Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Hive - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x735d070340db7432d091027ec51e3639fdd9f18632b93c98e1b92f29de509a15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nemiga Gamingof Nemiga Gaming, Hive
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,026
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,877
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,026 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Hive | 41c | 12,706$5,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,228.12 | 471 | 46.1%217 W · 254 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Nemiga Gaming | 63c | 3,518$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317.69 | 474 | 57.4%272 W · 202 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Hive | 41c | 2,374$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.5 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc41e…e2e9backed Hive | 3c | 2,112$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 37 | 5.4%2 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Nemiga Gaming | 61c | 2,003$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.86 | 195 | 47.7%93 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Nemiga Gaming | 61c | 1,949$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.26 | 944 | 42.3%399 W · 545 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nemiga Gaming | 58c | 1,696$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.85 | 2,367 | 47.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Nemiga Gaming | 59c | 1,473$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.05 | 679 | 32.5%221 W · 458 L | -27.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Hive | 29c | 1,457$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.79 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39a7…bcb7backed Hive | 38c | 1,327$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Hive | 46c | 776.2$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.93 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Hive | 42c | 713.75$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.82 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b6…9fc8backed Nemiga Gaming | 69c | 710$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.1 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nemiga Gaming | 78c | 631.67$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.19 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed Nemiga Gaming | 62c | 600$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Nemiga Gaming | 63c | 600$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 1,270 | 45.1%573 W · 697 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Hive | 28c | 599.94$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.99 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Nemiga Gaming | 65c | 576.93$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.86 | 587 | 42.8%251 W · 336 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb8…eb07backed Hive | 31c | 562.1$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Nemiga Gaming | 62c | 546.15$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.59 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Nemiga Gaming | 62c | 534$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.33 | 565 | 45%254 W · 311 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…12c2backed Hive | 29c | 517.36$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 185 | 49.7%92 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed Nemiga Gaming | 56c | 502.22$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.63 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d3…bab9backed Nemiga Gaming | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 61c | 456.62$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.83 | 889 | 38%338 W · 551 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 63c | 407.36$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.82 | 583 | 46.3%270 W · 313 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed Nemiga Gaming | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 473 | 48.2%228 W · 245 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Nemiga Gaming | 58c | 396.55$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.55 | 410 | 37.3%153 W · 257 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Nemiga Gaming | 64c | 392.66$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.46 | 436 | 49.1%214 W · 222 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed Nemiga Gaming | 58c | 367$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.14 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nemiga Gaming | 63c | 326.3$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.87 | 1,894 | 47.7%903 W · 991 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 64c | 317.83$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.94 | 878 | 38.3%336 W · 542 L | -42.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3702…9b19backed Nemiga Gaming | 58c | 286.34$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.31 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…72d2backed Nemiga Gaming | 66c | 282.82$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.37 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Nemiga Gaming | 58c | 250$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 402 | 42.3%170 W · 232 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nemiga Gaming | 69c | 207.52$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.87 | 1,691 | 41.4%700 W · 991 L | -40.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad2b…2a8ebacked Nemiga Gaming | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1d…2b19backed Nemiga Gaming | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +11.3wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd241…6c35backed Nemiga Gaming | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0785…3540backed Nemiga Gaming | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +10.3wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d6…423dbacked Nemiga Gaming | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccb…6cb3backed Nemiga Gaming | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02da…070dbacked Nemiga Gaming | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +36%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…954ebacked Nemiga Gaming | 58c | 194.83$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.83 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfce…5c3ebacked Nemiga Gaming | 62c | 175.5$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.69 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Nemiga Gaming | 58c | 173.98$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.07 | 131 | 45%59 W · 72 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…afaebacked Nemiga Gaming | 58c | 173.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.76 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 63c | 170$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.33 | 526 | 38.4%202 W · 324 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1991…348ebacked Nemiga Gaming | 71c | 150$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Nemiga Gaming | 68c | 149.25$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.85 | 1,443 | 48.7%703 W · 740 L | +29.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Nemiga Gaming | 66c | 146.77$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.58 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ad…a700backed Nemiga Gaming | 58c | 145$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.9 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Nemiga Gaming | 64c | 133$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.08 | 675 | 46.1%311 W · 364 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…f5d7backed Hive | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 364 | 52.5%191 W · 173 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Nemiga Gaming | 70c | 125.01$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.11 | 308 | 44.8%138 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Nemiga Gaming | 58c | 120.69$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.69 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Nemiga Gaming | 52c | 114.94$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.93 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Nemiga Gaming | 63c | 114$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.72 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0f…084cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 71c | 111$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.19 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +3.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc37d…e586backed Hive | 44c | 106.4$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.05 | 381 | 59.1%225 W · 156 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Nemiga Gaming | 56c | 101$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.89 | 283 | 36.4%103 W · 180 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…9eaebacked Nemiga Gaming | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Nemiga Gaming | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.25 | 222 | 40.1%89 W · 133 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Nemiga Gaming | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 62c | 91.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.54 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked Nemiga Gaming | 62c | 90$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 666 | 48.6%324 W · 342 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Nemiga Gaming | 58c | 74.14$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.14 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Nemiga Gaming | 58c | 70.69$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.69 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 71c | 69.43$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Nemiga Gaming | 64c | 61.43$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.31 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Nemiga Gaming | 63c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 65c | 58$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.54 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Nemiga Gaming | 58c | 56.9$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Nemiga Gaming | 54c | 55.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 210 | 44.3%93 W · 117 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Nemiga Gaming | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbe…f82cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Nemiga Gaming | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Nemiga Gaming | 71c | 48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 785 | 41.7%327 W · 458 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2b…afc5backed Nemiga Gaming | 57c | 47.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd2…87f4backed Nemiga Gaming | 61c | 46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +13.0wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…1b41backed Nemiga Gaming | 61c | 46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bd…226cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 61c | 46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Hive | 53c | 43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 634 | 47.6%302 W · 332 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd32f…1496backed Nemiga Gaming | 57c | 42.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Nemiga Gaming | 72c | 41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 1,113 | 36.2%403 W · 710 L | -37.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Hive | 29c | 41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 192 | 49%94 W · 98 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Nemiga Gaming | 58c | 39.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 282 | 52.1%147 W · 135 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf24f…d36ebacked Nemiga Gaming | 58c | 39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e5…c8d1backed Nemiga Gaming | 65c | 34.95$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Nemiga Gaming | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa322…3064backed Nemiga Gaming | 58c | 33.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b00…3d66backed Nemiga Gaming | 77c | 33.45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcef…fd7fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 58c | 32.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddd…6144backed Nemiga Gaming | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed Nemiga Gaming | 72c | 30.56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 375 | 49.3%185 W · 190 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Nemiga Gaming | 77c | 30.2$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 409 | 33%135 W · 274 L | -36.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ab…faadbacked Nemiga Gaming | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Nemiga Gaming | 60c | 26.47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba56…140dbacked Nemiga Gaming | 59c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb5…0542backed Nemiga Gaming | 59c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Hive - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Hive (BO3) - European Pro League Group ANemiga Gaming won
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Hive - Game 2 WinnerNemiga Gaming won
- Game Handicap: Nemiga (-1.5) vs Hive (+1.5)Nemiga Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.