CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Esport BERG vs SINQU Rehti - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x567ac654a14093c9a82f48066964a87d8f28f5f4fbe25df6c41c1c02bfd33e66
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Esport BERGof Esport BERG, SINQU Rehti
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,206
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,275
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,206 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked SINQU Rehti | 18c | 1,857$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.01 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked SINQU Rehti | 19c | 1,737$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.01 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fe…e21fbacked SINQU Rehti | 16c | 1,000$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed SINQU Rehti | 16c | 957.33$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.96 | 198 | 40.9%81 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x488a…cb68backed SINQU Rehti | 16c | 680$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.8 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed SINQU Rehti | 16c | 640.65$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.71 | 312 | 41.3%129 W · 183 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcef…fd7fbacked SINQU Rehti | 17c | 582.93$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.77 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ade…fb15backed SINQU Rehti | 15c | 540.87$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.13 | 197 | 48.7%96 W · 101 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed SINQU Rehti | 22c | 468$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.25 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed SINQU Rehti | 26c | 328.75$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.22 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked SINQU Rehti | 19c | 318.72$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.57 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…386fbacked SINQU Rehti | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 259 | 44.8%116 W · 143 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f99…f4d5backed SINQU Rehti | 15c | 266.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed SINQU Rehti | 17c | 230$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked SINQU Rehti | 24c | 203.46$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked SINQU Rehti | 23c | 168$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.68 | 271 | 56.8%154 W · 117 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3995…47edbacked SINQU Rehti | 16c | 165$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91cc…f388backed SINQU Rehti | 15c | 153.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +37%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e99…0a26backed SINQU Rehti | 15c | 140$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Esport BERG | 76c | 114.82$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.97 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a3…5b70backed SINQU Rehti | 19c | 103.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…afaebacked SINQU Rehti | 17c | 99.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed SINQU Rehti | 28c | 94.37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 368 | 56.8%209 W · 159 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba56…140dbacked SINQU Rehti | 19c | 90$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b3…d0eebacked SINQU Rehti | 19c | 76.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed SINQU Rehti | 18c | 73.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 256 | 43.4%111 W · 145 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked SINQU Rehti | 24c | 64.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 187 | 53.5%100 W · 87 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x257c…a408backed Esport BERG | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…afb4backed Esport BERG | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 194 | 54.1%105 W · 89 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5965…d26dbacked Esport BERG | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Esport BERG | 77c | 14.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.42 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Esport BERG vs SINQU Rehti - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Esport BERG vs SINQU Rehti (BO3) - Urban Riga Open #5 PlayoffsEsport BERG won
- Counter-Strike: Esport BERG vs SINQU Rehti - Map 1 WinnerEsport BERG won
- Map Handicap: BERG (-1.5) vs SINQU Rehti (+1.5)Esport BERG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.