+ goalsNo won
- João Félix: 2+ goalsNo won
- Luis Díaz: 1+ assistsNo won
- Luis Díaz: 1+ goalsNo won
- Luis Díaz: 1+ shotsYes won
- Luis Díaz: 2+ goalsNo won
- Luis Díaz: 2+ shotsYes won
- Luis Díaz: 3+ goalsNo won
- Luis Díaz: 3+ shotsYes won
- Luis Díaz: 4+ shotsYes won
- Luis Suárez: 1+ goalsNo won
- Luis Suárez: 2+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.