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Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Team Syntax (BO3) - European Pro League Group B

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Syntaxof Ilbirs eSports, Team Syntax
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$26,122
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$27,567

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,122 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x257e…ca61backed Team Syntax48c2,151$1,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,112.199954.5%54 W · 45 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed Ilbirs eSports1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202110.5%1 W · 210 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-99.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Ilbirs eSports46c1,808$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.9771143%306 W · 405 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb877…4601backed Team Syntax49c1,232$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.1941455.6%230 W · 184 L+41.4wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+19.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe1d3…b8debacked Team Syntax45c964.97$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.9870052.3%366 W · 334 L+47.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x34af…3bbfbacked Team Syntax51c710.68$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.69812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick32cpaid-75.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked Ilbirs eSports28c435$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.84753.2%25 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Ilbirs eSports59c426.9$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.921,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ilbirs eSports72c414.68$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.82,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Ilbirs eSports5c375.67$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2723736.7%87 W · 150 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Team Syntax70c372.66$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.7845750.8%232 W · 225 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41a5…75bbbacked Team Syntax53c329.35$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.5461449.5%304 W · 310 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Ilbirs eSports50c301.32$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.981,15447.7%550 W · 604 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Ilbirs eSports70c283$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.7711847.5%56 W · 62 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xabc8…500cbacked Team Syntax28c282$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.04250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+78.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c72…7e7ebacked Team Syntax27c263.78$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.564632.6%15 W · 31 L-5.4wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-31%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Ilbirs eSports40c260.6$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.491,45848.5%707 W · 751 L+27.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91d5…8a03backed Ilbirs eSports72c260.44$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.525347.2%25 W · 28 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Ilbirs eSports44c247.77$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.2316539.4%65 W · 100 L-0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid-21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Ilbirs eSports16c246.39$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9289238.1%340 W · 552 L-42.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1967…30b5backed Team Syntax28c201.16$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.832441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Ilbirs eSports39c199.51$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.081,26049.7%626 W · 634 L+21.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e43…0306backed Ilbirs eSports34c195.16$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.722441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Ilbirs eSports39c182.35$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.612,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Ilbirs eSports49c168.67$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.522543.6%98 W · 127 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x28f5…2035backed Team Syntax33c165.39$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.8133265.4%217 W · 115 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Team Syntax54c153.54$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.0893546.4%434 W · 501 L-15.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Ilbirs eSports45c152.5$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.544049.3%217 W · 223 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Team Syntax52c152.17$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.0465647.3%310 W · 346 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Team Syntax27c149.69$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.2712646%58 W · 68 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a22…5c62backed Team Syntax28c140.99$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked Ilbirs eSports41c139.99$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.7231251.3%160 W · 152 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedfa…fd66backed Team Syntax55c134.36$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.637055.7%39 W · 31 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x225e…ac2dbacked Ilbirs eSports62c134.3$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.67862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick72cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cc2…c4d0backed Ilbirs eSports66c131.53$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.81944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Ilbirs eSports33c129.5$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7271342.5%303 W · 410 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a53…71a3backed Ilbirs eSports75c127.27$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9618562.7%116 W · 69 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc28d…c177backed Ilbirs eSports40c121.35$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.54633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-36.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc38…d93fbacked Ilbirs eSports69c119.66$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.82152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ilbirs eSports65c113.31$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.6538142%160 W · 221 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3266…589bbacked Ilbirs eSports58c113.03$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.2930%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Ilbirs eSports50c102.62$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.158746.5%273 W · 314 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7d6…cab5backed Ilbirs eSports68c99.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9951364.9%333 W · 180 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe803…b60ebacked Ilbirs eSports71c98.34$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.768655.8%48 W · 38 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Ilbirs eSports50c96.8$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9813647.1%64 W · 72 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Team Syntax35c92.91$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.3932548.9%159 W · 166 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08fa…f1e0backed Team Syntax40c92.48$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.6781345.1%367 W · 446 L-26.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Ilbirs eSports43c87.27$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.691,70241.2%701 W · 1,001 L-44.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Team Syntax39c75.29$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.9366545.6%303 W · 362 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Team Syntax65c74.12$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1558943%253 W · 336 L-25.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa597…79d7backed Team Syntax73c68.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.491947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Ilbirs eSports66c68.46$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.181931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-43.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6384…3d67backed Team Syntax73c67.27$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.162085%17 W · 3 L+3.5wins+0.17per pick68cpaid+27%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked Team Syntax27c67.18$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.1269835.2%246 W · 452 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e42…b805backed Ilbirs eSports32c66$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd752…7b4fbacked Ilbirs eSports62c65.04$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4035461.3%217 W · 137 L+0.6wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d0…566ebacked Ilbirs eSports32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204353.5%23 W · 20 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+26.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x07b1…b027backed Team Syntax28c61$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.9214043.6%61 W · 79 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed Ilbirs eSports67c58.8$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.42850%14 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Ilbirs eSports59c57.09$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.468345.8%313 W · 370 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Ilbirs eSports26c56.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9122240.1%89 W · 133 L-14.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Team Syntax68c55.86$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8719249%94 W · 98 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x115d…1691backed Ilbirs eSports22c50.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8714244.4%63 W · 79 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Team Syntax28c50.2$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.149952.5%52 W · 47 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Ilbirs eSports30c50.05$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1643860.5%265 W · 173 L+44.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x57d9…fa69backed Ilbirs eSports62c48.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Ilbirs eSports59c45.8$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9656945.2%257 W · 312 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5a2…a9bfbacked Team Syntax44c45.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.6719455.7%108 W · 86 L+0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed2f…c694backed Ilbirs eSports69c42.62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.58862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick69cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Ilbirs eSports26c41.57$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7562841.1%258 W · 370 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eba…cb3dbacked Ilbirs eSports73c41.05$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.976056.7%34 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bce…558cbacked Ilbirs eSports50c40.2$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202661.5%16 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbdbe…e45bbacked Ilbirs eSports73c39.45$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid+25%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Ilbirs eSports34c37$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.58048.8%39 W · 41 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Team Syntax30c35$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.389248.9%45 W · 47 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x522f…1164backed Team Syntax33c31$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.771947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee16…16a2backed Ilbirs eSports67c29.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206043.3%26 W · 34 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Ilbirs eSports73c27$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.714734%16 W · 31 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Team Syntax70c27$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.111650%8 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7744…d8d6backed Ilbirs eSports47c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.754422.7%10 W · 34 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick18cpaid-7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Ilbirs eSports58c23.97$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.989938%342 W · 557 L-45.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked Team Syntax50c22.76$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3811452.6%60 W · 54 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Team Syntax52c20.95$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0530146.2%139 W · 162 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d8d…f40dbacked Ilbirs eSports56c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.244771.1%318 W · 129 L+27.1wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe60f…1490backed Ilbirs eSports75c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155578.2%43 W · 12 L+5.7wins+0.10per pick68cpaid+15.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe9b1…6ef5backed Ilbirs eSports68c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.61741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b86…5552backed Ilbirs eSports73c17.62$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.864957.1%28 W · 21 L-5.9wins-0.12per pick69cpaid-17.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x56fb…3a1bbacked Ilbirs eSports64c15.97$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.298961.8%55 W · 34 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0593…9712backed Team Syntax70c15.8$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.7721769.1%150 W · 67 L+16.9wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.