Dota2 · resolved market
Game Handicap: ILL (-1.5) vs Team Syntax (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77b5975307fc0bf83d324a5c7ed6d592bd9ecba57a9358807f7896530641a821
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Syntaxof Ilbirs eSports, Team Syntax
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,385
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,207
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,385 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfa39…bb64backed Ilbirs eSports | 46c | 4,233$1,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,948.21 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Ilbirs eSports | 49c | 3,200$1,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,553.98 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Team Syntax | 53c | 1,991$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.96 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Team Syntax | 54c | 1,887$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.44 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe8…bb28backed Team Syntax | 51c | 1,765$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.8 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.18per pick | 59cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed Ilbirs eSports | 50c | 1,332$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666 | 109 | 61.5%67 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6922…5d9cbacked Team Syntax | 51c | 991.23$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Team Syntax | 51c | 375.82$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.77 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Team Syntax | 57c | 282.39$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.83 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc2…c4d0backed Ilbirs eSports | 44c | 252.54$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.87 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3776…e17abacked Team Syntax | 53c | 238$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.86 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Team Syntax | 51c | 222.18$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.02 | 281 | 45.6%128 W · 153 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Team Syntax | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Team Syntax | 53c | 173.25$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.5 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Team Syntax | 56c | 164.53$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.03 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Team Syntax | 52c | 163.1$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.29 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked Team Syntax | 53c | 148.84$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.95 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…afaebacked Team Syntax | 50c | 120.05$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.03 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Team Syntax | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Ilbirs eSports | 45c | 99.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Ilbirs eSports | 47c | 98.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.05 | 529 | 50.9%269 W · 260 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Team Syntax | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Team Syntax | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Ilbirs eSports | 50c | 84.28$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.14 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Team Syntax | 52c | 75.48$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.23 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed Ilbirs eSports | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…13a2backed Team Syntax | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Team Syntax | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -5.7wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed Team Syntax | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Team Syntax | 52c | 33.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 308 | 44.8%138 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Team Syntax | 52c | 26.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bce…db46backed Team Syntax | 54c | 26.02$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Team Syntax | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Team Syntax | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 222 | 40.1%89 W · 133 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: ILL (-1.5) vs Team Syntax (+1.5)this page
- Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Team Syntax (BO3) - European Pro League Group BTeam Syntax won
- Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Team Syntax - Game 1 WinnerTeam Syntax won
- Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Team Syntax - Game 2 WinnerTeam Syntax won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.