TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x91cc…f388

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
31
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: CS2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 54 out of 100; worst Valorant at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+25%+$10
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$54.31
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winnerbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$131.56
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$326.09
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$105.57
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Team Syntax - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ilbirs eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.43
Dota 2: Team AION vs PuckChamp (BO3) - European Pro League Group Abacked PuckChamp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$24.79
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Hive - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hive · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs HULIGANI - Game 2 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.21
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs HULIGANI - Game 1 Winnerbacked HULIGANI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.57
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked HULIGANI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+124.4%+$300.98
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs HULIGANI - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$324
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Team Bald (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$130.99
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs MODUS - Game 2 Winnerbacked MODUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.75
All 16 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+37%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: INFURITY Gaming vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Group Abacked ex-MANA eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+381.2%+$163.9
Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Yawara Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Isurus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+80.3%+$103.44
Counter-Strike: Entropy vs SAW - Map 2 Winnerbacked Entropy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.98
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs NIP (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Counter-Strike: Esport BERG vs SINQU Rehti - Map 2 Winnerbacked SINQU Rehti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs ECHO - Map 2 Winnerbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+82%+$128.13
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs ECHO - Map 1 Winnerbacked ECHO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+43%+$109.93
Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Subtop De France (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group Abacked ex-MANA eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+80.1%+$160.24
Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Alpha Dominion Nation - Map 2 Winnerbacked Alpha Dominion Nation · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Sharks (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffsbacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+103.7%+$310.98
All 10 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-26.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$58.48
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.