TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Team Syntax - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Syntaxof Ilbirs eSports, Team Syntax
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$61,064
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$71,802

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,064 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3413…8ff2backed Team Syntax47c6,570$3,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,482.6447646.4%221 W · 255 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked Team Syntax64c4,463$2,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,585.711,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked Ilbirs eSports40c3,597$1,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,430.7779859%471 W · 327 L+16.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Syntax55c3,579$1,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,597.941,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Ilbirs eSports40c2,781$1,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,117.2671143%306 W · 405 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x703b…e371backed Ilbirs eSports18c2,745$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.3551544.9%231 W · 284 L+40.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+3.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Ilbirs eSports36c2,479$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.369132.6%225 W · 466 L-26.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Ilbirs eSports44c2,244$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.3245750.8%232 W · 225 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed Ilbirs eSports1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202110.5%1 W · 210 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-99.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a05…12a2backed Team Syntax43c1,792$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.7247650.8%242 W · 234 L+16.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed Team Syntax57c1,791$1,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.1471454.5%389 W · 325 L+55.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Ilbirs eSports40c1,569$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.381,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfab…f067backed Ilbirs eSports41c889.25$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.6648057.1%274 W · 206 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed Team Syntax59c830.57$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.641,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Ilbirs eSports45c741.33$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.8150850.8%258 W · 250 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x401d…23c6backed Ilbirs eSports35c685$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.015735.1%20 W · 37 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82b0…7c38backed Ilbirs eSports51c549.02$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28016055.6%89 W · 71 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Ilbirs eSports51c533.33$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27234051.5%175 W · 165 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18c2…529abacked Ilbirs eSports51c520.59$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.510551.4%54 W · 51 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Ilbirs eSports40c501.38$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.9191553.3%488 W · 427 L+48.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x48f7…3aebbacked Ilbirs eSports57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28566848.5%324 W · 344 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x070f…ed83backed Team Syntax45c495.46$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.926247.7%125 W · 137 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd977…d9d6backed Team Syntax55c459.98$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.99933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdcb8…6b51backed Ilbirs eSports39c447.76$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.0142053.6%225 W · 195 L+16.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0f0…26edbacked Team Syntax74c441.41$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7533867.8%229 W · 109 L+16.0wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked Ilbirs eSports61c437.28$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.1895342.2%402 W · 551 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8342…6dc8backed Team Syntax48c420.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.8348054%259 W · 221 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Ilbirs eSports51c414.69$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.4914655.5%81 W · 65 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Ilbirs eSports51c401.96$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20541037.3%153 W · 257 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5502…d440backed Ilbirs eSports43c400$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17245457.5%261 W · 193 L+39.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+14%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6eac…e409backed Team Syntax62c333$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.5410961.5%67 W · 42 L+11.6wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+19.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Ilbirs eSports32c322.81$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.0589238.1%340 W · 552 L-42.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Ilbirs eSports49c313.62$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.941,45848.5%707 W · 751 L+27.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Team Syntax66c305.8$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.8893546.4%434 W · 501 L-15.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf52…efdfbacked Ilbirs eSports51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15321558.6%126 W · 89 L+11.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9417…8440backed Team Syntax57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1299455.3%52 W · 42 L+11.1wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+41%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3e43…0306backed Ilbirs eSports38c294.5$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.32441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17ef…9a2cbacked Ilbirs eSports51c294.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15014856.8%84 W · 64 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfe4…4841backed Ilbirs eSports11c282.27$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x672d…dbd7backed Team Syntax74c270.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.6940047.5%190 W · 210 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3252…1d21backed Ilbirs eSports51c270$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.79745.4%44 W · 53 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Ilbirs eSports46c267.13$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.041,70241.2%701 W · 1,001 L-44.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91cc…f388backed Ilbirs eSports47c238.14$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.431650%8 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf461…9ef2backed Team Syntax64c230.56$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.078164.2%52 W · 29 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x28f5…2035backed Team Syntax70c220$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.733265.4%217 W · 115 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ilbirs eSports61c208.46$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.162,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x267c…5bfdbacked Ilbirs eSports54c206.21$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.4415551.6%80 W · 75 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Ilbirs eSports51c199.83$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.431,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Ilbirs eSports37c196.94$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.989938%342 W · 557 L-45.