Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13d23f86d17e087170324d637d0654a2c845d3031c1b1d21291343ece94f65a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Liquid, PlayTime
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $710,316
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $881,856
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $710,316 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 382 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3954…22d9backed Team Liquid | 62c | 54,124$33,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,575.23 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed PlayTime | 32c | 47,079$15,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,184.55 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked PlayTime | 20c | 45,171$9,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,109.25 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked Team Liquid | 53c | 18,330$9,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,607.5 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Liquid | 58c | 11,491$6,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,772.73 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked PlayTime | 47c | 11,110$5,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,252.71 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Team Liquid | 65c | 10,336$6,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,668.18 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed PlayTime | 47c | 10,000$4,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,679.16 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed PlayTime | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed PlayTime | 48c | 10,000$4,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,763.02 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Liquid | 52c | 9,607$4,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,639.31 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed PlayTime | 45c | 9,546$4,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,338.96 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Team Liquid | 59c | 7,010$4,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,860.9 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked PlayTime | 43c | 6,979$2,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,992.48 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked PlayTime | 45c | 6,348$2,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,833.85 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked PlayTime | 23c | 6,295$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474.62 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked Team Liquid | 58c | 6,294$3,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,655.31 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed PlayTime | 47c | 6,085$2,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,888.25 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5789…6407backed PlayTime | 34c | 5,957$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Liquid | 56c | 5,769$3,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,545.88 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2039…2e5fbacked Team Liquid | 53c | 5,660$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,660.38 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Team Liquid | 56c | 5,161$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,261.4 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed PlayTime | 47c | 5,126$2,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,387.52 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked PlayTime | 28c | 4,964$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.8 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed PlayTime | 20c | 4,577$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed PlayTime | 52c | 4,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.99 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked Team Liquid | 59c | 3,956$2,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,603.47 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Liquid | 58c | 3,768$2,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,593.62 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Liquid | 63c | 3,513$2,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290.44 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed PlayTime | 23c | 3,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.52 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Team Liquid | 43c | 3,356$1,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,902.76 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Team Liquid | 54c | 3,311$1,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,523.07 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Liquid | 62c | 3,271$2,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.01 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…2b13backed Team Liquid | 50c | 3,121$1,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.41 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed PlayTime | 31c | 3,018$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.02 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Team Liquid | 71c | 3,000$2,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Liquid | 61c | 2,607$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.68 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Team Liquid | 58c | 2,576$1,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.79 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc592…1ccebacked PlayTime | 42c | 2,541$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.57 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Team Liquid | 49c | 2,403$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.02 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed PlayTime | 46c | 2,400$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Team Liquid | 46c | 2,295$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.4 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a5…26a1backed PlayTime | 46c | 2,155$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.08 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked PlayTime | 45c | 2,136$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.92 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Team Liquid | 68c | 2,092$1,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.96 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Team Liquid | 52c | 2,045$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.54 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed PlayTime | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…c244backed PlayTime | 29c | 2,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.98 | 295 | 46.1%136 W · 159 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Team Liquid | 52c | 2,000$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.02 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed PlayTime | 2c | 1,905$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.31 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked PlayTime | 33c | 1,839$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Team Liquid | 72c | 1,826$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.79 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96d7…3a17backed Team Liquid | 67c | 1,801$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.05 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Team Liquid | 57c | 1,778$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.39 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a46…8112backed PlayTime | 49c | 1,773$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.74 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked PlayTime | 11c | 1,771$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed PlayTime | 32c | 1,765$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.36 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed PlayTime | 32c | 1,750$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.5 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31cb…2442backed Team Liquid | 58c | 1,652$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.74 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…698cbacked PlayTime | 57c | 1,575$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed PlayTime | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked PlayTime | 48c | 1,388$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.08 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc50c…fe5dbacked PlayTime | 71c | 1,380$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.05 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d83…dfd7backed PlayTime | 53c | 1,363$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.76 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3b…be27backed PlayTime | 22c | 1,361$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.45 | 210 | 47.6%100 W · 110 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8a…f907backed PlayTime | 22c | 1,316$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.57 | 141 | 36.9%52 W · 89 L | -13.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed Team Liquid | 52c | 1,301$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.83 | 211 | 58.3%123 W · 88 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6478…c969backed PlayTime | 42c | 1,277$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.34 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Team Liquid | 57c | 1,269$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.66 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed PlayTime | 14c | 1,214$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed PlayTime | 46c | 1,200$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked PlayTime | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564 | 310 | 55.2%171 W · 139 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Team Liquid | 53c | 1,197$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.42 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf11e…3bc1backed Team Liquid | 53c | 1,196$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.12 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…5dc6backed PlayTime | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 145 | 57.9%84 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed PlayTime | 47c | 1,156$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.32 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Team Liquid | 45c | 1,151$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.83 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked PlayTime | 36c | 1,109$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.95 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe47d…7967backed PlayTime | 42c | 1,104$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.68 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed PlayTime | 52c | 1,100$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Team Liquid | 58c | 1,100$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.99 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked Team Liquid | 53c | 1,092$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.47 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4620…ea85backed Team Liquid | 46c | 1,068$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.59 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed PlayTime | 49c | 1,052$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.81 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Team Liquid | 53c | 1,042$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.24 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ba…b7bfbacked Team Liquid | 45c | 1,001$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.53 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Liquid | 69c | 1,000$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.3 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked Team Liquid | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412d…18c5backed Team Liquid | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x332f…1ee8backed Team Liquid | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed PlayTime | 46c | 995.16$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.85 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5733…4c87backed PlayTime | 28c | 928.57$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed PlayTime | 40c | 922.92$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.94 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…f081backed Team Liquid | 47c | 910.99$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.83 | 156 | 39.1%61 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32c3…5b4ebacked PlayTime | 28c | 908.57$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.4 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked PlayTime | 6c | 905.1$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.65 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked PlayTime | 57c | 899.99$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.99 | 270 | 60%162 W · 108 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Team Liquid | 66c | 890.81$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.3 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed PlayTime | 25c | 875.23$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.54 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed PlayTime | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PlayTime - Game 2 WinnerPlayTime won
- Game 2: Ends in Daytime?Yes won
- Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.