CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Entropy vs SAW - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22d147e168ec58f1cabe88b11be2d81d838c54202dbca341683186fa7434f8fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SAWof Entropy, SAW
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,978
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,155
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,978 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked SAW | 63c | 576.14$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.42 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed Entropy | 38c | 456.48$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.52 | 198 | 40.9%81 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed SAW | 60c | 401.42$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.68 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf868…3b45backed Entropy | 39c | 350$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.5 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1285…6a2fbacked SAW | 55c | 322$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26bd…e53bbacked Entropy | 24c | 310.46$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x218b…625abacked Entropy | 22c | 200.09$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.22 | 227 | 29.1%66 W · 161 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Entropy | 57c | 182.42$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.65 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked SAW | 76c | 173.25$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.73 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Entropy | 18c | 159.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Entropy | 44c | 148.92$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.47 | 334 | 48.2%161 W · 173 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Entropy | 25c | 125.48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.37 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28f8…f047backed Entropy | 27c | 101.63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Entropy | 36c | 80.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Entropy | 21c | 71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked SAW | 73c | 68.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed SAW | 43c | 65.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.36 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaebd…9c0dbacked Entropy | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23d7…101ebacked Entropy | 25c | 59.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Entropy | 32c | 56.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Entropy | 55c | 47.21$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked SAW | 80c | 46.97$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d89…08f8backed SAW | 50c | 41.9$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.95 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07e4…186ebacked SAW | 75c | 40.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 333 | 62.2%207 W · 126 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked SAW | 75c | 40.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 401 | 48.4%194 W · 207 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee22…7054backed Entropy | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Entropy | 41c | 36.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x382d…eb3abacked SAW | 73c | 27.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 252 | 50.4%127 W · 125 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Entropy | 40c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked SAW | 78c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked SAW | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Entropy vs SAW - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Entropy vs SAW (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series PlayoffsSAW won
- Counter-Strike: Entropy vs SAW - Map 2 WinnerSAW won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.