CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Entropy vs SAW - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2251908aa659b8fcf2029d8561bed36c104cb1dbf3a53801da2f7085644d468a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SAWof Entropy, SAW
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,995
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,784
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,995 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked SAW | 52c | 4,190$2,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,025.71 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc93…718bbacked Entropy | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd22a…2a00backed Entropy | 48c | 865.33$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.97 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc908…2f61backed SAW | 61c | 512$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.48 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Entropy | 47c | 473.18$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.09 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Entropy | 48c | 467.7$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.7 | 275 | 44%121 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedcc…41a1backed SAW | 70c | 424.27$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.28 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Entropy | 40c | 364.2$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.37 | 519 | 42.2%219 W · 300 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed SAW | 53c | 318.85$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.22 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Entropy | 49c | 318.78$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.2 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Entropy | 43c | 315.49$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.98 | 318 | 45.3%144 W · 174 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Entropy | 50c | 304.56$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.28 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Entropy | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 442 | 44.1%195 W · 247 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed Entropy | 50c | 288$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 198 | 40.9%81 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e5…cc65backed Entropy | 41c | 251.58$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.83 | 223 | 46.2%103 W · 120 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Entropy | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked SAW | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.5 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…fcbdbacked Entropy | 37c | 216.22$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 354 | 49.7%176 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Entropy | 50c | 214.88$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.9 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ad…a700backed Entropy | 49c | 210$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.9 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…6be5backed SAW | 59c | 170.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.75 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Entropy | 47c | 163.06$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.89 | 334 | 48.2%161 W · 173 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed Entropy | 49c | 155.09$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.89 | 443 | 43.3%192 W · 251 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…9315backed Entropy | 51c | 149.81$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Entropy | 41c | 138.6$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.3 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa091…f1c1backed Entropy | 55c | 133$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.76 | 97 | 37.1%36 W · 61 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked SAW | 61c | 125.29$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.19 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Entropy | 59c | 112$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.53 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…cf6bbacked SAW | 46c | 106.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.04 | 143 | 31.5%45 W · 98 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Entropy | 21c | 106.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91cc…f388backed Entropy | 50c | 106.38$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.98 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +37%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed Entropy | 49c | 102.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.42 | 406 | 39.4%160 W · 246 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Entropy | 60c | 101$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.41 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…e654backed Entropy | 31c | 99.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Entropy | 41c | 99.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.44 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Entropy | 57c | 99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.43 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…6aa1backed Entropy | 47c | 98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.48 | 79 | 70.9%56 W · 23 L | +11.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed SAW | 49c | 65.14$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Entropy | 55c | 64.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Entropy | 42c | 61.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed SAW | 79c | 54$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Entropy | 51c | 49.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 264 | 48.1%127 W · 137 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked SAW | 62c | 47.14$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Entropy | 64c | 45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked SAW | 51c | 44.46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.65 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Entropy | 55c | 43.07$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89ab…14e7backed SAW | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked SAW | 46c | 34.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Entropy | 38c | 34.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked SAW | 56c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Entropy | 46c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked SAW | 69c | 31.44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Entropy | 49c | 29.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9a…73fabacked Entropy | 58c | 29.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 393 | 53.2%209 W · 184 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Entropy | 60c | 24.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf5…1095backed SAW | 72c | 21.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…67e6backed SAW | 56c | 17.91$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Entropy vs SAW - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Entropy vs SAW (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series PlayoffsSAW won
- Counter-Strike: Entropy vs SAW - Map 1 WinnerSAW won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.