Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57584022cdcda933c1fd99645a4a703b20cfd13846b69260c3f36bfddee74fac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PlayTimeof Team Liquid, PlayTime
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $693,799
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $793,480
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $693,799 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 455 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3954…22d9backed Team Liquid | 64c | 83,920$53,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,321.1 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Team Liquid | 65c | 76,300$49,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,902.94 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed PlayTime | 34c | 44,759$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,759.16 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e2…826cbacked Team Liquid | 49c | 40,540$19,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,669.15 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.8wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked PlayTime | 41c | 24,991$10,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,697.98 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed PlayTime | 65c | 21,177$13,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,471.33 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked PlayTime | 37c | 19,839$7,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,411.88 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed PlayTime | 69c | 19,562$13,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,120.54 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked Team Liquid | 50c | 19,368$9,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,635.31 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed PlayTime | 74c | 14,319$10,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,717.35 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked PlayTime | 33c | 12,000$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,049.6 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed PlayTime | 39c | 11,463$4,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,018.82 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Team Liquid | 40c | 11,001$4,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,425.94 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…93f5backed PlayTime | 75c | 10,464$7,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,658.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed PlayTime | 35c | 10,000$3,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,478.64 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Team Liquid | 67c | 10,000$6,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,700 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed PlayTime | 36c | 10,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,400 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked PlayTime | 33c | 10,000$3,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,673.09 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Team Liquid | 28c | 9,343$2,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,657.66 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed PlayTime | 41c | 9,056$3,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,376.67 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…6427backed PlayTime | 66c | 8,717$5,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.48 | 77 | 70.1%54 W · 23 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked PlayTime | 46c | 8,162$3,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,410.82 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…bb64backed Team Liquid | 68c | 7,057$4,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,816.77 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed PlayTime | 57c | 6,726$3,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,896.87 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed PlayTime | 47c | 5,833$2,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,077.15 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked PlayTime | 47c | 5,090$2,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,703.43 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2039…2e5fbacked Team Liquid | 69c | 5,082$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked PlayTime | 38c | 5,064$1,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,132.05 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Team Liquid | 1c | 5,004$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked PlayTime | 53c | 4,698$2,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,195.18 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked PlayTime | 32c | 4,577$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,112.04 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked Team Liquid | 1c | 4,458$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.32 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8a…f907backed Team Liquid | 66c | 4,200$2,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,754.92 | 141 | 36.9%52 W · 89 L | -13.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed PlayTime | 60c | 4,191$2,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,672.81 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Team Liquid | 63c | 4,064$2,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,560.37 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Liquid | 58c | 4,060$2,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,373.37 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed PlayTime | 40c | 4,060$1,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,436 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…0a00backed PlayTime | 37c | 4,021$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520.71 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked PlayTime | 46c | 3,890$1,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.96 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Team Liquid | 65c | 3,867$2,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,521.56 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Team Liquid | 8c | 3,500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed PlayTime | 37c | 3,349$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,109.08 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed PlayTime | 56c | 3,235$1,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425.1 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Liquid | 66c | 3,158$2,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,081.5 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…8a5ebacked Team Liquid | 67c | 3,100$2,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,077 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a46…8112backed PlayTime | 51c | 3,008$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,477.92 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df4…153cbacked Team Liquid | 52c | 2,946$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519.69 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60e…3f04backed Team Liquid | 46c | 2,913$1,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.27 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed PlayTime | 42c | 2,880$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,670.35 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed PlayTime | 39c | 2,750$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677.5 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Liquid | 61c | 2,500$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked PlayTime | 42c | 2,424$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,401.34 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d01…27cbbacked Team Liquid | 58c | 2,384$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.66 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed PlayTime | 35c | 2,300$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.49 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked PlayTime | 73c | 2,286$1,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.96 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked PlayTime | 40c | 2,269$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.51 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed PlayTime | 33c | 2,233$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,501.91 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…c244backed PlayTime | 42c | 2,226$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,298.94 | 295 | 46.1%136 W · 159 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed PlayTime | 36c | 2,208$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.02 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e24…7014backed PlayTime | 57c | 2,097$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.04 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…9e38backed PlayTime | 59c | 2,069$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.3 | 345 | 61.2%211 W · 134 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Team Liquid | 68c | 2,066$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404.98 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed PlayTime | 39c | 2,046$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245.57 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…2b13backed PlayTime | 42c | 2,022$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.21 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Liquid | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Team Liquid | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked PlayTime | 38c | 1,998$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,238.76 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…9315backed PlayTime | 70c | 1,987$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.54 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Team Liquid | 61c | 1,939$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.06 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked PlayTime | 41c | 1,910$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.14 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked PlayTime | 52c | 1,899$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.31 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked PlayTime | 65c | 1,794$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.13 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed PlayTime | 32c | 1,750$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.99 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed PlayTime | 30c | 1,737$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220.06 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6373…a0b7backed PlayTime | 40c | 1,680$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.91 | 148 | 25%37 W · 111 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked PlayTime | 40c | 1,680$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.75 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Team Liquid | 65c | 1,659$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked PlayTime | 59c | 1,643$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.03 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…5dc6backed Team Liquid | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 145 | 57.9%84 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb7…7028backed PlayTime | 73c | 1,622$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.49 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked PlayTime | 62c | 1,599$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.78 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed Team Liquid | 57c | 1,590$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2e…ff35backed Team Liquid | 71c | 1,529$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Liquid | 38c | 1,519$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.77 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed PlayTime | 40c | 1,510$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906 | 259 | 35.5%92 W · 167 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Team Liquid | 58c | 1,498$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.84 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed PlayTime | 37c | 1,486$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.49 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed PlayTime | 45c | 1,480$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.26 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed PlayTime | 46c | 1,458$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.68 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5789…6407backed PlayTime | 31c | 1,424$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.58 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked PlayTime | 74c | 1,400$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc156…f76cbacked PlayTime | 41c | 1,397$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.41 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc592…1ccebacked PlayTime | 41c | 1,392$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.46 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4620…ea85backed PlayTime | 41c | 1,385$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.37 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed PlayTime | 46c | 1,375$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.83 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Team Liquid | 61c | 1,357$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.35 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf11e…3bc1backed Team Liquid | 61c | 1,349$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.89 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cc…c8ddbacked Team Liquid | 2c | 1,302$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 117 | 7.7%9 W · 108 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed PlayTime | 39c | 1,300$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.99 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0d…40cabacked Team Liquid | 66c | 1,289$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.19 | 59 | 76.3%45 W · 14 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PlayTime - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Game 2: Ends in Daytime?Yes won
- Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.