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Ilbirs eSports51c172.55$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8826147.9%125 W · 136 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed Team Syntax58c172.2$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.215648.7%76 W · 80 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb55…51ddbacked Ilbirs eSports39c160.79$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.8735960.4%217 W · 142 L-1.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Ilbirs eSports49c156$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.9262841.1%258 W · 370 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Ilbirs eSports29c152.89$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.853538.5%206 W · 329 L-26.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-31.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xad3d…a814backed Ilbirs eSports42c151.47$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Ilbirs eSports49c150$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.0922240.1%89 W · 133 L-14.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb4d…d388backed Ilbirs eSports23c149.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359645.8%44 W · 52 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5f6…38e8backed Ilbirs eSports11c145.19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.443323%10 W · 322 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-57.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Ilbirs eSports39c145$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.614336.4%52 W · 91 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-31.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0593…9712backed Ilbirs eSports47c141.71$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.0521769.1%150 W · 67 L+16.9wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Ilbirs eSports48c140.94$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.0630844.8%138 W · 170 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cd2…87f4backed Ilbirs eSports30c139.98$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.448657%49 W · 37 L+13.0wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+32.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x57d9…fa69backed Team Syntax58c136.77$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.771752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31fd…e144backed Ilbirs eSports57c134.98$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.9413145%59 W · 72 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3266…589bbacked Ilbirs eSports42c126.12$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5430%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5799…db25backed Ilbirs eSports48c125$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6046049.8%229 W · 231 L+2.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc37d…e586backed Team Syntax48c123.85$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.4538759.4%230 W · 157 L+26.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Ilbirs eSports64c122.35$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.673554.7%402 W · 333 L-3.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Team Syntax69c120.59$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5244049.3%217 W · 223 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Team Syntax62c112$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0964547.8%308 W · 337 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Team Syntax75c108.64$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4613647.1%64 W · 72 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Ilbirs eSports36c108.26$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.156945.2%257 W · 312 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Ilbirs eSports29c107.74$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0640534.6%140 W · 265 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Ilbirs eSports51c101.84$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4934041.2%140 W · 200 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed Team Syntax59c101.44$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.7920442.2%86 W · 118 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eef…44a0backed Team Syntax59c101.24$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.517160.6%43 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd001…f718backed Ilbirs eSports42c101.08$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.64057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56fb…3a1bbacked Ilbirs eSports42c100.32$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.128961.8%55 W · 34 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Ilbirs eSports32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3220820.7%43 W · 165 L-18.8wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-36.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9a8e…9408backed Team Syntax58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4296245.5%438 W · 524 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x010a…7084backed Ilbirs eSports38c97.37$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+33.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x08fa…f1e0backed Team Syntax61c97.14$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1281345.1%367 W · 446 L-26.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Ilbirs eSports51c90.04$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.722846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93fd…a5edbacked Ilbirs eSports65c89.89$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.4340644.6%181 W · 225 L+0.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc28d…c177backed Ilbirs eSports56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-36.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc869…bc8dbacked Ilbirs eSports43c86.92$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2137441.2%154 W · 220 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Ilbirs eSports35c86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.128336.4%103 W · 180 L+1.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc75…af4dbacked Ilbirs eSports35c86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.19150.5%46 W · 45 L+12.5wins+0.14per pick37cpaid+23.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa5bd…226cbacked Ilbirs eSports35c86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.16550.8%33 W · 32 L+8.0wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+35.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Ilbirs eSports13c83$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.71,12036.1%404 W · 716 L-39.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf655…7f1abacked Ilbirs eSports56c81.43$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.66136.1%22 W · 39 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1afd…427ebacked Ilbirs eSports57c80.98$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.161631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-40.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked Ilbirs eSports35c75$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2611452.6%60 W · 54 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd1b…bcf5backed Ilbirs eSports29c70$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46d5…4bd3backed Team Syntax78c69.91$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.62596%24 W · 1 L+5.6wins+0.23per pick73cpaid+30.3%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Ilbirs eSports39c65.16$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3319449%95 W · 99 L+11.8wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x91ca…a3dfbacked Ilbirs eSports39c61.33$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.722619.2%5 W · 21 L-4.0wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-53.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Team Syntax62c59.18$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7419249%94 W · 98 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Ilbirs eSports51c57.89$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4315342.5%65 W · 88 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a12…a9a7backed Ilbirs eSports34c56.38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.023928.2%11 W · 28 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-24.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.