Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Team Syntax - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74f4c09a00cd0915ef8aa406bc48c7f083d59f48b1fedbf92370d9502fb6e798
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Syntaxof Ilbirs eSports, Team Syntax
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,039
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,346
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,039 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Ilbirs eSports | 36c | 4,302$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,554.75 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Syntax | 42c | 4,203$1,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,438.99 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Ilbirs eSports | 32c | 3,300$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.99 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Team Syntax | 44c | 3,208$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,787.5 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Ilbirs eSports | 31c | 2,706$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.08 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Ilbirs eSports | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Team Syntax | 62c | 1,983$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.53 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Team Syntax | 58c | 1,568$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.21 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Ilbirs eSports | 67c | 1,268$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.58 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Team Syntax | 65c | 1,040$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.07 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Ilbirs eSports | 40c | 1,004$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.81 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf52…efdfbacked Team Syntax | 76c | 900$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.5 | 215 | 58.6%126 W · 89 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Ilbirs eSports | 66c | 794.98$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.69 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Ilbirs eSports | 51c | 680.43$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.02 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa981…ab19backed Ilbirs eSports | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Syntax | 68c | 549.46$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.01 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5867…2e20backed Ilbirs eSports | 28c | 493.94$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 253 | 39.1%99 W · 154 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed Ilbirs eSports | 28c | 491$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.56 | 109 | 61.5%67 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Ilbirs eSports | 66c | 455.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.56 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Team Syntax | 46c | 394.77$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.3 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Syntax | 48c | 393.97$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.39 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72db…1029backed Ilbirs eSports | 30c | 384.58$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.2 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Syntax | 58c | 363.44$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.42 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd3…0591backed Ilbirs eSports | 16c | 353.22$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9417…8440backed Team Syntax | 15c | 350$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.7 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +11.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +41%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd22a…2a00backed Team Syntax | 50c | 349.37$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.69 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9088…e089backed Ilbirs eSports | 41c | 339.29$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1318…0af2backed Ilbirs eSports | 23c | 333$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.44 | 176 | 33.5%59 W · 117 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Ilbirs eSports | 30c | 316.36$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.65 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ea…49e9backed Ilbirs eSports | 29c | 311.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.48 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked Team Syntax | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Ilbirs eSports | 52c | 252.13$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.33 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eef…44a0backed Team Syntax | 71c | 230.99$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.99 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Ilbirs eSports | 24c | 218$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.33 | 645 | 47.8%308 W · 337 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Ilbirs eSports | 58c | 212.93$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.65 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Ilbirs eSports | 44c | 189.04$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.34 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Team Syntax | 70c | 175.53$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.81 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28f5…2035backed Team Syntax | 67c | 174$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.32 | 332 | 65.4%217 W · 115 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Ilbirs eSports | 32c | 170$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 208 | 20.7%43 W · 165 L | -18.8wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Ilbirs eSports | 48c | 168.12$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.91 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Ilbirs eSports | 48c | 160$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.45 | 222 | 40.1%89 W · 133 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Team Syntax | 71c | 152.11$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.11 | 276 | 36.2%100 W · 176 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf461…9ef2backed Team Syntax | 74c | 152.09$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.06 | 81 | 64.2%52 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed Ilbirs eSports | 31c | 144.41$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.23 | 420 | 53.6%225 W · 195 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Ilbirs eSports | 61c | 140$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a53…71a3backed Team Syntax | 64c | 139.77$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.32 | 185 | 62.7%116 W · 69 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Team Syntax | 71c | 136.73$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.65 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Team Syntax | 49c | 127.2$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.76 | 192 | 49%94 W · 98 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…8e7ebacked Ilbirs eSports | 40c | 123.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.38 | 338 | 54.1%183 W · 155 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Ilbirs eSports | 47c | 123.44$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.03 | 308 | 44.8%138 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc37d…e586backed Team Syntax | 43c | 122.02$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.47 | 387 | 59.4%230 W · 157 L | +26.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Team Syntax | 46c | 115.73$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.96 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Ilbirs eSports | 52c | 112.76$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.14 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ilbirs eSports | 68c | 111.26$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.66 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Team Syntax | 32c | 111.26$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.66 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Ilbirs eSports | 47c | 93.32$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.53 | 440 | 49.3%217 W · 223 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dba…6929backed Ilbirs eSports | 76c | 89.47$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Ilbirs eSports | 56c | 85.72$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +11.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Team Syntax | 58c | 84.53$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.81 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee59…e42abacked Ilbirs eSports | 36c | 84.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 288 | 46.9%135 W · 153 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Ilbirs eSports | 38c | 81.67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 90 | 31.1%28 W · 62 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4038…35e4backed Ilbirs eSports | 64c | 80$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd439…21d3backed Ilbirs eSports | 78c | 76.92$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | -18.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Ilbirs eSports | 69c | 75$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.75 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…ef1cbacked Ilbirs eSports | 30c | 74.39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 227 | 40.5%92 W · 135 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…aab3backed Team Syntax | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 426 | 60.1%256 W · 170 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Ilbirs eSports | 59c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.27 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Team Syntax | 68c | 59.04$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.71 | 143 | 36.4%52 W · 91 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Ilbirs eSports | 61c | 57.93$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.34 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a40…f518backed Ilbirs eSports | 73c | 56.16$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 154 | 37%57 W · 97 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd2…87f4backed Team Syntax | 51c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +13.0wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x91ca…a3dfbacked Ilbirs eSports | 32c | 53.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Team Syntax | 75c | 50.67$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed Team Syntax | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 408 | 44.1%180 W · 228 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dfe…4feebacked Team Syntax | 57c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Ilbirs eSports | 51c | 49.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…706cbacked Ilbirs eSports | 68c | 46.63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.71 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9015…281fbacked Team Syntax | 32c | 46.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Ilbirs eSports | 55c | 45.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd241…6c35backed Team Syntax | 51c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7560…1ee1backed Ilbirs eSports | 25c | 41.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 211 | 33.6%71 W · 140 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed Ilbirs eSports | 49c | 39.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Ilbirs eSports | 67c | 33.62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 137 | 64.2%88 W · 49 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Ilbirs eSports | 49c | 32.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 328 | 6.4%21 W · 307 L | -102.4wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0x7744…d8d6backed Ilbirs eSports | 39c | 31.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb50…c314backed Ilbirs eSports | 61c | 31.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x249e…4fa6backed Team Syntax | 79c | 29.55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8d…f40dbacked Ilbirs eSports | 58c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 447 | 71.1%318 W · 129 L | +27.1wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Team Syntax | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Ilbirs eSports | 61c | 23.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…172abacked Team Syntax | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 322 | 52.5%169 W · 153 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Team Syntax | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 444 | 74.8%332 W · 112 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…331cbacked Ilbirs eSports | 74c | 16.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 111 | 69.4%77 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd181…6a2bbacked Ilbirs eSports | 78c | 12.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 176 | 60.2%106 W · 70 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Team Syntax - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Team Syntax (BO3) - European Pro League Group BTeam Syntax won
- Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Team Syntax - Game 2 WinnerTeam Syntax won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game Handicap: ILL (-1.5) vs Team Syntax (+1.5)Team Syntax won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.