Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Hive - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe79db7ed3595726161bcefe061e74917eb1d4ae6633bbf171515e114fd7b5384
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nemiga Gamingof Nemiga Gaming, Hive
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,233
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,730
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,233 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7b5…5b1ebacked Hive | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Nemiga Gaming | 73c | 4,761$3,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284.95 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 54c | 4,544$2,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,092.72 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Hive | 23c | 2,716$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.81 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Hive | 29c | 2,198$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.42 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc41e…e2e9backed Hive | 3c | 2,112$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 37 | 5.4%2 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Hive | 45c | 1,961$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.17 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Hive | 41c | 1,427$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.27 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Hive | 36c | 1,282$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.27 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Hive | 46c | 1,145$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.6 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Hive | 46c | 1,111$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.06 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Nemiga Gaming | 34c | 999.92$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.95 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Hive | 34c | 978.28$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.65 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Nemiga Gaming | 53c | 801.85$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.33 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 38c | 783.98$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.77 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcef…fd7fbacked Hive | 40c | 722$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.9 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Hive | 37c | 539.93$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked Nemiga Gaming | 72c | 516.73$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.73 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Hive | 26c | 489.88$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.77 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked Hive | 37c | 482.98$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.1 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91cc…f388backed Hive | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ade…fb15backed Hive | 46c | 427.85$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.81 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Hive | 46c | 356.2$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.87 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb8…eb07backed Hive | 44c | 334.28$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Hive | 34c | 328.25$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.91 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed Hive | 46c | 275$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.5 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Hive | 76c | 262.14$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.15 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Hive | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 404 | 42.3%171 W · 233 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72db…1029backed Hive | 59c | 222.23$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.12 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b6…9fc8backed Nemiga Gaming | 79c | 220$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Hive | 41c | 200.01$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.89 | 308 | 44.8%138 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bd…226cbacked Hive | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d6…423dbacked Hive | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Nemiga Gaming | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.22 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffa…7710backed Hive | 47c | 196.34$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.67 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Nemiga Gaming | 66c | 187$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.58 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Hive | 50c | 184.07$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Hive | 42c | 156.51$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.42 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Nemiga Gaming | 77c | 153$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.88 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Nemiga Gaming | 41c | 150.71$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.04 | 204 | 42.2%86 W · 118 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0f…084cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +3.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Hive | 66c | 140.09$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.46 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…693abacked Nemiga Gaming | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 546 | 48.5%265 W · 281 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Hive | 54c | 128.46$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.89 | 440 | 49.3%217 W · 223 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed Hive | 53c | 125$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.94 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7d…8895backed Nemiga Gaming | 69c | 123.79$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.79 | 282 | 52.5%148 W · 134 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Hive | 11c | 123.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 283 | 36.4%103 W · 180 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 46c | 119$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.03 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Hive | 59c | 112.39$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.86 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Nemiga Gaming | 62c | 109.15$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.18 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Hive | 25c | 100.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +11.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked Nemiga Gaming | 67c | 99.95$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.78 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Hive | 39c | 89.71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 222 | 40.1%89 W · 133 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Hive | 30c | 80.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 405 | 34.6%140 W · 265 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbe…f82cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 65c | 79.19$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 70c | 73.45$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Hive | 45c | 67.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b13…37dbbacked Nemiga Gaming | 60c | 64.13$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Hive | 62c | 63.94$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.38 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b00…3d66backed Hive | 38c | 62.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Nemiga Gaming | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Hive | 58c | 57.38$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.49 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…50d7backed Hive | 34c | 52.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 213 | 44.1%94 W · 119 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 59c | 51.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…afb4backed Hive | 32c | 51.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Nemiga Gaming | 71c | 50.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 473 | 58.6%277 W · 196 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Nemiga Gaming | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Nemiga Gaming | 65c | 45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9d…de16backed Nemiga Gaming | 65c | 42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 89 | 65.2%58 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed Nemiga Gaming | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 375 | 49.3%185 W · 190 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd32f…1496backed Hive | 42c | 41.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Hive | 35c | 36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Hive | 52c | 34.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23d6…18a2backed Hive | 58c | 34.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…c1e4backed Nemiga Gaming | 64c | 34.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 426 | 39.4%168 W · 258 L | -39.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2b…afc5backed Hive | 45c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ab…faadbacked Nemiga Gaming | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Nemiga Gaming | 65c | 27.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Hive | 42c | 26.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 328 | 6.4%21 W · 307 L | -102.4wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Hive | 71c | 26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…66d1backed Nemiga Gaming | 51c | 25.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Hive | 60c | 22.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9a…9456backed Nemiga Gaming | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf219…47e9backed Nemiga Gaming | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5965…d26dbacked Nemiga Gaming | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa099…b1d4backed Nemiga Gaming | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb09f…6382backed Nemiga Gaming | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a53…71a3backed Nemiga Gaming | 67c | 19.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 185 | 62.7%116 W · 69 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nemiga Gaming | 62c | 19.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd181…6a2bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 56c | 18.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 176 | 60.2%106 W · 70 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Hive | 66c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Nemiga Gaming | 69c | 15.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 282 | 52.1%147 W · 135 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Hive - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Hive (BO3) - European Pro League Group ANemiga Gaming won
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Hive - Game 1 WinnerNemiga Gaming won
- Game Handicap: Nemiga (-1.5) vs Hive (+1.5)Nemiga Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.